The 2018 Inferno Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Calf Skin
2x $0.16
Nitro
1x $0.17
Tiger Tear
3x $0.06
Leafhopper
3x $0.06
Acid Dart
1x $0.16
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen
14.0% $4.61
Check Engine
7.5% $2.01
Hand Brake
7.5% $2.00
Converter
7.5% $1.91
Tropical Breeze
14.0% $1.82
Brake Light
7.5% $1.74
Max Win
$4.61 (+249.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.65 (+25.1%)
Win %
58.0%
Volatility
+104.1%
Cost
$1.32
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.32
Ask Price EV $1.65 (+25.1%)
Bid Price EV $1.47 (+11.1%)
Ask Profit $0.33 (+25.1%)
Bid Profit $0.15 (+11.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.18 (+14.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.33
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.15
Risk
Win Probability 58.0%
Loss Probability 42.0%
Best Case $4.61 (+249.2%)
Worst Case $0.41 (-68.9%)
Volatility +104.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 42.0%
Avg Win +$1.22
Avg Loss -$0.90
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.41 (-68.9%)
Std Dev $1.37
Avg Norm Float 0.1994
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 122h 39m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Calf Skin
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Nitro
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Calf Skin
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 27M 05S //TOTAL COST $1.32 //ASK PRICE EV $1.65 //BID PRICE EV $1.47 //ASK PROFIT $0.33 (+25.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.15 (+11.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 58.0% //BEST CASE $4.61 //VOLATILITY +104.1% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$4.61
+$3.29
+249.2%
$3.81
+$2.49
+188.6%
$0.80
17.4%
—
BIG WIN
7.5%
$2.01
+$0.69
+52.0%
$1.90
+$0.58
+43.9%
$0.11
5.3%
—
BIG WIN
7.5%
$2.00
+$0.68
+51.8%
$1.75
+$0.43
+32.6%
$0.25
12.7%
—
WIN
7.5%
$1.91
+$0.59
+44.7%
$1.80
+$0.48
+36.4%
$0.11
5.8%
—
WIN
14.0%
$1.82
+$0.50
+38.0%
$1.70
+$0.38
+28.8%
$0.12
6.6%
—
WIN
7.5%
$1.74
+$0.42
+31.6%
$1.68
+$0.36
+27.3%
$0.06
3.3%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$0.43
-$0.89
-67.4%
$0.41
-$0.91
-68.9%
$0.02
4.7%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$0.42
-$0.90
-67.9%
$0.38
-$0.94
-71.2%
$0.04
10.3%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$0.41
-$0.91
-68.9%
$0.36
-$0.96
-72.7%
$0.05
12.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1495575,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.13559880000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.43,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:50.541764Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.119646,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 0.4235,
"optimistic_value": 0.42,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:48.900359Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.10967550000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 1.821,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.839903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.119646,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 0.41,
"optimistic_value": 0.41,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 0.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:44.731518Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.079764,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff8258cd7dac",
"realistic_value": 1.9104999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.9,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Converter",
"conservative_value": 1.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Converter (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:25.176715Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff8258cd7dac.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.19941,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c0a577a1a5b2",
"realistic_value": 2.0035,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Hand Brake",
"conservative_value": 1.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Hand Brake (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T10:35:49.779017Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c0a577a1a5b2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.0159528,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1e77412769d",
"realistic_value": 1.7369999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Brake Light",
"conservative_value": 1.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:19.300499Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1e77412769d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.119646,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a2c7bfcb6607",
"realistic_value": 2.007,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Check Engine",
"conservative_value": 1.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Check Engine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:32.987702Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a2c7bfcb6607.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8ff973f0257854f1a805f51c",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-7f9562bfa6a5",
"listing_id": "523123940968691710",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Calf Skin",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f9562bfa6a5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:28.401749Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c0b7375a375d",
"listing_id": "505109437007294408",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Nitro (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Nitro",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c0b7375a375d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:38:12.080699Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-7f9562bfa6a5",
"listing_id": "527627487622998296",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno-2",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Calf Skin",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f9562bfa6a5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:28.401749Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "497228243054656037",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:38:33.985635Z"
},
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "509613142167355107",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:15:30.287643Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "519746135814788696",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:15:30.287643Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "501731842661257961",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:53.873531Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "512990623225420919",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:53.873531Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789044843799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:34:18.552211Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "503983423971210091",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:07.394122Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno-2:3+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Converter 7.5% $3.83 Check Engine 7.5% $3.77 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $3.67 Hand Brake 7.5% $2.79 Brake Light 7.5% $1.74 | $4.61 +120.6% | $2.55 +22.0% | 50.5% | +49.2% | $2.09 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 18.0% $4.61 Check Engine 2.5% $2.01 Hand Brake 2.5% $2.00 Converter 2.5% $1.91 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $1.82 Brake Light 2.5% $1.75 | $4.61 +290.7% | $1.58 +33.6% | 46.0% | +109.8% | $1.18 | — |
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Check Engine 5.0% $2.01 Hand Brake 5.0% $2.00 Converter 5.0% $1.91 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 Brake Light 5.0% $1.74 | $4.61 +268.8% | $1.61 +29.1% | 52.0% | +96.8% | $1.25 | — |
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 12.0% $4.61 Check Engine 10.0% $2.01 Hand Brake 10.0% $2.00 Converter 10.0% $1.91 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $1.82 Brake Light 10.0% $1.74 | $4.61 +229.3% | $1.69 +20.7% | 64.0% | +73.2% | $1.40 | — |
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Hand Brake 15.0% $2.00 Converter 15.0% $1.91 Brake Light 15.0% $1.74 Check Engine 15.0% $1.65 Wintergreen 8.0% $1.53 Tropical Breeze 8.0% $0.79 | $2.00 +78.9% | $1.32 +18.0% | 68.0% | +38.9% | $1.12 | — |
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 10.0% $4.61 Converter 12.5% $3.83 Check Engine 12.5% $2.01 Hand Brake 12.5% $2.00 Tropical Breeze 10.0% $1.82 Brake Light 12.5% $1.75 | $4.61 +174.4% | $1.97 +17.2% | 70.0% | +63.6% | $1.68 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Inferno Collection ×8+The Boreal Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Vino Primo  26.7% $55.48 Fade  26.7% $50.33 Safety Net  26.7% $35.52 Sheet Lightning  10.0% $17.66 Glockingbird  10.0% $11.97 | $55.48 +46.2% | $40.65 +7.1% | 53.3% | +39.6% | $37.94 | — |