The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Red Wing
3x $0.66
Caged
1x $0.74
Fusion
4x $0.39
Bock Blocks
2x $0.63
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
8.0% $21.44
Electrum
12.0% $16.94
Firebreathing
12.0% $10.78
Amberline
12.0% $6.17
Galigator
12.0% $5.81
Urban Sovereign
12.0% $4.97
Max Win
$21.44 (+212.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.37 (+21.9%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+82.2%
Cost
$6.87
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.87
Ask Price EV $8.37 (+21.9%)
Bid Price EV $7.19 (+4.6%)
Ask Profit $1.50 (+21.9%)
Bid Profit $0.32 (+4.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.19 (+17.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.50
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.32
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $21.44 (+212.1%)
Worst Case $3.89 (-43.3%)
Volatility +82.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 44.0%
Avg Win +$8.88
Avg Loss -$1.97
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.89 (-43.3%)
Std Dev $5.65
Avg Norm Float 0.1496
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 27m
Oldest Output Price 152h 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Minimal Wear
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Minimal Wear
$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 39S //TOTAL COST $6.87 //ASK PRICE EV $8.37 //BID PRICE EV $7.19 //ASK PROFIT $1.50 (+21.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.32 (+4.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $21.44 //VOLATILITY +82.2% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$21.44
+$14.57
+212.1%
$18.66
+$11.79
+171.6%
$2.78
13.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$16.94
+$10.07
+146.5%
$14.31
+$7.44
+108.3%
$2.63
15.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$10.78
+$3.91
+56.9%
$9.15
+$2.28
+33.2%
$1.63
15.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$6.17
-$0.70
-10.2%
$4.92
-$1.95
-28.4%
$1.25
20.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$5.81
-$1.06
-15.5%
$4.91
-$1.96
-28.5%
$0.90
15.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$4.97
-$1.90
-27.6%
$4.26
-$2.61
-38.0%
$0.71
14.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.21
-$2.66
-38.8%
$3.72
-$3.15
-45.9%
$0.49
11.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.11
-$2.76
-40.2%
$3.83
-$3.04
-44.3%
$0.28
6.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.01
-$2.86
-41.6%
$3.63
-$3.24
-47.2%
$0.38
9.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$3.89
-$2.98
-43.3%
$3.65
-$3.22
-46.9%
$0.24
6.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 10.7765,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.430728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 5.8065,
"optimistic_value": 5.67,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:39.060271Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 16.936,
"optimistic_value": 16.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 14.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.044782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 6.167,
"optimistic_value": 6.16,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:31.586332Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 4.9745,
"optimistic_value": 4.95,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 4.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:39.176635Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 4.2055,
"optimistic_value": 4.09,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 3.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:16:32.226410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 21.439,
"optimistic_value": 21.32,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 18.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:31.788316Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 4.106,
"optimistic_value": 3.98,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 3.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:25.164584Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 3.8939999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 3.88,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:20.834562Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14962,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 4.0135000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 3.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:32:46.868232Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ac46223d8900327976ccb448",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "493850543432527564",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:38.443913Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "514116741797417514",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:38.443913Z"
},
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "619949307133540327",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:38.443913Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "529879287551137428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:57:56.006019Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "497228243055673649",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:53:09.597411Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "511864723318980237",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:53:09.597411Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:57:46.712408Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "510739041954246190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:24.992251Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375740885184271",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:02:54.132156Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "523123722383769418",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:24.992251Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-36:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Liquidation 8.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +194.5% | $22.63 +30.0% | 44.0% | +75.2% | $17.41 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 8.0% $11.18 Electrum 12.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 12.0% $6.12 Galigator 12.0% $3.48 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $2.90 Amberline 12.0% $2.88 | $11.18 +184.6% | $4.68 +19.2% | 32.0% | +75.9% | $3.93 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 10.0% $11.18 Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Galigator 10.0% $3.57 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $2.91 Amberline 10.0% $2.88 | $11.18 +225.1% | $4.56 +32.6% | 40.0% | +87.4% | $3.44 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Liquidation 6.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +185.3% | $23.48 +30.7% | 48.0% | +73.8% | $17.97 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Liquidation 4.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +175.1% | $24.33 +30.5% | 52.0% | +72.3% | $18.64 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Liquidation 2.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +165.7% | $25.18 +30.5% | 38.0% | +71.4% | $19.30 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 12.0% $11.18 Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.48 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $2.90 Amberline 8.0% $2.88 | $11.18 +225.1% | $4.42 +28.4% | 36.0% | +88.7% | $3.44 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 14.0% $11.18 Electrum 6.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 6.0% $6.12 Galigator 6.0% $3.48 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $2.91 Amberline 6.0% $2.88 | $11.18 +234.9% | $4.29 +28.3% | 32.0% | +92.8% | $3.34 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 18.0% $11.18 Electrum 2.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 2.0% $6.12 Galigator 2.0% $3.47 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $2.90 Amberline 2.0% $2.88 | $11.18 +233.9% | $4.02 +20.0% | 24.0% | +95.7% | $3.35 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Amberline 4.0% $6.17 Galigator 4.0% $5.51 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $5.00 | $21.44 +225.8% | $7.80 +18.6% | 24.0% | +88.7% | $6.58 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Ice Coaled  3.3% $115.81 Smoking Kills  3.3% $98.16 Mirror Mosaic  3.3% $88.96 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.59 | $290.04 +186.2% | $132.82 +31.1% | 33.3% | +102.3% | $101.33 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | The Oligarch  5.0% $961.24 Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Full Throttle  5.0% $708.03 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 | $961.24 +69.4% | $681.23 +20.1% | 55.0% | +32.1% | $567.32 | — |