The Bank Collection ×4+The Harlequin Collection ×6
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Carbon Fiber
2x $0.37
Caged Steel
2x $0.41
Coral Paisley
1x $0.23
Banana Leaf
3x $0.35
Picnic
1x $0.39
XoooM
1x $1.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Fraise Crane
15.0% $6.16
Tuxedo
13.3% $5.76
Tuxedo
13.3% $4.31
Sky Mandala
15.0% $3.48
Meteorite
13.3% $2.59
Warm Blooded
15.0% $2.28
Max Win
$6.16 (+7.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.82 (-33.1%)
Win %
28.3%
Volatility
+26.4%
Cost
$5.71
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.71
Ask Price EV $3.82 (-33.1%)
Bid Price EV $3.65 (-36.1%)
Ask Profit $-1.89 (-33.1%)
Bid Profit $-2.06 (-36.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.17 (+3.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.89
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.06
Risk
Win Probability 28.3%
Loss Probability 71.7%
Best Case $6.16 (+7.8%)
Worst Case $2.28 (-60.1%)
Volatility +26.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 58.3%
Avg Win +$0.26
Avg Loss -$2.74
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.28 (-60.1%)
Std Dev $1.51
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 93h 5m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Caged Steel
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber
—
Factory New
$0.75 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Caged Steel
—
Factory New
$1.28 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Factory New
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | XoooM
—
Factory New
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 30S //TOTAL COST $5.71 //ASK PRICE EV $3.82 //BID PRICE EV $3.65 //ASK PROFIT $-1.89 (-33.1%) //BID PROFIT $-2.06 (-36.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 28.3% //BEST CASE $6.16 //VOLATILITY +26.4% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
SMALL WIN
15.0%
$6.16
+$0.45
+7.8%
$6.12
+$0.41
+7.2%
$0.04
0.6%
—
PAPER WIN
13.3%
$5.76
+$0.04
+0.8%
$5.21
-$0.50
-8.8%
$0.54
9.5%
—
LOSS
13.3%
$4.31
-$1.40
-24.5%
$3.76
-$1.95
-34.2%
$0.55
12.8%
—
LOSS
15.0%
$3.48
-$2.23
-39.0%
$3.42
-$2.29
-40.1%
$0.06
1.7%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$2.59
-$3.12
-54.6%
$2.59
-$3.12
-54.6%
$0.00
0.1%
—
NUKE
15.0%
$2.28
-$3.43
-60.1%
$2.25
-$3.46
-60.6%
$0.03
1.3%
—
NUKE
15.0%
$2.28
-$3.43
-60.1%
$2.25
-$3.46
-60.6%
$0.03
1.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-bank|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.0454025,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 6.1579999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 6.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:00.132495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.048894999999999994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 3.4805,
"optimistic_value": 3.47,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:18.692949Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.048894999999999994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 2.2805,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:25.924921Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.046100999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 2.2805,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:25.636998Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.05588,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5fc8e75d4fa5",
"realistic_value": 4.3105,
"optimistic_value": 4.3,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 3.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:33.377165Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5fc8e75d4fa5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.012572999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3b1a5d288858",
"realistic_value": 2.5935,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T15:36:51.127700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b1a5d288858.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.05588,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8019620598a2",
"realistic_value": 5.755,
"optimistic_value": 5.72,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo",
"conservative_value": 5.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Bank Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:55:25.378901Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8019620598a2.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_93fc560e4843278fcc6de722",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "626705246085166643",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:38.595314Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
"listing_id": "499479989897339797",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:34.384644Z"
},
{
"price": 0.75,
"skin_id": "skin-3bc8c64a1ae8",
"listing_id": "503983537174108111",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3bc8c64a1ae8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:38.595314Z"
},
{
"price": 1.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9014d6daf0a4",
"listing_id": "496102343225479475",
"collection_id": "collection-set-bank",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Caged Steel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9014d6daf0a4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:34.384644Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "509613036861256419",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:53.911242Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "511864941882113313",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:47.779263Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "509613089305422567",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:47.779263Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "526501640650770053",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:47.779263Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "523123940969352778",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:42.671042Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"listing_id": "518620235867474188",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:34.980472Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-bank:4+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×4+The Harlequin Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 15.0% $2.93 Tuxedo 13.3% $2.61 Meteorite 13.3% $2.59 Sky Mandala 15.0% $1.62 Tuxedo 13.3% $1.37 Earth Mandala 15.0% $1.10 | $2.93 +89.3% | $1.88 +21.4% | 56.7% | +42.9% | $1.55 | — |
The Bank Collection ×4+The Harlequin Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Fraise Crane 15.0% $6.16 Tuxedo 13.3% $5.76 Tuxedo 13.3% $4.31 Sky Mandala 15.0% $3.48 Meteorite 13.3% $2.59 Warm Blooded 15.0% $2.28 | $6.16 +65.1% | $3.82 +2.4% | 41.7% | +37.2% | $3.73 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Bank Collection ×2+The Harlequin Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 20.0% $2.93 Meteorite 6.7% $2.59 Sky Mandala 20.0% $1.64 Earth Mandala 20.0% $1.09 Warm Blooded 20.0% $1.05 Tuxedo 6.7% $0.89 | $2.93 +146.6% | $1.60 +34.9% | 46.7% | +63.3% | $1.19 | — |
The Bank Collection ×3+The Harlequin Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 17.5% $2.93 Tuxedo 10.0% $2.61 Meteorite 10.0% $2.59 Sky Mandala 17.5% $1.64 Tuxedo 10.0% $1.37 Earth Mandala 17.5% $1.09 | $2.93 +99.6% | $1.83 +24.6% | 55.0% | +45.9% | $1.47 | — |
The Bank Collection ×5+The Harlequin Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 12.5% $2.93 Tuxedo 16.7% $2.61 Meteorite 16.7% $2.59 Sky Mandala 12.5% $1.62 Tuxedo 16.7% $1.37 Earth Mandala 12.5% $1.10 | $2.93 +77.8% | $1.93 +17.1% | 45.8% | +39.6% | $1.65 | — |