The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Banana Cannon
1x $0.80
Neoqueen
3x $1.42
Urban Sovereign
6x $2.88
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
20.0% $126.41
Kintsugi
20.0% $22.09
Deathgaze
20.0% $20.93
Duality
13.3% $18.23
Wild Child
13.3% $10.25
Wicked Sick
13.3% $9.57
Max Win
$126.41 (+297.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$38.96 (+22.5%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+138.2%
Cost
$31.81
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $31.81
Ask Price EV $38.96 (+22.5%)
Bid Price EV $34.97 (+9.9%)
Ask Profit $7.15 (+22.5%)
Bid Profit $3.16 (+9.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.99 (+12.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$7.15
Bid Slippage Buffer +$3.16
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $126.41 (+297.4%)
Worst Case $9.57 (-69.9%)
Volatility +138.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$94.60
Avg Loss -$14.71
Bottom 5% Outcome $9.57 (-69.9%)
Std Dev $43.98
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 13m
Oldest Output Price 151h 34m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
—
Field-Tested
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Minimal Wear
$1.42 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Minimal Wear
$1.46 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Minimal Wear
$1.53 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$2.88 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.94 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.95 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.02 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 50M 51S //TOTAL COST $31.81 //ASK PRICE EV $38.96 //BID PRICE EV $34.97 //ASK PROFIT $7.15 (+22.5%) //BID PROFIT $3.16 (+9.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +138.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$126.41
+$94.60
+297.4%
$112.39
+$80.58
+253.3%
$14.02
11.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$22.09
-$9.72
-30.5%
$20.66
-$11.15
-35.1%
$1.43
6.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$20.93
-$10.88
-34.2%
$19.40
-$12.41
-39.0%
$1.53
7.3%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$18.23
-$13.58
-42.7%
$15.22
-$16.59
-52.2%
$3.01
16.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$10.25
-$21.56
-67.8%
$9.14
-$22.67
-71.3%
$1.11
10.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$9.57
-$22.24
-69.9%
$9.24
-$22.57
-71.0%
$0.33
3.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 22.094,
"optimistic_value": 21.66,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:07.886004Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 20.9345,
"optimistic_value": 20.42,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:18:50.374702Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.11974400000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d42f9ca97ef6",
"realistic_value": 18.232,
"optimistic_value": 18.05,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Duality",
"conservative_value": 15.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:48:00.390173Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d42f9ca97ef6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"realistic_value": 9.5685,
"optimistic_value": 9.46,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"conservative_value": 9.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:08:52.550385Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"realistic_value": 10.2465,
"optimistic_value": 10.04,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"conservative_value": 9.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:26.263355Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_97eaf32cc4e235f2441df4f6",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"listing_id": "508487242222169354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:08:29.004412Z"
},
{
"price": 1.42,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "508487136896638334",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:15.956504Z"
},
{
"price": 1.46,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "506234592361495296",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:15.956504Z"
},
{
"price": 1.53,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "520871291139996204",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:15.956504Z"
},
{
"price": 2.88,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "525375740885690251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:46.386411Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:17:46.386411Z"
},
{
"price": 4.94,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "523123940969142898",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:40.300365Z"
},
{
"price": 4.95,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "512990789044606127",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:40.300365Z"
},
{
"price": 5.02,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "528753387757645605",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:40.300365Z"
},
{
"price": 5.17,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "512990789044601843",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:16:40.300365Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $61.06 Deathgaze 20.0% $59.23 Wicked Sick 13.3% $41.91 Duality 13.3% $37.34 Wild Child 13.3% $31.49 | $290.04 +294.7% | $96.83 +31.8% | 20.0% | +132.3% | $73.48 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $63.86 Kintsugi 20.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 20.0% $11.23 Duality 13.3% $9.41 Wicked Sick 13.3% $5.49 Wild Child 13.3% $5.13 | $63.86 +247.8% | $20.22 +10.1% | 20.0% | +119.7% | $18.36 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $61.06 Deathgaze 26.7% $59.23 Wicked Sick 6.7% $41.91 Duality 6.7% $37.34 Wild Child 6.7% $31.49 | $290.04 +232.6% | $116.81 +33.9% | 26.7% | +120.2% | $87.21 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze 30.0% $59.23 Wicked Sick 3.3% $41.91 Duality 3.3% $37.34 Wild Child 3.3% $31.49 | $290.04 +204.0% | $126.79 +32.9% | 30.0% | +112.2% | $95.42 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $61.06 Deathgaze 23.3% $59.23 Wicked Sick 10.0% $41.91 Duality 10.0% $37.34 Wild Child 10.0% $31.49 | $290.04 +259.9% | $106.82 +32.5% | 23.3% | +126.1% | $80.59 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $61.06 Deathgaze 16.7% $59.23 Wicked Sick 16.7% $41.91 Duality 16.7% $37.34 Wild Child 16.7% $31.49 | $290.04 +327.4% | $86.85 +28.0% | 16.7% | +134.8% | $67.87 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 13.3% $61.06 Deathgaze 13.3% $59.23 Wicked Sick 20.0% $41.91 Duality 20.0% $37.34 Wild Child 20.0% $31.49 | $290.04 +370.5% | $76.86 +24.7% | 13.3% | +136.7% | $61.64 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 10.0% $22.09 Deathgaze 10.0% $20.93 Duality 23.3% $18.23 Wild Child 23.3% $10.25 Wicked Sick 23.3% $9.57 | $126.41 +498.5% | $25.82 +22.3% | 20.0% | +160.4% | $21.12 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Kintsugi 6.7% $22.09 Deathgaze 6.7% $20.93 Duality 26.7% $18.23 Wild Child 26.7% $10.25 Wicked Sick 26.7% $9.57 | $126.41 +611.0% | $21.44 +20.6% | 46.7% | +159.9% | $17.78 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 3.3% $22.09 Deathgaze 3.3% $20.93 Duality 30.0% $18.23 Wild Child 30.0% $10.25 Wicked Sick 30.0% $9.57 | $126.41 +697.5% | $17.06 +7.6% | 40.0% | +131.0% | $15.85 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Amberline  14.0% $18.87 Galigator  14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S  6.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +233.4% | $20.21 +31.4% | 42.0% | +84.3% | $15.38 | — |