The Achroma Collection ×6+The Harlequin Collection ×4
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Aeolian Dark
1x $0.07
Dark Chamber
4x $0.07
Snow Splash
1x $0.10
Banana Leaf
1x $0.05
Coral Paisley
1x $0.06
XoooM
1x $0.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Fraise Crane
10.0% $2.93
Sky Mandala
10.0% $1.58
Earth Mandala
10.0% $1.08
Warm Blooded
10.0% $1.05
The Daily Deagle
15.0% $0.90
Aeolian Light
15.0% $0.69
Max Win
$2.93 (+271.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.02 (+29.1%)
Win %
55.0%
Volatility
+92.8%
Cost
$0.79
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.79
Ask Price EV $1.02 (+29.1%)
Bid Price EV $0.93 (+18.1%)
Ask Profit $0.23 (+29.1%)
Bid Profit $0.14 (+18.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.09 (+11.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.23
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.14
Risk
Win Probability 55.0%
Loss Probability 45.0%
Best Case $2.93 (+271.4%)
Worst Case $0.36 (-54.4%)
Volatility +92.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$0.67
Avg Loss -$0.30
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.36 (-54.4%)
Std Dev $0.73
Avg Norm Float 0.2099
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 33h 54m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M4A4 | Aeolian Dark
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Snow Splash
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Field-Tested
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | XoooM
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Calligrafaux
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 32M 18S //TOTAL COST $0.79 //ASK PRICE EV $1.02 //BID PRICE EV $0.93 //ASK PROFIT $0.23 (+29.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.14 (+18.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 55.0% //BEST CASE $2.93 //VOLATILITY +92.8% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$2.93
+$2.14
+271.4%
$2.39
+$1.60
+202.5%
$0.54
18.5%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$1.58
+$0.79
+100.0%
$1.57
+$0.78
+98.7%
$0.01
0.6%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.08
+$0.29
+37.2%
$1.03
+$0.24
+30.4%
$0.05
4.9%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.05
+$0.26
+33.0%
$1.01
+$0.22
+27.8%
$0.04
3.9%
—
SMALL WIN
15.0%
$0.90
+$0.11
+14.4%
$0.84
+$0.05
+6.3%
$0.06
7.1%
—
LOSS
15.0%
$0.69
-$0.10
-12.2%
$0.66
-$0.13
-16.5%
$0.03
4.8%
—
NUKE
15.0%
$0.41
-$0.38
-48.0%
$0.40
-$0.39
-49.4%
$0.01
2.6%
—
NUKE
15.0%
$0.36
-$0.43
-54.4%
$0.32
-$0.47
-59.5%
$0.04
11.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.167952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-784a6c99447c",
"realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Creep",
"conservative_value": 0.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Creep (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T01:26:01.939519Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-784a6c99447c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.12176519999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"realistic_value": 0.904,
"optimistic_value": 0.89,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"conservative_value": 0.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:51.226313Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.15745499999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"realistic_value": 0.36,
"optimistic_value": 0.36,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"conservative_value": 0.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:59:59.521823Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.136461,
"output_skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"realistic_value": 0.6934999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:58.230980Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.136461,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 2.9339999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 2.92,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 2.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:56.777445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14695799999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 1.58,
"optimistic_value": 1.58,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 1.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:47:20.129562Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14695799999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 1.0505,
"optimistic_value": 1.04,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:27.297782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1385604,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 1.0835000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.08,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 1.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:50.034477Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a9d0082630906e5c00b31c67",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-9449a702cb3c",
"listing_id": "506234592355985460",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Aeolian Dark",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9449a702cb3c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:00:54.158741Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "497228024529123485",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:26.220512Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "501731737286411441",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:26.220512Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "524249840859149823",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:13:27.471259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-2787809612be",
"listing_id": "525375740885565439",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Snow Splash",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2787809612be.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:48.535399Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-f41134aec544",
"listing_id": "514116741797060610",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f41134aec544.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:13:27.471259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "500605942755659519",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:54.828756Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "527627540537831864",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:37.363031Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"listing_id": "525375688037758579",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:48.121592Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-2efacc35df16",
"listing_id": "500605889841587387",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2efacc35df16.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:04:50.361937Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:6+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Achroma Collection ×6+The Harlequin Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Fraise Crane 10.0% $6.16 Earth Mandala 10.0% $2.30 The Daily Deagle 15.0% $2.21 Aeolian Light 15.0% $1.92 Sky Mandala 10.0% $1.58 Warm Blooded 10.0% $1.05 | $6.16 +238.4% | $1.97 +8.4% | 50.0% | +75.2% | $1.82 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Achroma Collection ×7+The Harlequin Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 7.5% $2.93 Sky Mandala 7.5% $1.58 Earth Mandala 7.5% $1.08 Warm Blooded 7.5% $1.05 The Daily Deagle 17.5% $0.90 Creep 17.5% $0.89 | $2.93 +237.2% | $1.06 +22.2% | 65.0% | +62.2% | $0.87 | — |