The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Outbreak
1x $0.88
Slag
1x $0.19
Light Box
3x $0.21
Hideout
3x $0.29
Motorized
1x $0.35
Dark Sigil
1x $0.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Power Loader
1.7% $20.64
Avalanche
1.7% $17.49
Retrobution
1.7% $9.43
Teclu Burner
1.7% $8.17
Fuel Rod
1.7% $6.48
Tiger Moth
1.7% $5.82
Max Win
$20.64 (+506.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.12 (+21.3%)
Win %
46.0%
Volatility
+91.8%
Cost
$3.40
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.40
Ask Price EV $4.12 (+21.3%)
Bid Price EV $3.61 (+6.0%)
Ask Profit $0.72 (+21.3%)
Bid Profit $0.21 (+6.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.52 (+15.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.72
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.21
Risk
Win Probability 46.0%
Loss Probability 54.0%
Best Case $20.64 (+506.9%)
Worst Case $2.02 (-40.6%)
Volatility +91.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 18.0%
Avg Win +$2.45
Avg Loss -$0.74
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.02 (-40.6%)
Std Dev $3.12
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 144h 42m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Outbreak
—
Minimal Wear
$0.88 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 02S //TOTAL COST $3.40 //ASK PRICE EV $4.12 //BID PRICE EV $3.61 //ASK PROFIT $0.72 (+21.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.21 (+6.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 46.0% //BEST CASE $20.64 //VOLATILITY +91.8% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
1.7%
$20.64
+$17.24
+506.9%
$15.30
+$11.90
+350.0%
$5.34
25.9%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
1.7%
$17.49
+$14.09
+414.5%
$13.52
+$10.12
+297.6%
$3.97
22.7%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
1.7%
$9.43
+$6.03
+177.2%
$7.64
+$4.24
+124.7%
$1.79
18.9%
—
BIG WIN
1.7%
$8.17
+$4.77
+140.4%
$6.90
+$3.50
+102.9%
$1.27
15.6%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
1.7%
$6.48
+$3.08
+90.6%
$5.52
+$2.12
+62.4%
$0.96
14.8%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
1.7%
$5.82
+$2.42
+71.2%
$4.91
+$1.51
+44.4%
$0.91
15.6%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$4.45
+$1.05
+30.8%
$3.86
+$0.46
+13.5%
$0.59
13.2%
—
WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$0.79
+23.3%
$3.88
+$0.48
+14.1%
$0.31
7.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$3.32
-$0.08
-2.4%
$2.85
-$0.55
-16.2%
$0.47
14.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$2.63
-$0.77
-22.6%
$2.60
-$0.80
-23.5%
$0.03
1.2%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$2.02
-$1.38
-40.6%
$1.86
-$1.54
-45.3%
$0.16
7.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.6305,
"optimistic_value": 2.62,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:12:57.221700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1007140625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4475,
"optimistic_value": 4.43,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:47.747830Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.3175,
"optimistic_value": 3.3,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:25.258742Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.092767114,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 2.0185,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:52.072510Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ef297140e6ea",
"realistic_value": 9.426,
"optimistic_value": 9.16,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution",
"conservative_value": 7.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T13:35:53.616108Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ef297140e6ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69c57b0e17a5",
"realistic_value": 20.6355,
"optimistic_value": 20.38,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Power Loader",
"conservative_value": 15.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:27:52.573953Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69c57b0e17a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-13af73ca7ca5",
"realistic_value": 6.482,
"optimistic_value": 6.3,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod",
"conservative_value": 5.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:57:40.274903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-13af73ca7ca5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-460926660df2",
"realistic_value": 5.8205,
"optimistic_value": 5.81,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:59:49.555860Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-460926660df2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4a49656a91ca",
"realistic_value": 17.494500000000002,
"optimistic_value": 17.19,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche",
"conservative_value": 13.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:37:11.276306Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4a49656a91ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.09743500000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3932487f357b",
"realistic_value": 8.1745,
"optimistic_value": 8.01,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner",
"conservative_value": 6.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:17.345353Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3932487f357b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_88efa30421b571f6eae4cca1",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.88,
"skin_id": "skin-c367da09c5bb",
"listing_id": "519746022668106692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Outbreak",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c367da09c5bb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:17:53.240285Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:11.487501Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116523130036718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:21.375196Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:21.375196Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:21.375196Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "510738989040894814",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:29.147912Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "501731789730516389",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:29.147912Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872088106698692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:29.147912Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:22.225185Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:18:50.898917Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:1+collection-set-community-33:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Teclu Burner 1.7% $8.17 Avalanche 1.7% $7.97 Power Loader 1.7% $7.64 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Retrobution 1.7% $3.97 Tiger Moth 1.7% $2.93 | $8.17 +237.8% | $2.63 +8.9% | 28.0% | +56.5% | $2.42 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 1.7% $61.03 Avalanche 1.7% $39.24 Retrobution 1.7% $21.13 Teclu Burner 1.7% $18.33 Tiger Moth 1.7% $14.34 Fuel Rod 1.7% $13.46 | $61.03 +481.2% | $10.58 +0.7% | 28.0% | +73.4% | $10.50 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 5.0% $20.64 Avalanche 5.0% $17.49 Retrobution 5.0% $9.43 Teclu Burner 5.0% $8.17 Fuel Rod 5.0% $6.48 Tiger Moth 5.0% $5.82 | $20.64 +350.6% | $5.73 +25.1% | 30.0% | +95.3% | $4.58 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 3.3% $20.64 Avalanche 3.3% $17.49 Retrobution 3.3% $9.43 Teclu Burner 3.3% $8.17 Fuel Rod 3.3% $6.48 Tiger Moth 3.3% $5.82 | $20.64 +423.7% | $4.92 +25.0% | 52.0% | +97.1% | $3.94 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 6.7% $20.64 Avalanche 6.7% $17.49 Retrobution 6.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 6.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 6.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 6.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +278.6% | $6.53 +19.8% | 40.0% | +86.2% | $5.45 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 8.3% $20.64 Avalanche 8.3% $17.49 Retrobution 8.3% $9.43 Teclu Burner 8.3% $8.17 Fuel Rod 8.3% $6.48 Tiger Moth 8.3% $5.82 | $20.64 +229.1% | $7.33 +16.9% | 41.7% | +78.2% | $6.27 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 10.0% $20.64 Avalanche 10.0% $17.49 Retrobution 10.0% $9.43 Teclu Burner 10.0% $8.17 Fuel Rod 10.0% $6.48 Tiger Moth 10.0% $5.82 | $20.64 +187.8% | $8.13 +13.4% | 40.0% | +70.3% | $7.17 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 11.7% $20.64 Avalanche 11.7% $17.49 Retrobution 11.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 11.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 11.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 11.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +152.9% | $8.93 +9.5% | 46.7% | +63.0% | $8.16 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Point Disarray  3.3% $79.05 Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Olympus  30.0% $15.72 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Shapewood  3.3% $11.72 The Executioner  3.3% $11.38 | $79.05 +284.1% | $23.71 +15.2% | 33.3% | +70.0% | $20.58 | — |