The Clutch Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted WW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn
Inputs
Grip
1x $0.17
Night Riot
4x $0.23
Shredded
4x $0.26
Red Tide
1x $0.31
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
16.7% $5.01
Glitched Paint
16.7% $2.93
Bleeding Edge
16.7% $2.10
Moonrise
10.0% $1.28
Lionfish
10.0% $0.82
Arctic Wolf
10.0% $0.71
Max Win
$5.01 (+87.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.09 (-21.6%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+57.3%
Cost
$2.67
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.67
Ask Price EV $2.09 (-21.6%)
Bid Price EV $1.94 (-27.4%)
Ask Profit $-0.58 (-21.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.73 (-27.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.16 (+5.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.58
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.73
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $5.01 (+87.5%)
Worst Case $0.68 (-74.5%)
Volatility +57.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$1.30
Avg Loss -$1.51
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.68 (-74.5%)
Std Dev $1.53
Avg Norm Float 0.4481
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 141h 26m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Well-Worn
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Red Tide
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 55M 00S //TOTAL COST $2.67 //ASK PRICE EV $2.09 //BID PRICE EV $1.94 //ASK PROFIT $-0.58 (-21.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.73 (-27.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $5.01 //VOLATILITY +57.3% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.7%
$5.01
+$2.34
+87.5%
$4.66
+$1.99
+74.5%
$0.35
6.9%
—
SMALL WIN
16.7%
$2.93
+$0.26
+9.7%
$2.76
+$0.09
+3.4%
$0.17
5.8%
—
LOSS
16.7%
$2.10
-$0.57
-21.2%
$1.90
-$0.77
-28.8%
$0.20
9.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.28
-$1.39
-52.0%
$1.16
-$1.51
-56.6%
$0.12
9.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.82
-$1.85
-69.2%
$0.81
-$1.86
-69.7%
$0.01
1.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.71
-$1.96
-73.3%
$0.64
-$2.03
-76.0%
$0.07
10.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.71
-$1.96
-73.4%
$0.60
-$2.07
-77.5%
$0.11
15.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.68
-$1.99
-74.5%
$0.64
-$2.03
-76.0%
$0.04
6.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.3360975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 5.0065,
"optimistic_value": 4.94,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 4.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:33.975888Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.3002471,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 2.9295,
"optimistic_value": 2.87,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 2.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:34:26.086976Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.26887799999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 2.1035,
"optimistic_value": 2.1,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 1.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:19.888062Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.2912845,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 1.2805,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:37:50.800531Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.41227959999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 0.71,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 0.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:12.230831Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.2464715,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 0.8234999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.82,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 0.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T14:46:22.743385Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.358504,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 0.681,
"optimistic_value": 0.66,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:54:30.301738Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.358504,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 0.7134999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:30.909612Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ac19ef16e122f68e8ddb0db6",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "496101493266995291",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Well-Worn)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:59.007749Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "515242588554371041",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:34:33.804891Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "518620288313115652",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:34:33.804891Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "505109489448610724",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:45.996251Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "518619491434524568",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:45.996251Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "496102290328488011",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:55.747633Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "527627435178804896",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:55.747633Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "527627435179581668",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:55.747633Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-1244c7faf3ea",
"listing_id": "498353293087104787",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Red Tide (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Red Tide",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1244c7faf3ea.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:10.505483Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "501731789730287357",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:41.092385Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:5+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 16.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 16.7% $7.10 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $5.58 Moonrise 10.0% $2.25 Lionfish 10.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 10.0% $0.80 | $15.94 +289.8% | $5.34 +30.6% | 50.0% | +119.6% | $4.09 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 16.7% $33.42 Glitched Paint 16.7% $17.42 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $16.98 Moonrise 10.0% $5.40 Lionfish 10.0% $3.74 SWAG-7 10.0% $1.74 | $33.42 +170.4% | $12.69 +2.7% | 50.0% | +82.4% | $12.36 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 23.3% $15.94 Glitched Paint 23.3% $7.07 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $5.59 Moonrise 6.0% $2.25 Lionfish 6.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 6.0% $0.80 | $15.94 +200.8% | $7.02 +32.4% | 70.0% | +93.8% | $5.30 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 20.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 20.0% $7.07 Bleeding Edge 20.0% $5.34 Moonrise 8.0% $2.25 Lionfish 8.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 8.0% $0.80 | $15.94 +237.7% | $6.13 +29.9% | 60.0% | +105.7% | $4.72 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $7.07 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.59 Moonrise 2.0% $2.25 Lionfish 2.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 2.0% $0.80 | $15.94 +132.7% | $8.69 +26.9% | 60.0% | +69.4% | $6.85 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 26.7% $7.07 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.34 Moonrise 4.0% $2.25 Lionfish 4.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 4.0% $0.80 | $15.94 +158.0% | $7.79 +26.0% | 53.3% | +79.8% | $6.18 | — |