The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Dezastre
1x $0.15
Slag
2x $0.16
Dark Sigil
1x $0.18
Motorized
1x $0.18
Hideout
2x $0.19
Light Box
1x $0.21
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
4.0% $11.18
Cat Fight
4.0% $2.28
Etch Lord
16.0% $2.28
Angel Eyes
4.0% $2.07
Ocular
4.0% $2.07
Block-18
16.0% $2.01
Max Win
$11.18 (+491.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.17 (+14.7%)
Win %
48.0%
Volatility
+99.0%
Cost
$1.89
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.89
Ask Price EV $2.17 (+14.7%)
Bid Price EV $1.96 (+3.7%)
Ask Profit $0.28 (+14.7%)
Bid Profit $0.07 (+3.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.21 (+11.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.28
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.07
Risk
Win Probability 48.0%
Loss Probability 52.0%
Best Case $11.18 (+491.8%)
Worst Case $1.37 (-27.6%)
Volatility +99.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 16.0%
Avg Win +$1.01
Avg Loss -$0.39
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.37 (-27.6%)
Std Dev $1.87
Avg Norm Float 0.3040
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 146h 28m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Well-Worn
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 26M 55S //TOTAL COST $1.89 //ASK PRICE EV $2.17 //BID PRICE EV $1.96 //ASK PROFIT $0.28 (+14.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.07 (+3.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 48.0% //BEST CASE $11.18 //VOLATILITY +99.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$11.18
+$9.29
+491.8%
$9.26
+$7.37
+389.9%
$1.92
17.2%
—
WIN
4.0%
$2.28
+$0.39
+20.7%
$1.96
+$0.07
+3.7%
$0.32
14.1%
—
WIN
16.0%
$2.28
+$0.39
+20.5%
$2.08
+$0.19
+10.1%
$0.20
8.7%
—
PAPER WIN
4.0%
$2.07
+$0.18
+9.7%
$1.85
-$0.04
-2.1%
$0.22
10.8%
—
PAPER WIN
4.0%
$2.07
+$0.18
+9.3%
$1.81
-$0.08
-4.2%
$0.26
12.4%
—
SMALL WIN
16.0%
$2.01
+$0.12
+6.2%
$1.93
+$0.04
+2.1%
$0.08
3.8%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$1.85
-$0.04
-1.9%
$1.84
-$0.05
-2.6%
$0.01
0.7%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.56
-$0.33
-17.5%
$1.43
-$0.46
-24.3%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.47
-$0.42
-22.2%
$1.39
-$0.50
-26.5%
$0.08
5.4%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.37
-$0.52
-27.6%
$1.24
-$0.65
-34.4%
$0.13
9.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.30405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:20:24.497326Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.20428359375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 2.007,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 1.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:46:05.315017Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.30405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.2775,
"optimistic_value": 2.26,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:31.371672Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.30405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.188164383,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.3675,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:34.567927Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.30405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 2.0735,
"optimistic_value": 2.07,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:13.023709Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.30405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 11.1845,
"optimistic_value": 11.09,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 9.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:37.549162Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.30405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 2.2805,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 1.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:19.100695Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.30405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 2.0665,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T06:00:08.287380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.30405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 1.8535000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.85,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 1.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:40.506951Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_aa8eb8d585cccb1b145fcd73",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "525375688037052259",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Well-Worn)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:19:48.266131Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "526501587737921273",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:15.335484Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "498354089952591043",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:56.901787Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "525374890948082251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:15:36.531491Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "507360492276906205",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:39.363233Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "498353293087098595",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:15.335484Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:39.363233Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116523130036718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:56.286676Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "515242588555276153",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:19:47.708347Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "512990789044186079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:26.569911Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:8+collection-set-community-36:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 4.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 4.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 4.0% $4.21 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Continuum 4.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +545.8% | $4.17 +25.7% | 52.0% | +104.1% | $3.32 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Liquidation 4.0% $46.21 Etch Lord 16.0% $13.06 Continuum 4.0% $10.66 Cat Fight 4.0% $10.59 Ocular 4.0% $10.40 Angel Eyes 4.0% $10.13 | $46.21 +348.6% | $10.47 +1.6% | 32.0% | +70.1% | $10.30 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 8.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 8.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 8.0% $4.21 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Continuum 8.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +436.0% | $5.03 +25.7% | 56.0% | +116.8% | $4.00 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 12.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 12.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 12.0% $4.21 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Continuum 12.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +357.1% | $5.88 +25.4% | 12.0% | +117.7% | $4.69 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 6.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 6.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 6.0% $4.21 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Continuum 6.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +482.6% | $4.60 +25.0% | 58.0% | +112.3% | $3.68 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 10.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 10.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 10.0% $4.21 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Continuum 10.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +390.6% | $5.46 +24.8% | 20.0% | +117.4% | $4.37 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 14.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 14.0% $4.21 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Continuum 14.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +320.4% | $6.31 +23.7% | 14.0% | +115.1% | $5.10 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Genesis Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 16.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 16.0% $4.21 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Continuum 16.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +291.2% | $6.74 +22.9% | 16.0% | +112.8% | $5.48 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Genesis Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 2.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 2.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 2.0% $4.21 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Continuum 2.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +596.1% | $3.75 +21.7% | 64.0% | +82.1% | $3.08 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Genesis Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 18.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 2.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 18.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 18.0% $4.21 Block-18 2.0% $4.19 Continuum 18.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +264.0% | $7.16 +21.6% | 18.0% | +109.8% | $5.89 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Ice Coaled  20.0% $26.55 Black Lotus  13.3% $23.51 Smoking Kills  20.0% $21.84 Mirror Mosaic  20.0% $19.60 Jawbreaker  13.3% $14.90 Olympus  13.3% $8.82 | $26.55 +69.2% | $19.89 +26.8% | 73.3% | +35.5% | $15.69 | — |