The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Scrawl
1x $0.16
Spirit Board
2x $0.27
Necro Jr.
1x $0.30
Foresight
1x $0.31
Damascus Steel
2x $0.25
Brass
3x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Amber Fade
50.0% $6.32
Ticket to Hell
10.0% $1.67
Dream Glade
10.0% $1.63
Night Terror
10.0% $1.58
Space Cat
10.0% $1.26
Zombie Offensive
10.0% $1.05
Max Win
$6.32 (+74.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.88 (+7.2%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+67.6%
Cost
$3.62
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $3.62
Ask Price EV $3.88 (+7.2%)
Bid Price EV $3.06 (-15.5%)
Ask Profit $0.26 (+7.2%)
Bid Profit $-0.56 (-15.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.82 (+22.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.26
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.56
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $6.32 (+74.7%)
Worst Case $1.05 (-70.9%)
Volatility +67.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$2.70
Avg Loss -$2.18
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.05 (-70.9%)
Std Dev $2.45
Avg Norm Float 0.1492
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 38m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Field-Tested
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 13M 50S //TOTAL COST $3.62 //ASK PRICE EV $3.88 //BID PRICE EV $3.06 //ASK PROFIT $0.26 (+7.2%) //BID PROFIT $-0.56 (-15.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $6.32 //VOLATILITY +67.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
50.0%
$6.32
+$2.70
+74.7%
$4.79
+$1.17
+32.3%
$1.53
24.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.67
-$1.95
-53.9%
$1.44
-$2.18
-60.2%
$0.23
13.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.63
-$1.99
-54.9%
$1.62
-$2.00
-55.2%
$0.01
0.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.58
-$2.04
-56.4%
$1.43
-$2.19
-60.5%
$0.15
9.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.26
-$2.36
-65.1%
$1.16
-$2.46
-68.0%
$0.10
8.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.05
-$2.57
-70.9%
$0.99
-$2.63
-72.7%
$0.06
6.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.5,
"output_float": 0.0597,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1faf71e7b6fe",
"realistic_value": 6.3245000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 6.23,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade",
"conservative_value": 4.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:33.930252Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1faf71e7b6fe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14925,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 1.6335,
"optimistic_value": 1.63,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 1.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:47.678713Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.10447499999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 1.58,
"optimistic_value": 1.58,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:29.906821Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0999975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.2635,
"optimistic_value": 1.26,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:15:58.751458Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11343,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 1.67,
"optimistic_value": 1.67,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:59:28.760872Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.074625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.054,
"optimistic_value": 1.04,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 0.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:31.212421Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c1dd79fe54a13edea82dc517",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "521997935570639898",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:11:14.290278Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-3da25779ee2d",
"listing_id": "526501587737774717",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3da25779ee2d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:38.152803Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-3da25779ee2d",
"listing_id": "508487189340353078",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3da25779ee2d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:38.152803Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "519746188257835928",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:20:26.269088Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "643593744688088905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:58.861673Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "512990623223068823",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:52.074557Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "520872088106434668",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:52.074557Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "491597893783227446",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:08:16.264959Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "507361289453116309",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "496102290328432643",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:5+collection-set-dust-2:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Amber Fade 50.0% $6.32 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $1.67 Night Terror 10.0% $1.58 Space Cat 10.0% $1.26 Zombie Offensive 10.0% $1.05 Dream Glade 10.0% $0.90 | $6.32 +115.1% | $3.81 +29.6% | 50.0% | +85.9% | $2.94 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Dust 2 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Amber Fade 60.0% $6.35 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $1.61 Night Terror 8.0% $1.58 Space Cat 8.0% $1.24 Zombie Offensive 8.0% $1.03 Dream Glade 8.0% $0.90 | $6.35 +89.6% | $4.32 +28.9% | 60.0% | +74.5% | $3.35 | — |