The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
3x $0.51
Slag
1x $0.50
Irezumi
1x $0.59
Dezastre
3x $0.61
Dark Sigil
1x $0.85
Hideout
1x $1.51
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
6.0% $18.94
Acid Etched
6.0% $17.96
Darkwing
6.0% $13.75
Etch Lord
14.0% $13.06
Apocalypto
6.0% $11.36
Enforcer
6.0% $11.21
Max Win
$18.94 (+89.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.47 (+5.0%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+40.7%
Cost
$9.97
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $9.97
Ask Price EV $10.47 (+5.0%)
Bid Price EV $8.94 (-10.3%)
Ask Profit $0.50 (+5.0%)
Bid Profit $-1.03 (-10.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.53 (+15.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.50
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.03
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $18.94 (+89.9%)
Worst Case $4.09 (-59.0%)
Volatility +40.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 14.0%
Avg Win +$4.17
Avg Loss -$2.38
Bottom 5% Outcome $4.09 (-59.0%)
Std Dev $4.05
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 145h 57m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Irezumi
—
Minimal Wear
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Factory New
$1.51 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Factory New
$2.10 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Factory New
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 00M 43S //TOTAL COST $9.97 //ASK PRICE EV $10.47 //BID PRICE EV $8.94 //ASK PROFIT $0.50 (+5.0%) //BID PROFIT $-1.03 (-10.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $18.94 //VOLATILITY +40.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
6.0%
$18.94
+$8.97
+89.9%
$15.04
+$5.07
+50.9%
$3.90
20.6%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$17.96
+$7.99
+80.1%
$14.21
+$4.24
+42.5%
$3.75
20.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$13.75
+$3.78
+37.9%
$11.40
+$1.43
+14.3%
$2.35
17.1%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$13.06
+$3.09
+31.0%
$12.03
+$2.06
+20.7%
$1.03
7.9%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$11.36
+$1.39
+13.9%
$8.88
-$1.09
-10.9%
$2.48
21.8%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$11.21
+$1.24
+12.4%
$8.97
-$1.00
-10.0%
$2.24
20.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$9.49
-$0.48
-4.8%
$7.84
-$2.13
-21.4%
$1.65
17.4%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$8.90
-$1.07
-10.8%
$7.77
-$2.20
-22.1%
$1.13
12.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$7.89
-$2.08
-20.9%
$7.43
-$2.54
-25.5%
$0.46
5.8%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$4.09
-$5.88
-59.0%
$3.74
-$6.23
-62.5%
$0.35
8.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 7.8895,
"optimistic_value": 7.83,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 7.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:16.444156Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.04694390625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 8.897,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 7.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.653469Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 13.056999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.35,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 12.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.589744Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 9.4875,
"optimistic_value": 9.47,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 7.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:24.636000Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0432397482,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 4.0875,
"optimistic_value": 4,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 3.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:32.278811Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 17.957,
"optimistic_value": 17.04,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 14.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:44.737410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 11.2055,
"optimistic_value": 11.09,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 8.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:46.694190Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 13.746,
"optimistic_value": 13.34,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 11.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T12:00:17.131456Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.0503064,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 18.937,
"optimistic_value": 18.44,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 15.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:39.589633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 11.3575,
"optimistic_value": 10.5,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 8.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:25.195033Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b69e02ca2b210728ef25dbed",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:08.117511Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:08.117511Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "510738192173824270",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:08.117511Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "493850324808131632",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:32.622734Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-8c2ae17ac090",
"listing_id": "625577443252700102",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Irezumi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8c2ae17ac090.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:38.073787Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "515241791654317225",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:11.976800Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "514115891832272466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:15:01.898348Z"
},
{
"price": 1.51,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "519746022669746780",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:18:45.182896Z"
},
{
"price": 2.1,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "499479937455276409",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:27.309063Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "528753335311947405",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:27.309063Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:3+collection-set-community-33:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 6.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 6.0% $4.36 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Darkwing 6.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +161.0% | $3.82 +24.2% | 72.0% | +37.5% | $3.08 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $8.04 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Etch Lord 14.0% $2.33 Analog Input 14.0% $2.02 Acid Etched 6.0% $1.97 Apocalypto 6.0% $1.66 | $8.04 +251.0% | $2.51 +9.5% | 34.0% | +66.7% | $2.29 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 12.0% $4.36 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Darkwing 12.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +129.6% | $4.33 +23.7% | 64.0% | +39.0% | $3.50 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Darkwing 10.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +136.4% | $4.16 +22.4% | 60.0% | +38.5% | $3.40 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 4.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 4.0% $4.36 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Darkwing 4.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +167.9% | $3.66 +21.9% | 68.0% | +34.6% | $3.00 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 2.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 2.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 2.0% $4.36 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Darkwing 2.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +173.4% | $3.49 +18.7% | 64.0% | +29.8% | $2.94 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Kilowatt Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Apocalypto 16.0% $4.36 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Darkwing 16.0% $3.78 | $8.04 +104.0% | $4.66 +18.4% | 56.0% | +36.7% | $3.94 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  20.0% $23.51 Phantom Disruptor  13.3% $21.16 Jawbreaker  20.0% $14.90 Disco Tech  13.3% $13.93 Justice  13.3% $11.07 Olympus  20.0% $8.82 | $23.51 +78.8% | $15.60 +18.6% | 66.7% | +41.0% | $13.15 | — |