The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Foresight
2x $0.30
Scrawl
1x $0.41
Necro Jr.
2x $0.52
Lifted Spirits
2x $1.39
Ensnared
1x $1.89
Statics
2x $1.11
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
4.0% $36.14
Turbine
4.0% $36.07
Saibā Oni
4.0% $18.57
Hydro Strike
4.0% $16.76
Ticket to Hell
16.0% $10.13
Randy Rush
4.0% $9.47
Max Win
$36.14 (+235.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$9.42 (-12.5%)
Win %
16.0%
Volatility
+82.7%
Cost
$10.76
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $10.76
Ask Price EV $9.42 (-12.5%)
Bid Price EV $8.10 (-24.7%)
Ask Profit $-1.34 (-12.5%)
Bid Profit $-2.66 (-24.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.32 (+12.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.34
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.66
Risk
Win Probability 16.0%
Loss Probability 84.0%
Best Case $36.14 (+235.9%)
Worst Case $2.45 (-77.2%)
Volatility +82.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$16.13
Avg Loss -$4.67
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.45 (-77.2%)
Std Dev $8.90
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 146h 22m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Factory New
$1.39 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Factory New
$1.49 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Factory New
$1.72 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Factory New
$1.89 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Statics
—
Minimal Wear
$1.11 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Statics
—
Minimal Wear
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 04M 58S //TOTAL COST $10.76 //ASK PRICE EV $9.42 //BID PRICE EV $8.10 //ASK PROFIT $-1.34 (-12.5%) //BID PROFIT $-2.66 (-24.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 16.0% //BEST CASE $36.14 //VOLATILITY +82.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID
4.0%
$36.14
+$25.38
+235.9%
$27.00
+$16.24
+150.9%
$9.14
25.3%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$36.07
+$25.31
+235.2%
$32.04
+$21.28
+197.8%
$4.03
11.2%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$18.57
+$7.81
+72.6%
$15.73
+$4.97
+46.2%
$2.84
15.3%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$16.76
+$6.00
+55.8%
$14.28
+$3.52
+32.7%
$2.48
14.8%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$10.13
-$0.63
-5.9%
$8.42
-$2.34
-21.7%
$1.71
16.8%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$9.47
-$1.29
-12.0%
$8.92
-$1.84
-17.1%
$0.55
5.8%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$8.12
-$2.64
-24.5%
$7.88
-$2.88
-26.8%
$0.24
2.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$5.94
-$4.82
-44.8%
$5.08
-$5.68
-52.8%
$0.86
14.5%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$2.99
-$7.78
-72.3%
$2.62
-$8.14
-75.7%
$0.36
12.2%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$2.45
-$8.31
-77.2%
$2.13
-$8.63
-80.2%
$0.32
13.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 5.939,
"optimistic_value": 5.89,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 5.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:15:42.534576Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.048943999999999994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 8.119,
"optimistic_value": 7.93,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 7.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:16.557624Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.0468464,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 2.985,
"optimistic_value": 2.95,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T20:23:52.712289Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.0531392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 10.125,
"optimistic_value": 10.09,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 8.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:05:44.991761Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.03496,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 2.45,
"optimistic_value": 2.45,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 2.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:25.107605Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.05603514655999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 16.759,
"optimistic_value": 16.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 14.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.350675Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.05943199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 36.0705,
"optimistic_value": 35.57,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 32.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T08:34:09.254161Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.0461472,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 18.573,
"optimistic_value": 18.09,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 15.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:48.491520Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.05244,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 9.472999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 9.2,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 8.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:52.376637Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.05244,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 36.1385,
"optimistic_value": 35.61,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.036973Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_98ed2418731e31a2d11dbe50",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292238590183",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:49.866237Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292231168711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:49.866237Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289452933933",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:20:17.099580Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "501730992860193137",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:53.844137Z"
},
{
"price": 1.39,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "523123888072588654",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:06.683028Z"
},
{
"price": 1.49,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "497228190142007705",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:11.430271Z"
},
{
"price": 1.72,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "506235389469297444",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:06.683028Z"
},
{
"price": 1.89,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "624453518130657294",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:01.209178Z"
},
{
"price": 1.11,
"skin_id": "skin-63ed7bb762a0",
"listing_id": "499479989896945201",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Statics",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63ed7bb762a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:04:56.557602Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-63ed7bb762a0",
"listing_id": "775323495749622894",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Statics",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63ed7bb762a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:04:56.557602Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:8+collection-set-community-34:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +382.2% | $3.69 +25.0% | 52.0% | +102.4% | $2.95 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +306.4% | $3.77 +7.8% | 52.0% | +85.3% | $3.50 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +323.3% | $4.39 +30.6% | 58.0% | +100.6% | $3.36 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Night Terror 12.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +256.5% | $5.09 +27.5% | 52.0% | +89.6% | $3.99 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 10.0% $4.44 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +204.6% | $5.79 +24.0% | 40.0% | +78.4% | $4.67 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 12.0% $4.44 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +169.4% | $6.49 +22.9% | 48.0% | +69.7% | $5.28 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 2.0% $14.22 Saibā Oni 2.0% $8.54 Turbine 2.0% $5.05 Randy Rush 2.0% $4.44 Night Terror 18.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 18.0% $3.94 | $14.22 +518.4% | $2.76 +19.9% | 46.0% | +87.4% | $2.30 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $14.22 Turbine 14.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 14.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 14.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 14.0% $4.44 Night Terror 6.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +136.3% | $7.19 +19.5% | 56.0% | +60.9% | $6.02 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Vaporwave  20.0% $288.29 Starlight Protector  30.0% $95.25 Nightwish  30.0% $92.29 Gold Toof  20.0% $69.84 | $288.29 +181.6% | $127.89 +24.9% | 20.0% | +78.9% | $102.39 | — |