The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
3x $0.28
Slag
2x $0.16
Hideout
2x $0.18
Light Box
3x $0.20
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
6.0% $8.04
Block-18
14.0% $4.19
Etch Lord
14.0% $2.33
Analog Input
14.0% $2.02
Acid Etched
6.0% $1.97
Apocalypto
6.0% $1.66
Max Win
$8.04 (+251.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.51 (+9.5%)
Win %
34.0%
Volatility
+71.9%
Cost
$2.29
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.29
Ask Price EV $2.51 (+9.5%)
Bid Price EV $2.29 (-0.1%)
Ask Profit $0.22 (+9.5%)
Bid Profit $-0.00 (-0.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.22 (+9.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.22
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.00
Risk
Win Probability 34.0%
Loss Probability 66.0%
Best Case $8.04 (+251.0%)
Worst Case $1.47 (-35.8%)
Volatility +71.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 46.0%
Avg Win +$1.81
Avg Loss -$0.61
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.47 (-35.8%)
Std Dev $1.65
Avg Norm Float 0.2077
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 16m
Oldest Output Price 145h 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 00M 43S //TOTAL COST $2.29 //ASK PRICE EV $2.51 //BID PRICE EV $2.29 //ASK PROFIT $0.22 (+9.5%) //BID PROFIT $-0.00 (-0.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 34.0% //BEST CASE $8.04 //VOLATILITY +71.9% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$8.04
+$5.75
+251.0%
$7.38
+$5.09
+222.3%
$0.66
8.2%
—
BIG WIN
14.0%
$4.19
+$1.90
+83.0%
$3.88
+$1.59
+69.4%
$0.31
7.4%
—
PAPER WIN
14.0%
$2.33
+$0.04
+1.7%
$2.08
-$0.21
-9.2%
$0.25
10.7%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.02
-$0.27
-11.9%
$1.85
-$0.44
-19.2%
$0.17
8.3%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.97
-$0.32
-14.1%
$1.76
-$0.53
-23.1%
$0.21
10.5%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.66
-$0.63
-27.6%
$1.39
-$0.90
-39.3%
$0.27
16.1%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.59
-$0.70
-30.6%
$1.46
-$0.83
-36.2%
$0.13
8.2%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.56
-$0.73
-31.9%
$1.43
-$0.86
-37.6%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.53
-$0.76
-33.1%
$1.35
-$0.94
-41.0%
$0.18
11.9%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.47
-$0.82
-35.8%
$1.39
-$0.90
-39.3%
$0.08
5.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.20767,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:20:24.497326Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.13952828125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.20767,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.328,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:31.371672Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.20767,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1285186562,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 2.0185,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:12.630618Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.20767,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 1.9669999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.96,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 1.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:15:45.833978Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.20767,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 1.532,
"optimistic_value": 1.49,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:00.194584Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.20767,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 1.59,
"optimistic_value": 1.52,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:27.686571Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1495224,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.20767,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 1.6575,
"optimistic_value": 1.64,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T13:01:11.935890Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b69e02ca2b210728ef25dbed",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "493850438107893880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:52.336394Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "496101493276070891",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:52.336394Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "523123091047708294",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:52.336394Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "526501587737921273",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:15.335484Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "528753387756713457",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:39.363233Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:15.335484Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:39.363233Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "515242588555339081",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:56.286676Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:56.286676Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:56.286676Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:3+collection-set-community-33:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 6.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 6.0% $4.36 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Darkwing 6.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +161.0% | $3.82 +24.2% | 72.0% | +37.5% | $3.08 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 6.0% $17.96 Darkwing 6.0% $13.75 Etch Lord 14.0% $13.06 Apocalypto 6.0% $11.36 Enforcer 6.0% $11.21 | $18.94 +89.9% | $10.47 +5.0% | 44.0% | +30.6% | $9.97 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 12.0% $4.36 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Darkwing 12.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +129.6% | $4.33 +23.7% | 64.0% | +39.0% | $3.50 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Darkwing 10.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +136.4% | $4.16 +22.4% | 60.0% | +38.5% | $3.40 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 4.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 4.0% $4.36 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Darkwing 4.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +167.9% | $3.66 +21.9% | 68.0% | +34.6% | $3.00 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 2.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 2.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 2.0% $4.36 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Darkwing 2.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +173.4% | $3.49 +18.7% | 64.0% | +29.8% | $2.94 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Kilowatt Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 16.0% $4.36 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Darkwing 16.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +104.0% | $4.66 +18.4% | 56.0% | +36.7% | $3.94 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  20.0% $23.51 Phantom Disruptor  13.3% $21.16 Jawbreaker  20.0% $14.90 Disco Tech  13.3% $13.93 Justice  13.3% $11.07 Olympus  20.0% $8.82 | $23.51 +78.8% | $15.60 +18.6% | 66.7% | +41.0% | $13.15 | — |