The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items

Factory New +30.0%Field-Tested +32.6%Minimal Wear +21.1%

Contract

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™

Inputs

MAGnitude

1x $1.26

Caged

2x $1.80

Bullfrog

1x $2.18

Bock Blocks

4x $0.78

Fusion

2x $0.92

↓

Possible Outputs

Electrum

12.0% $51.27

Liquidation

8.0% $46.21

Firebreathing

12.0% $31.66

Amberline

12.0% $18.87

Galigator

12.0% $14.51

Urban Sovereign

12.0% $13.85

Max Win

$51.27 (+194.5%)

EV (ROI %)

$22.63 (+30.0%)

Win %

44.0%

Volatility

+85.1%

Cost

$17.41

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $17.41

Ask Price EV $22.63 (+30.0%)

Bid Price EV $19.27 (+10.7%)

Ask Profit $5.22 (+30.0%)

Bid Profit $1.86 (+10.7%)

Liquidity Gap $3.36 (+19.3%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.22

Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.86

Risk

Win Probability 44.0%

Loss Probability 56.0%

Best Case $51.27 (+194.5%)

Worst Case $10.13 (-41.8%)

Volatility +85.1%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%

Avg Win +$18.75

Avg Loss -$5.41

Bottom 5% Outcome $10.13 (-41.8%)

Std Dev $14.82

Avg Norm Float 0.0700

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 18m

Oldest Output Price 150h 52m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Edge

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

MAG-7 | MAGnitude

—

Minimal Wear

$1.26 Float: HIDDEN

SCAR-20 | Caged

—

Factory New

$1.80 Float: HIDDEN

SCAR-20 | Caged

—

Factory New

$1.95 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Bullfrog

—

Factory New

$2.18 Float: HIDDEN

M249 | Bock Blocks

—

Minimal Wear

$0.78 Float: HIDDEN

Sawed-Off | Fusion

—

Minimal Wear

$0.92 Float: HIDDEN

M249 | Bock Blocks

—

Minimal Wear

$0.95 Float: HIDDEN

Sawed-Off | Fusion

—

Factory New

$2.46 Float: HIDDEN

M249 | Bock Blocks

—

Factory New

$2.55 Float: HIDDEN

M249 | Bock Blocks

—

Factory New

$2.56 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 38S //TOTAL COST $17.41 //ASK PRICE EV $22.63 //BID PRICE EV $19.27 //ASK PROFIT $5.22 (+30.0%) //BID PROFIT $1.86 (+10.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +85.1% //

Possible Outputs · 10

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.12,
      "output_float": 0.06999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
      "realistic_value": 31.657,
      "optimistic_value": 31.02,
      "output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
      "conservative_value": 29.45,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.12,
      "output_float": 0.06999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
      "realistic_value": 14.512,
      "optimistic_value": 14.33,
      "output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
      "conservative_value": 13.05,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.12,
      "output_float": 0.06999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
      "realistic_value": 51.274,
      "optimistic_value": 50.91,
      "output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
      "conservative_value": 43.51,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.12,
      "output_float": 0.06999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "realistic_value": 18.869,
      "optimistic_value": 17.56,
      "output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "conservative_value": 12.97,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.12,
      "output_float": 0.06999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "realistic_value": 13.847,
      "optimistic_value": 13.84,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "conservative_value": 11.82,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:13.275619Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.08,
      "output_float": 0.06999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
      "realistic_value": 10.133000000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 10,
      "output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
      "conservative_value": 8.9,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:02:22.532962Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.08,
      "output_float": 0.06999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
      "realistic_value": 46.205,
      "optimistic_value": 46.03,
      "output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
      "conservative_value": 40.17,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:27.351229Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.08,
      "output_float": 0.06999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
      "realistic_value": 10.5945,
      "optimistic_value": 10.5,
      "output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
      "conservative_value": 9.06,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:50:14.973313Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.08,
      "output_float": 0.06999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
      "realistic_value": 10.3565,
      "optimistic_value": 10.29,
      "output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
      "conservative_value": 8.24,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:04:58.198310Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.08,
      "output_float": 0.06999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
      "realistic_value": 10.383000000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 10.32,
      "output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
      "conservative_value": 8.34,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:57:39.114407Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_ac46223d8900327976ccb448",
  "input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.26,
      "skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
      "listing_id": "516368488726592006",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:06.016546Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.8,
      "skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
      "listing_id": "523123888071680770",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New)",
      "name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:37.465487Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.95,
      "skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
      "listing_id": "518620288314673192",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New)",
      "name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:37.465487Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
      "listing_id": "523123091073111946",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Factory New)",
      "name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:43.793930Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.78,
      "skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
      "listing_id": "525375740885184271",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:13:27.985841Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.92,
      "skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
      "listing_id": "523123722383769418",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:18:56.309444Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.95,
      "skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
      "listing_id": "528753335314230633",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:13:27.985841Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.46,
      "skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
      "listing_id": "506235389470490196",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
      "name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:04:45.889228Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.55,
      "skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
      "listing_id": "509613089304746343",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
      "name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:13:15.537480Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.56,
      "skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
      "listing_id": "500605889842157771",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
      "name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:13:15.537480Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Restricted",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-36:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST	Liquidation 8.0% $11.18 Electrum 12.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 12.0% $6.12 Galigator 12.0% $3.56 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $2.91 Amberline 12.0% $2.88	$11.18 +215.9%	$4.69 +32.6%	44.0%	+84.1%	$3.54	—
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST	Liquidation 8.0% $21.44 Electrum 12.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 12.0% $10.78 Amberline 12.0% $6.18 Galigator 12.0% $5.73 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $5.01	$21.44 +210.3%	$8.37 +21.1%	32.0%	+73.7%	$6.91	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST	Liquidation 10.0% $11.18 Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Galigator 10.0% $3.57 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $2.91 Amberline 10.0% $2.88	$11.18 +225.1%	$4.56 +32.6%	40.0%	+87.4%	$3.44	—
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST	Liquidation 12.0% $11.18 Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.56 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $2.91 Amberline 8.0% $2.88	$11.18 +232.9%	$4.42 +31.6%	36.0%	+90.7%	$3.36	—
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST	Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Liquidation 6.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $12.98	$51.27 +185.3%	$23.36 +30.0%	48.0%	+74.4%	$17.97	—
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST	Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Liquidation 4.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $12.98	$51.27 +175.1%	$24.19 +29.8%	52.0%	+73.0%	$18.64	—
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST	Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Liquidation 2.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $12.98	$51.27 +165.7%	$25.03 +29.7%	38.0%	+72.1%	$19.30	—
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST	Liquidation 14.0% $11.18 Electrum 6.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 6.0% $6.12 Galigator 6.0% $3.56 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $2.91 Amberline 6.0% $2.88	$11.18 +236.9%	$4.29 +29.2%	32.0%	+93.3%	$3.32	—
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST	Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Amberline 4.0% $6.18 Galigator 4.0% $5.73 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $5.01	$21.44 +227.8%	$7.81 +19.4%	24.0%	+89.1%	$6.54	—
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST	Electrum 2.0% $51.27 Liquidation 18.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 2.0% $31.66 Amberline 2.0% $18.87 Galigator 2.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $13.85	$51.27 +221.1%	$18.38 +15.1%	24.0%	+80.5%	$15.97	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Ice Coaled 3.3% $115.81 Smoking Kills 3.3% $98.16 Mirror Mosaic 3.3% $88.96 Kintsugi 30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze 30.0% $59.23	$290.04 +186.2%	$133.20 +31.5%	33.3%	+102.1%	$101.33	—
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST	The Oligarch 5.0% $961.24 Queen's Gambit 45.0% $843.46 Full Throttle 5.0% $708.03 Fully Tuned 45.0% $484.90	$961.24 +73.7%	$681.23 +23.1%	55.0%	+32.9%	$553.23	—