The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Scrawl
4x $0.19
Poultrygeist
1x $0.29
Foresight
2x $0.30
Ensnared
1x $0.32
Hypnosis
1x $0.49
Trail Blazer
1x $0.75
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
4.0% $14.22
Turbine
4.0% $12.89
Saibā Oni
4.0% $8.54
Hydro Strike
4.0% $6.39
Randy Rush
4.0% $4.44
Night Terror
16.0% $4.12
Max Win
$14.22 (+306.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.77 (+7.8%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+98.4%
Cost
$3.50
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $3.50
Ask Price EV $3.77 (+7.8%)
Bid Price EV $3.25 (-7.1%)
Ask Profit $0.27 (+7.8%)
Bid Profit $-0.25 (-7.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.52 (+14.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.27
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.25
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $14.22 (+306.4%)
Worst Case $1.14 (-67.5%)
Volatility +98.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$2.56
Avg Loss -$2.20
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.14 (-67.5%)
Std Dev $3.45
Avg Norm Float 0.1494
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 146h 24m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.75 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 05M 30S //TOTAL COST $3.50 //ASK PRICE EV $3.77 //BID PRICE EV $3.25 //ASK PROFIT $0.27 (+7.8%) //BID PROFIT $-0.25 (-7.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $14.22 //VOLATILITY +98.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$14.22
+$10.72
+306.4%
$12.20
+$8.70
+248.6%
$2.02
14.2%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$12.89
+$9.39
+268.3%
$11.24
+$7.74
+221.1%
$1.65
12.8%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$8.54
+$5.04
+144.0%
$7.91
+$4.41
+126.0%
$0.63
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$6.39
+$2.89
+82.4%
$5.78
+$2.28
+65.1%
$0.60
9.5%
—
WIN
4.0%
$4.44
+$0.93
+26.7%
$3.65
+$0.15
+4.3%
$0.78
17.7%
—
PAPER WIN
16.0%
$4.12
+$0.62
+17.8%
$3.46
-$0.04
-1.1%
$0.66
16.1%
—
PAPER WIN
16.0%
$3.94
+$0.44
+12.6%
$3.26
-$0.24
-6.9%
$0.68
17.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$1.43
-$2.07
-59.1%
$1.22
-$2.28
-65.1%
$0.21
14.7%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.32
-$2.18
-62.3%
$1.19
-$2.31
-66.0%
$0.13
9.9%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.14
-$2.36
-67.5%
$1.00
-$2.50
-71.4%
$0.14
12.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14939,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 1.4304999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.42,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 1.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:17.836207Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.10457299999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 4.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:15.418096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.10009130000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.3205,
"optimistic_value": 1.31,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:19:39.183451Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1135364,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.074695,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.1385,
"optimistic_value": 1.1,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:22.775433Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.11972383501999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 6.385,
"optimistic_value": 6.14,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 5.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:00.005902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1269815,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 12.8915,
"optimistic_value": 12.65,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 11.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.603657Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.0985974,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 8.539000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 7.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:51.999651Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.11204249999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 4.435,
"optimistic_value": 3.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:04:56.282428Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.11204249999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 14.224,
"optimistic_value": 14,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 12.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.297824Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_98ed2418731e31a2d11dbe50",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "529879287551518416",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:40.959835Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "514116688948507758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:40.959835Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289451954337",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:40.959835Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-2c6b935bb4eb",
"listing_id": "509612292204674439",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c6b935bb4eb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:58.428625Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292238590183",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:49.866237Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292231168711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:49.866237Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "514116523130036466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:53.768367Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289452933933",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:20:17.099580Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "510738989039869354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:09:41.957907Z"
},
{
"price": 0.75,
"skin_id": "skin-03f6e200c8b6",
"listing_id": "521997988014704562",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-03f6e200c8b6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:29.967787Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:8+collection-set-community-34:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +382.2% | $3.69 +25.0% | 52.0% | +102.4% | $2.95 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +323.3% | $4.39 +30.6% | 58.0% | +100.6% | $3.36 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Night Terror 12.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +256.5% | $5.09 +27.5% | 52.0% | +89.6% | $3.99 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 10.0% $4.44 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +204.6% | $5.79 +24.0% | 40.0% | +78.4% | $4.67 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 12.0% $4.44 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +169.4% | $6.49 +22.9% | 48.0% | +69.7% | $5.28 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 2.0% $14.22 Saibā Oni 2.0% $8.54 Turbine 2.0% $5.05 Randy Rush 2.0% $4.44 Night Terror 18.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 18.0% $3.94 | $14.22 +518.4% | $2.76 +19.9% | 46.0% | +87.4% | $2.30 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $14.22 Turbine 14.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 14.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 14.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 14.0% $4.44 Night Terror 6.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +136.3% | $7.19 +19.5% | 56.0% | +60.9% | $6.02 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Vaporwave  20.0% $288.29 Starlight Protector  30.0% $95.25 Nightwish  30.0% $92.29 Gold Toof  20.0% $69.84 | $288.29 +181.6% | $127.89 +24.9% | 20.0% | +78.9% | $102.39 | — |