The Ascent Collection ×7+The Boreal Collection ×3
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Naval Shred Camo
1x $0.07
Turquoise Pour
1x $0.08
Electric Blue
1x $0.09
Rose Nacre
1x $0.12
Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.13
Robin's Egg
2x $0.14
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen
6.0% $4.61
Yeti Camo
14.0% $1.89
Tropical Breeze
6.0% $1.82
Cobalt Paisley
14.0% $1.14
Mint Fan
14.0% $1.09
Royal Baroque
14.0% $1.06
Max Win
$4.61 (+365.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.32 (+33.8%)
Win %
68.0%
Volatility
+95.6%
Cost
$0.99
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.99
Ask Price EV $1.32 (+33.8%)
Bid Price EV $1.20 (+21.7%)
Ask Profit $0.33 (+33.8%)
Bid Profit $0.21 (+21.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.12 (+12.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.33
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.21
Risk
Win Probability 68.0%
Loss Probability 32.0%
Best Case $4.61 (+365.7%)
Worst Case $0.40 (-59.2%)
Volatility +95.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 18.0%
Avg Win +$0.64
Avg Loss -$0.33
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.40 (-59.2%)
Std Dev $0.95
Avg Norm Float 0.1976
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 118h 20m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Turquoise Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 11M 52S //TOTAL COST $0.99 //ASK PRICE EV $1.32 //BID PRICE EV $1.20 //ASK PROFIT $0.33 (+33.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.21 (+21.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 68.0% //BEST CASE $4.61 //VOLATILITY +95.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
6.0%
$4.61
+$3.62
+365.7%
$3.81
+$2.82
+284.8%
$0.80
17.4%
—
BIG WIN
14.0%
$1.89
+$0.90
+91.3%
$1.81
+$0.82
+82.8%
$0.08
4.4%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$1.82
+$0.83
+83.9%
$1.70
+$0.71
+71.7%
$0.12
6.6%
—
WIN
14.0%
$1.14
+$0.15
+15.3%
$1.04
+$0.05
+5.1%
$0.10
8.9%
—
PAPER WIN
14.0%
$1.09
+$0.10
+10.5%
$0.94
-$0.05
-5.1%
$0.15
14.0%
—
SMALL WIN
14.0%
$1.06
+$0.07
+6.8%
$1.01
+$0.02
+2.0%
$0.05
4.4%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$0.98
-$0.01
-0.6%
$0.95
-$0.04
-4.0%
$0.03
3.5%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.43
-$0.56
-56.6%
$0.41
-$0.58
-58.6%
$0.02
4.7%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.41
-$0.58
-58.5%
$0.38
-$0.61
-61.6%
$0.03
7.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.40
-$0.59
-59.2%
$0.36
-$0.63
-63.6%
$0.04
10.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11857199999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 1.0935000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.09,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 0.94,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:44.198303Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.13833399999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.8935,
"optimistic_value": 1.89,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:21.899950Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.128453,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.141,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:53.037696Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11857199999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 1.057,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:25.819945Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11857199999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 0.9844999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.96,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 0.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:00.114479Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14821499999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1343816,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.43,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:07:45.102530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.11857199999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:54.653511Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.10869100000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 1.821,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.839903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.11857199999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 0.4035,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 0.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:53.758956Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c64b554af14648f3031aaf91",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "528753387757424781",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:07:41.960738Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"listing_id": "519746188259096108",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:43.736057Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "502856892584036416",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:08.819311Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "497228190142095941",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:52.712993Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "524249787961224195",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:04:45.214062Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "502857637417906948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:04:46.662015Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "507361237008872437",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:04:46.662015Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "527627487624726188",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:57:46.826910Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "527627487624253760",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:57:46.826910Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "519746135814788696",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:18:50.335632Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-timed-drops-cool:7+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:3"
}Related
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| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Ascent Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Midnight Laminate  25.0% $6.94 Sheet Lightning  25.0% $2.03 Glockingbird  25.0% $1.54 Royal Guard  25.0% $1.36 | $6.94 +190.5% | $2.97 +24.2% | 25.0% | +96.6% | $2.39 | — |