The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Neoqueen
4x $3.72
Urban Sovereign
3x $5.17
Galigator
1x $5.66
Amberline
2x $6.18
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
20.0% $290.04
Kintsugi
20.0% $61.35
Deathgaze
20.0% $59.23
Wicked Sick
13.3% $41.91
Duality
13.3% $37.34
Wild Child
13.3% $31.49
Max Win
$290.04 (+300.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$96.89 (+33.7%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+134.1%
Cost
$72.46
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $72.46
Ask Price EV $96.89 (+33.7%)
Bid Price EV $78.51 (+8.4%)
Ask Profit $24.43 (+33.7%)
Bid Profit $6.05 (+8.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $18.38 (+25.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$24.43
Bid Slippage Buffer +$6.05
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $290.04 (+300.3%)
Worst Case $31.49 (-56.5%)
Volatility +134.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$217.58
Avg Loss -$23.86
Bottom 5% Outcome $31.49 (-56.5%)
Std Dev $97.18
Avg Norm Float 0.0697
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 15h 29m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Factory New
$3.72 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Factory New
$4.19 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Factory New
$4.22 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Factory New
$7.77 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$5.66 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$13.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 43M 12S //TOTAL COST $72.46 //ASK PRICE EV $96.89 //BID PRICE EV $78.51 //ASK PROFIT $24.43 (+33.7%) //BID PROFIT $6.05 (+8.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +134.1% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$290.04
+$217.58
+300.3%
$229.11
+$156.65
+216.2%
$60.93
21.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$61.35
-$11.11
-15.3%
$53.43
-$19.03
-26.3%
$7.92
12.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$59.23
-$13.23
-18.3%
$48.81
-$23.65
-32.6%
$10.42
17.6%
—
NUKE THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$41.91
-$30.55
-42.2%
$29.86
-$42.60
-58.8%
$12.05
28.8%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$37.34
-$35.12
-48.5%
$34.42
-$38.04
-52.5%
$2.92
7.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$31.49
-$40.97
-56.5%
$27.54
-$44.92
-62.0%
$3.95
12.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 61.3465,
"optimistic_value": 61.21,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 53.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:02:57.737752Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 59.2345,
"optimistic_value": 56.9,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 48.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:09:53.834985Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.055728,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d42f9ca97ef6",
"realistic_value": 37.3365,
"optimistic_value": 36.99,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Duality",
"conservative_value": 34.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:26.953749Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d42f9ca97ef6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"realistic_value": 41.9125,
"optimistic_value": 40.95,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"conservative_value": 29.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:54:07.908429Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06966,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"realistic_value": 31.488000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 30.76,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"conservative_value": 27.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:52:05.258249Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_97eaf32cc4e235f2441df4f6",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.72,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "502857637417198936",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:44.964891Z"
},
{
"price": 4.19,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "528752590509304353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:44.964891Z"
},
{
"price": 4.22,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "649223316113975620",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:44.964891Z"
},
{
"price": 7.77,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "506234592360116892",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:44.964891Z"
},
{
"price": 5.17,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "512990789044601843",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:26.791667Z"
},
{
"price": 5.66,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "493850490550910008",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:30.831099Z"
},
{
"price": 6.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "517494441497784202",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:25.969858Z"
},
{
"price": 6.41,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "528753387757823085",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:25.969858Z"
},
{
"price": 13.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "514116741797061690",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:09.883102Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:03:09.883102Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 20.0% $22.90 Deathgaze 20.0% $21.19 Duality 13.3% $18.23 Wild Child 13.3% $10.25 Wicked Sick 13.3% $9.57 | $126.41 +300.7% | $39.17 +24.2% | 20.0% | +139.1% | $31.55 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $63.86 Kintsugi 20.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 20.0% $11.09 Duality 13.3% $9.41 Wicked Sick 13.3% $5.49 Wild Child 13.3% $5.13 | $63.86 +265.5% | $20.19 +15.6% | 20.0% | +125.9% | $17.47 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze 30.0% $59.23 Wicked Sick 3.3% $41.91 Duality 3.3% $37.34 Wild Child 3.3% $31.49 | $290.04 +208.1% | $126.79 +34.7% | 30.0% | +113.8% | $94.15 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $61.06 Deathgaze 26.7% $59.23 Wicked Sick 6.7% $41.91 Duality 6.7% $37.34 Wild Child 6.7% $31.49 | $290.04 +233.9% | $116.81 +34.5% | 26.7% | +120.7% | $86.86 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $61.06 Deathgaze 23.3% $59.23 Wicked Sick 10.0% $41.91 Duality 10.0% $37.34 Wild Child 10.0% $31.49 | $290.04 +261.0% | $106.82 +32.9% | 23.3% | +126.4% | $80.35 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $61.35 Deathgaze 16.7% $59.23 Wicked Sick 16.7% $41.91 Duality 16.7% $37.34 Wild Child 16.7% $31.49 | $290.04 +335.9% | $86.89 +30.6% | 16.7% | +137.5% | $66.54 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 13.3% $61.06 Deathgaze 13.3% $59.23 Wicked Sick 20.0% $41.91 Duality 20.0% $37.34 Wild Child 20.0% $31.49 | $290.04 +371.9% | $76.86 +25.1% | 13.3% | +137.1% | $61.46 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 10.0% $22.90 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.19 Duality 23.3% $18.23 Wild Child 23.3% $10.25 Wicked Sick 23.3% $9.57 | $126.41 +505.4% | $25.93 +24.2% | 30.0% | +162.2% | $20.88 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Kintsugi 6.7% $22.09 Deathgaze 6.7% $20.93 Duality 26.7% $18.23 Wild Child 26.7% $10.25 Wicked Sick 26.7% $9.57 | $126.41 +613.4% | $21.44 +21.0% | 46.7% | +160.5% | $17.72 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 3.3% $22.09 Deathgaze 3.3% $21.10 Duality 30.0% $18.23 Wild Child 30.0% $10.25 Wicked Sick 30.0% $9.57 | $126.41 +705.7% | $17.07 +8.8% | 40.0% | +132.3% | $15.69 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 Emphorosaur-S  2.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +180.5% | $24.09 +31.8% | 54.0% | +74.7% | $18.28 | — |