The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Outbreak
1x $0.43
Slag
2x $0.16
Hideout
2x $0.18
Light Box
3x $0.21
Motorized
1x $0.31
Dark Sigil
1x $0.32
↓
Possible Outputs
Teclu Burner
1.7% $8.17
Avalanche
1.7% $7.97
Power Loader
1.7% $7.64
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Retrobution
1.7% $3.97
Tiger Moth
1.7% $2.93
Max Win
$8.17 (+231.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.63 (+6.6%)
Win %
28.0%
Volatility
+62.9%
Cost
$2.47
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.47
Ask Price EV $2.63 (+6.6%)
Bid Price EV $2.39 (-3.1%)
Ask Profit $0.16 (+6.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.08 (-3.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.24 (+9.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.16
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.08
Risk
Win Probability 28.0%
Loss Probability 72.0%
Best Case $8.17 (+231.0%)
Worst Case $1.47 (-40.5%)
Volatility +62.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$2.22
Avg Loss -$0.64
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.47 (-40.5%)
Std Dev $1.55
Avg Norm Float 0.2131
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 145h 48m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Outbreak
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 18M 32S //TOTAL COST $2.47 //ASK PRICE EV $2.63 //BID PRICE EV $2.39 //ASK PROFIT $0.16 (+6.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.08 (-3.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 28.0% //BEST CASE $8.17 //VOLATILITY +62.9% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
1.7%
$8.17
+$5.70
+231.0%
$6.90
+$4.43
+179.4%
$1.27
15.6%
—
BIG WIN
1.7%
$7.97
+$5.50
+222.8%
$6.95
+$4.48
+181.4%
$1.02
12.8%
—
BIG WIN
1.7%
$7.64
+$5.17
+209.3%
$6.00
+$3.53
+142.9%
$1.64
21.5%
—
BIG WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.72
+69.7%
$3.88
+$1.41
+57.1%
$0.31
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
1.7%
$3.97
+$1.50
+60.9%
$3.37
+$0.90
+36.4%
$0.60
15.2%
—
WIN
1.7%
$2.93
+$0.46
+18.4%
$2.72
+$0.25
+10.1%
$0.21
7.0%
—
WIN
1.7%
$2.92
+$0.45
+18.2%
$2.72
+$0.25
+10.1%
$0.20
6.8%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.28
-$0.19
-7.7%
$2.08
-$0.39
-15.8%
$0.20
8.8%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.02
-$0.45
-18.3%
$1.86
-$0.61
-24.7%
$0.16
7.9%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.56
-$0.91
-36.8%
$1.43
-$1.04
-42.1%
$0.13
8.3%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.47
-$1.00
-40.5%
$1.39
-$1.08
-43.7%
$0.08
5.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.21308,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:12:03.099285Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.143163125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.21308,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.2805,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:08:48.401801Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.21308,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1318666888,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 2.0185,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:45.638633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.21308,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ef297140e6ea",
"realistic_value": 3.9739999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 3.96,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution",
"conservative_value": 3.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T21:20:06.188170Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ef297140e6ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.21308,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69c57b0e17a5",
"realistic_value": 7.6405,
"optimistic_value": 7.42,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Power Loader",
"conservative_value": 6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:32:03.456716Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69c57b0e17a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.21308,
"output_skin_id": "skin-13af73ca7ca5",
"realistic_value": 2.92,
"optimistic_value": 2.92,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:57:06.687182Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-13af73ca7ca5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.21308,
"output_skin_id": "skin-460926660df2",
"realistic_value": 2.9250000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.89,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:11:03.592857Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-460926660df2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.21308,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4a49656a91ca",
"realistic_value": 7.974,
"optimistic_value": 7.96,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche",
"conservative_value": 6.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:31.292529Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4a49656a91ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.016666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.138502,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3932487f357b",
"realistic_value": 8.1745,
"optimistic_value": 8.01,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner",
"conservative_value": 6.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:17.345353Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3932487f357b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_88efa30421b571f6eae4cca1",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-c367da09c5bb",
"listing_id": "520872088107233292",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Outbreak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c367da09c5bb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:19:07.488658Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "526501587737921273",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:20.187620Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "528753387756713457",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:02:02.277663Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:20.187620Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:02:02.277663Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116523130036718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:20:12.281482Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:20:12.281482Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:20:12.281482Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "505109489448921836",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:19:38.086604Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "525375522204066055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:09:17.891573Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:1+collection-set-community-33:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 1.7% $20.64 Avalanche 1.7% $17.49 Retrobution 1.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 1.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 1.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 1.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +496.4% | $4.12 +19.2% | 46.0% | +83.8% | $3.46 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 5.0% $20.64 Avalanche 5.0% $17.49 Retrobution 5.0% $9.43 Teclu Burner 5.0% $8.17 Fuel Rod 5.0% $6.48 Tiger Moth 5.0% $5.82 | $20.64 +341.9% | $5.73 +22.6% | 30.0% | +93.5% | $4.67 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 3.3% $20.64 Avalanche 3.3% $17.49 Retrobution 3.3% $9.43 Teclu Burner 3.3% $8.17 Fuel Rod 3.3% $6.48 Tiger Moth 3.3% $5.82 | $20.64 +412.0% | $4.92 +22.2% | 52.0% | +94.9% | $4.03 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 6.7% $20.64 Avalanche 6.7% $17.49 Retrobution 6.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 6.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 6.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 6.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +276.6% | $6.53 +19.1% | 40.0% | +85.7% | $5.48 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 8.3% $20.64 Avalanche 8.3% $17.49 Retrobution 8.3% $9.43 Teclu Burner 8.3% $8.17 Fuel Rod 8.3% $6.48 Tiger Moth 8.3% $5.82 | $20.64 +227.0% | $7.33 +16.2% | 41.7% | +77.7% | $6.31 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 10.0% $20.64 Avalanche 10.0% $17.49 Retrobution 10.0% $9.43 Teclu Burner 10.0% $8.17 Fuel Rod 10.0% $6.48 Tiger Moth 10.0% $5.82 | $20.64 +185.0% | $8.13 +12.3% | 40.0% | +69.6% | $7.24 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 11.7% $20.64 Avalanche 11.7% $17.49 Retrobution 11.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 11.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 11.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 11.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +152.0% | $8.93 +9.1% | 35.0% | +62.8% | $8.19 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Point Disarray  3.3% $79.05 Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Olympus  30.0% $15.72 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Shapewood  3.3% $11.72 The Executioner  3.3% $11.38 | $79.05 +284.1% | $23.71 +15.2% | 33.3% | +70.0% | $20.58 | — |