The Boreal Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items

Factory New +21.7%Field-Tested +25.3%Minimal Wear +25.3%

Contract

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear

Inputs

Leafhopper

3x $0.13

Tiger Tear

2x $0.15

Acid Dart

2x $0.16

Steel Sentinel

2x $0.11

Copper Fiber

1x $0.18

↓

Possible Outputs

Wintergreen

14.0% $4.61

Green Line

7.5% $3.23

Late Night Transit

7.5% $3.00

2A2F

7.5% $2.75

Run Run Run

7.5% $2.59

Tropical Breeze

14.0% $1.82

Max Win

$4.61 (+197.4%)

EV (ROI %)

$1.94 (+25.3%)

Win %

58.0%

Volatility

+97.2%

Cost

$1.55

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $1.55

Ask Price EV $1.94 (+25.3%)

Bid Price EV $1.76 (+13.7%)

Ask Profit $0.39 (+25.3%)

Bid Profit $0.21 (+13.7%)

Liquidity Gap $0.18 (+11.6%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.39

Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.21

Risk

Win Probability 58.0%

Loss Probability 42.0%

Best Case $4.61 (+197.4%)

Worst Case $0.40 (-74.0%)

Volatility +97.2%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 42.0%

Avg Win +$1.50

Avg Loss -$1.14

Bottom 5% Outcome $0.40 (-74.0%)

Std Dev $1.51

Avg Norm Float 0.1489

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 21m

Oldest Output Price 119h 22m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Tight

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

R8 Revolver | Leafhopper

—

Minimal Wear

$0.13 Float: HIDDEN

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear

—

Minimal Wear

$0.15 Float: HIDDEN

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear

—

Minimal Wear

$0.16 Float: HIDDEN

Galil AR | Acid Dart

—

Minimal Wear

$0.16 Float: HIDDEN

R8 Revolver | Leafhopper

—

Minimal Wear

$0.16 Float: HIDDEN

Galil AR | Acid Dart

—

Minimal Wear

$0.17 Float: HIDDEN

R8 Revolver | Leafhopper

—

Minimal Wear

$0.18 Float: HIDDEN

AUG | Steel Sentinel

—

Field-Tested

$0.11 Float: HIDDEN

AUG | Steel Sentinel

—

Field-Tested

$0.15 Float: HIDDEN

CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber

—

Minimal Wear

$0.18 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 18M 51S //TOTAL COST $1.55 //ASK PRICE EV $1.94 //BID PRICE EV $1.76 //ASK PROFIT $0.39 (+25.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.21 (+13.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 58.0% //BEST CASE $4.61 //VOLATILITY +97.2% //

Possible Outputs · 9

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 7,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Industrial Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 3,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.13999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.11168249999999999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
      "realistic_value": 4.61,
      "optimistic_value": 4.61,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
      "conservative_value": 3.81,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.1012588,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
      "realistic_value": 0.43,
      "optimistic_value": 0.43,
      "output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
      "conservative_value": 0.41,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:58:37.483724Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.089346,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
      "realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
      "optimistic_value": 0.4,
      "output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
      "conservative_value": 0.38,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:54.653511Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.0819005,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
      "realistic_value": 1.821,
      "optimistic_value": 1.73,
      "output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
      "conservative_value": 1.7,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.839903Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.089346,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
      "realistic_value": 0.4035,
      "optimistic_value": 0.4,
      "output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
      "conservative_value": 0.36,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:55.869914Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.075,
      "output_float": 0.1280626,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a57c016a2f7d",
      "realistic_value": 2.7455000000000003,
      "optimistic_value": 2.7,
      "output_full_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F",
      "conservative_value": 2.66,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "FAMAS | 2A2F (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:03:57.675515Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a57c016a2f7d.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.075,
      "output_float": 0.14891,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-7976ca00d006",
      "realistic_value": 3.2305,
      "optimistic_value": 3.22,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Green Line",
      "conservative_value": 3.14,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Green Line (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:56:07.805716Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7976ca00d006.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.075,
      "output_float": 0.14891,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-d5765bdffe44",
      "realistic_value": 3.0035,
      "optimistic_value": 3,
      "output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit",
      "conservative_value": 2.81,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:11:06.007286Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5765bdffe44.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.075,
      "output_float": 0.11117248324999998,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-96a9aaa2cbe5",
      "realistic_value": 2.5919999999999996,
      "optimistic_value": 2.55,
      "output_full_name": "XM1014 | Run Run Run",
      "conservative_value": 2.46,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:06:25.002350Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96a9aaa2cbe5.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_8ede5c7dd32c26373dd57ab9",
  "input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.13,
      "skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
      "listing_id": "515242588555269565",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:58.260091Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
      "listing_id": "512990623225420919",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:00:10.786852Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.16,
      "skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
      "listing_id": "527627322006725396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:00:10.786852Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.16,
      "skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
      "listing_id": "512990789044843799",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:59:33.603957Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.16,
      "skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
      "listing_id": "503983423971210091",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:58.260091Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.17,
      "skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
      "listing_id": "515242423037531833",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:59:33.603957Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
      "listing_id": "521997988015820706",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
      "market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:58.260091Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.11,
      "skin_id": "skin-6305d7d593bd",
      "listing_id": "493850490550429948",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "AUG | Steel Sentinel",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6305d7d593bd.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:03:26.170370Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-6305d7d593bd",
      "listing_id": "524249529998376579",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "AUG | Steel Sentinel (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "AUG | Steel Sentinel",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6305d7d593bd.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:03:26.170370Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-994bf96d44d4",
      "listing_id": "503983589619789067",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
      "market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "CZ75-Auto | Copper Fiber",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-994bf96d44d4.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:02:44.700824Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:7+collection-set-train-2025:3"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Boreal Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested	Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Run Run Run 7.5% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $1.82 Green Line 7.5% $0.99 Late Night Transit 7.5% $0.87 2A2F 7.5% $0.76	$4.61 +294.0%	$1.47 +25.3%	35.5%	+107.4%	$1.17	—
The Boreal Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Green Line 7.5% $28.83 2A2F 7.5% $18.79 Late Night Transit 7.5% $14.75 Run Run Run 7.5% $11.23 Wintergreen 14.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $3.67	$28.83 +328.3%	$8.19 +21.7%	44.0%	+102.9%	$6.73	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Boreal Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested	Wintergreen 18.0% $4.61 Run Run Run 2.5% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $1.82 Green Line 2.5% $0.99 Late Night Transit 2.5% $0.87 2A2F 2.5% $0.76	$4.61 +311.6%	$1.51 +35.0%	38.5%	+120.0%	$1.12	—
The Boreal Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Green Line 12.5% $28.83 2A2F 12.5% $18.79 Late Night Transit 12.5% $14.75 Run Run Run 12.5% $11.23 Wintergreen 10.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 10.0% $3.67	$28.83 +246.9%	$11.11 +33.7%	60.0%	+88.3%	$8.31	—
The Boreal Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested	Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Run Run Run 5.0% $2.59 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 Green Line 5.0% $0.99 Late Night Transit 5.0% $0.87 2A2F 5.0% $0.76	$4.61 +308.0%	$1.49 +31.7%	37.0%	+115.2%	$1.13	—
The Boreal Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New	Green Line 10.0% $28.83 2A2F 10.0% $18.79 Late Night Transit 10.0% $14.75 Run Run Run 10.0% $11.23 Wintergreen 12.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $3.67	$28.83 +293.3%	$9.65 +31.6%	52.0%	+98.8%	$7.33	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Boreal Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear	Whiteout 13.3% $64.86 Derailment 13.3% $44.72 Charged Up 13.3% $22.78 Sheet Lightning 30.0% $17.71 Glockingbird 30.0% $11.97	$64.86 +183.5%	$26.55 +16.0%	26.7%	+79.3%	$22.88	—
The Boreal Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New	Hellish 25.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 25.0% $294.44 Green Energy 50.0% $109.76	$597.10 +158.4%	$277.76 +20.2%	50.0%	+86.2%	$231.11	—