The Bank Collection ×4+The Harlequin Collection ×6
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Death Rattle
2x $0.12
Green Apple
1x $0.17
Carbon Fiber
1x $0.31
Banana Leaf
3x $0.05
Calligrafaux
1x $0.13
Picnic
1x $0.15
↓
Possible Outputs
Fraise Crane
15.0% $2.93
Tuxedo
13.3% $2.61
Meteorite
13.3% $2.59
Sky Mandala
15.0% $1.64
Tuxedo
13.3% $1.37
Earth Mandala
15.0% $1.10
Max Win
$2.93 (+82.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.89 (+17.1%)
Win %
56.7%
Volatility
+45.8%
Cost
$1.61
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.61
Ask Price EV $1.89 (+17.1%)
Bid Price EV $1.74 (+8.2%)
Ask Profit $0.28 (+17.1%)
Bid Profit $0.13 (+8.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.14 (+8.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.28
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.13
Risk
Win Probability 56.7%
Loss Probability 43.3%
Best Case $2.93 (+82.2%)
Worst Case $1.05 (-34.8%)
Volatility +45.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$0.83
Avg Loss -$0.45
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.05 (-34.8%)
Std Dev $0.74
Avg Norm Float 0.1867
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 91h 56m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Glock-18 | Death Rattle
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Death Rattle
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Green Apple
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Field-Tested
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Calligrafaux
—
Field-Tested
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 15S //TOTAL COST $1.61 //ASK PRICE EV $1.89 //BID PRICE EV $1.74 //ASK PROFIT $0.28 (+17.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.13 (+8.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 56.7% //BEST CASE $2.93 //VOLATILITY +45.8% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
15.0%
$2.93
+$1.32
+82.2%
$2.39
+$0.78
+48.4%
$0.54
18.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$2.61
+$1.00
+62.2%
$2.53
+$0.92
+57.1%
$0.08
3.1%
—
BIG WIN
13.3%
$2.59
+$0.98
+61.1%
$2.59
+$0.98
+60.9%
$0.00
0.1%
—
PAPER WIN
15.0%
$1.64
+$0.03
+2.1%
$1.57
-$0.04
-2.5%
$0.07
4.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$1.37
-$0.24
-15.1%
$1.19
-$0.42
-26.1%
$0.18
13.0%
—
LOSS
15.0%
$1.10
-$0.51
-31.9%
$1.03
-$0.58
-36.0%
$0.07
6.1%
—
LOSS
15.0%
$1.05
-$0.56
-34.8%
$1.01
-$0.60
-37.3%
$0.04
3.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-bank|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.1213355,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 2.9339999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 2.92,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 2.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:56.777445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.130669,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 1.6435,
"optimistic_value": 1.64,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 1.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:36.780771Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.130669,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 1.0505,
"optimistic_value": 1.04,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:27.297782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.12320220000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 1.097,
"optimistic_value": 1.09,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 1.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:18.947645Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.149336,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5fc8e75d4fa5",
"realistic_value": 1.3675,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:08.433512Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5fc8e75d4fa5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0336006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3b1a5d288858",
"realistic_value": 2.5935,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:36:51.127700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b1a5d288858.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.149336,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8019620598a2",
"realistic_value": 2.6115,
"optimistic_value": 2.58,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 2.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T09:01:24.373572Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8019620598a2.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_93fc560e4843278fcc6de722",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-319e3413b40b",
"listing_id": "506235442367424060",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-319e3413b40b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:52.524559Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-319e3413b40b",
"listing_id": "516368322941678078",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Death Rattle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-319e3413b40b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:52.524559Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-35cdf436d872",
"listing_id": "498353293086973495",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Green Apple (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Green Apple",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-35cdf436d872.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:16:05.591242Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "506235389470002864",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:25.316418Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "529879340432274456",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:54.828756Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-2efacc35df16",
"listing_id": "506235337025928048",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2efacc35df16.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:29:43.249759Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "517494441498037822",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:32:29.213649Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "515242641501270025",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:29:23.477931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "507361237008908833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:29:23.477931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "492724538183377989",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:30:07.818109Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-bank:4+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×2+The Harlequin Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 20.0% $2.93 Meteorite 6.7% $2.59 Sky Mandala 20.0% $1.58 Earth Mandala 20.0% $1.08 Warm Blooded 20.0% $1.05 Tuxedo 6.7% $0.89 | $2.93 +148.6% | $1.59 +35.0% | 46.7% | +64.0% | $1.18 | — |
The Bank Collection ×3+The Harlequin Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 17.5% $2.93 Meteorite 10.0% $2.59 Sky Mandala 17.5% $1.58 Earth Mandala 17.5% $1.08 Warm Blooded 17.5% $1.05 Tuxedo 10.0% $0.89 | $2.93 +129.2% | $1.56 +21.7% | 45.0% | +58.8% | $1.28 | — |
The Bank Collection ×5+The Harlequin Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 12.5% $2.93 Tuxedo 16.7% $2.61 Meteorite 16.7% $2.59 Sky Mandala 12.5% $1.64 Tuxedo 16.7% $1.37 Earth Mandala 12.5% $1.10 | $2.93 +72.6% | $1.94 +13.9% | 45.8% | +38.4% | $1.70 | — |