The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Motorized
1x $0.35
Dark Sigil
2x $0.36
Dezastre
3x $0.38
Light Box
1x $0.76
Hideout
1x $1.51
MAGnitude
1x $1.15
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
4.0% $46.21
Etch Lord
16.0% $13.06
Continuum
4.0% $10.66
Cat Fight
4.0% $10.59
Ocular
4.0% $10.40
Angel Eyes
4.0% $10.13
Max Win
$46.21 (+348.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.47 (+1.6%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+75.4%
Cost
$10.30
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $10.30
Ask Price EV $10.47 (+1.6%)
Bid Price EV $9.20 (-10.7%)
Ask Profit $0.17 (+1.6%)
Bid Profit $-1.10 (-10.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.26 (+12.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.17
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.10
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $46.21 (+348.6%)
Worst Case $4.08 (-60.4%)
Volatility +75.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 16.0%
Avg Win +$5.96
Avg Loss -$2.56
Bottom 5% Outcome $4.08 (-60.4%)
Std Dev $7.77
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 145h 52m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Minimal Wear
$0.76 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Factory New
$1.51 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Factory New
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | MAGnitude
—
Minimal Wear
$1.15 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Factory New
$2.18 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 26M 55S //TOTAL COST $10.30 //ASK PRICE EV $10.47 //BID PRICE EV $9.20 //ASK PROFIT $0.17 (+1.6%) //BID PROFIT $-1.10 (-10.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $46.21 //VOLATILITY +75.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$46.21
+$35.91
+348.6%
$40.17
+$29.87
+290.0%
$6.03
13.1%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$13.06
+$2.76
+26.8%
$12.03
+$1.73
+16.8%
$1.03
7.9%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$10.66
+$0.36
+3.5%
$8.34
-$1.96
-19.0%
$2.32
21.8%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$10.59
+$0.29
+2.9%
$9.06
-$1.24
-12.0%
$1.53
14.5%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$10.40
+$0.10
+1.0%
$8.24
-$2.06
-20.0%
$2.16
20.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$10.13
-$0.17
-1.6%
$8.90
-$1.40
-13.6%
$1.23
12.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$9.49
-$0.81
-7.9%
$7.86
-$2.44
-23.7%
$1.63
17.2%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$8.90
-$1.40
-13.6%
$7.77
-$2.53
-24.6%
$1.13
12.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$7.89
-$2.41
-23.4%
$7.43
-$2.87
-27.9%
$0.46
5.8%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$4.08
-$6.22
-60.4%
$3.74
-$6.56
-63.7%
$0.34
8.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 7.8895,
"optimistic_value": 7.83,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 7.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:16.444156Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.04699765625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 8.897,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 7.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.653469Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 13.056999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.35,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 12.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.589744Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 9.4875,
"optimistic_value": 9.47,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 7.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:24.636000Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.043289257,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 4.077,
"optimistic_value": 4,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 3.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:32.278811Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 10.133000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 8.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:15:06.086691Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 46.205,
"optimistic_value": 46.03,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 40.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:27.351229Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 10.5945,
"optimistic_value": 10.5,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 9.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:03:21.947910Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 10.402,
"optimistic_value": 10.36,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 8.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:57:30.027380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 10.661,
"optimistic_value": 10.5,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 8.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:24.494348Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_aa8eb8d585cccb1b145fcd73",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:12.090797Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:33.516445Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "494976390477239502",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:11.976800Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "515241791654317225",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:11.976800Z"
},
{
"price": 0.76,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "622201718386433724",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:18:00.777225Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "514115891832272466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:15:01.898348Z"
},
{
"price": 1.51,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "519746022669746780",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:18:45.182896Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "528753335311947405",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:27.309063Z"
},
{
"price": 1.15,
"skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
"listing_id": "661608215056985932",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:36.090176Z"
},
{
"price": 2.18,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "523123091073111946",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:20.531575Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:8+collection-set-community-36:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 4.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 4.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 4.0% $4.21 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Continuum 4.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +545.8% | $4.17 +25.7% | 52.0% | +104.1% | $3.32 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Genesis Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 4.0% $11.18 Cat Fight 4.0% $2.28 Etch Lord 16.0% $2.28 Angel Eyes 4.0% $2.07 Ocular 4.0% $2.07 Block-18 16.0% $2.01 | $11.18 +491.8% | $2.17 +14.7% | 48.0% | +95.5% | $1.89 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Genesis Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 8.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 8.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 8.0% $4.21 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Continuum 8.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +436.0% | $5.03 +25.7% | 56.0% | +116.8% | $4.00 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 12.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 12.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 12.0% $4.21 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Continuum 12.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +357.1% | $5.88 +25.4% | 12.0% | +117.7% | $4.69 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Genesis Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 6.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 6.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 6.0% $4.21 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Continuum 6.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +482.6% | $4.60 +25.0% | 58.0% | +112.3% | $3.68 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Genesis Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 10.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 10.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 10.0% $4.21 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Continuum 10.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +390.6% | $5.46 +24.8% | 20.0% | +117.4% | $4.37 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Genesis Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 14.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 14.0% $4.21 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Continuum 14.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +320.4% | $6.31 +23.7% | 14.0% | +115.1% | $5.10 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Genesis Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 16.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 16.0% $4.21 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Continuum 16.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +291.2% | $6.74 +22.9% | 16.0% | +112.8% | $5.48 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Genesis Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 2.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 2.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 2.0% $4.21 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Continuum 2.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +596.1% | $3.75 +21.7% | 64.0% | +82.1% | $3.08 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Genesis Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 18.0% $21.44 Etch Lord 2.0% $4.45 Cat Fight 18.0% $4.32 Angel Eyes 18.0% $4.21 Block-18 2.0% $4.19 Continuum 18.0% $4.02 | $21.44 +264.0% | $7.16 +21.6% | 18.0% | +109.8% | $5.89 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Genesis Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Ice Coaled  20.0% $26.55 Black Lotus  13.3% $23.51 Smoking Kills  20.0% $21.84 Mirror Mosaic  20.0% $19.60 Jawbreaker  13.3% $14.90 Olympus  13.3% $8.82 | $26.55 +69.2% | $19.89 +26.8% | 73.3% | +35.5% | $15.69 | — |