The Anubis Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Inlay
3x $0.11
Submerged
2x $0.15
BorDeux
2x $0.03
Marsh Grass
2x $0.08
Bronzer
1x $0.16
↓
Possible Outputs
Azure Glyph
12.5% $2.37
Desert Tactical
12.5% $2.28
Echoing Sands
12.5% $1.99
Mud-Spec
12.5% $1.74
O-Ranger
8.3% $0.14
Steel Work
8.3% $0.12
Max Win
$2.37 (+85.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.11 (-13.6%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+78.5%
Cost
$1.28
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.28
Ask Price EV $1.11 (-13.6%)
Bid Price EV $1.07 (-16.2%)
Ask Profit $-0.17 (-13.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.21 (-16.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.03 (+2.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.17
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.21
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $2.37 (+85.2%)
Worst Case $0.10 (-91.9%)
Volatility +78.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$0.81
Avg Loss -$1.16
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.10 (-91.9%)
Std Dev $1.00
Avg Norm Float 0.1426
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 119h 44m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Inlay
—
Field-Tested
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Inlay
—
Field-Tested
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Submerged
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Submerged
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Inlay
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | BorDeux
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | BorDeux
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Marsh Grass
—
Factory New
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Marsh Grass
—
Factory New
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Bronzer
—
Factory New
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 16M 23S //TOTAL COST $1.28 //ASK PRICE EV $1.11 //BID PRICE EV $1.07 //ASK PROFIT $-0.17 (-13.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.21 (-16.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $2.37 //VOLATILITY +78.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.37
+$1.09
+85.2%
$2.31
+$1.03
+80.5%
$0.06
2.6%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$2.28
+$1.00
+78.4%
$2.26
+$0.98
+76.6%
$0.02
1.1%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$1.99
+$0.71
+55.2%
$1.97
+$0.69
+53.9%
$0.02
0.9%
—
WIN
12.5%
$1.74
+$0.46
+35.6%
$1.65
+$0.37
+28.9%
$0.09
5.0%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.14
-$1.14
-88.8%
$0.12
-$1.16
-90.6%
$0.02
16.4%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.12
-$1.16
-90.6%
$0.10
-$1.18
-92.2%
$0.02
16.7%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.12
-$1.16
-90.6%
$0.10
-$1.18
-92.2%
$0.02
16.7%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.11
-$1.17
-91.4%
$0.10
-$1.18
-92.2%
$0.01
9.1%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.10
-$1.18
-91.9%
$0.09
-$1.19
-93.0%
$0.01
13.0%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.10
-$1.18
-91.9%
$0.08
-$1.20
-93.8%
$0.02
22.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.104098,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41f71f1a5f50",
"realistic_value": 1.736,
"optimistic_value": 1.68,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec",
"conservative_value": 1.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:20:49.000908Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41f71f1a5f50.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.131228,
"output_skin_id": "skin-eba9dcbab8fc",
"realistic_value": 1.9869999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands",
"conservative_value": 1.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:39:59.890951Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eba9dcbab8fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.14974800000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9a0273275e44",
"realistic_value": 2.371,
"optimistic_value": 2.35,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph",
"conservative_value": 2.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:16:01.755317Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a0273275e44.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.1426,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808bfc3a4f41",
"realistic_value": 2.284,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical",
"conservative_value": 2.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:42.105678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808bfc3a4f41.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0908772688,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a08f20b0116",
"realistic_value": 0.11,
"optimistic_value": 0.11,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:03:04.384728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a08f20b0116.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.10695,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41452c191f44",
"realistic_value": 0.14350000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T18:38:19.777621Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41452c191f44.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.09981999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-07d3aad223e4",
"realistic_value": 0.12,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:33:26.432145Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07d3aad223e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.09696800000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7efe4d3e7779",
"realistic_value": 0.10350000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 0.1,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Sedimentary",
"conservative_value": 0.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Sedimentary (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:33:39.552432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7efe4d3e7779.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.08556,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cee47ac22903",
"realistic_value": 0.10350000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 0.1,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone",
"conservative_value": 0.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:30.447386Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cee47ac22903.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.08556,
"output_skin_id": "skin-91e671371a10",
"realistic_value": 0.12,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Citric Acid",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Citric Acid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T16:59:38.246897Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-91e671371a10.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_848d76e519f04f02047fe842",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-e8e1c44874c0",
"listing_id": "503983642533537883",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8e1c44874c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:40.195469Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-e8e1c44874c0",
"listing_id": "527627435180021696",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8e1c44874c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:40.195469Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-eed9c3fe4b9d",
"listing_id": "500605837399151831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Submerged",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eed9c3fe4b9d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:55.292732Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-eed9c3fe4b9d",
"listing_id": "494976338032076982",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Submerged",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eed9c3fe4b9d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:55.292732Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-e8e1c44874c0",
"listing_id": "500605889840775767",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8e1c44874c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:25.333843Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-9abf6c56653a",
"listing_id": "498354142901416711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9abf6c56653a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:24:06.811299Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-9abf6c56653a",
"listing_id": "510739041954990238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9abf6c56653a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:24:06.811299Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-80643791f393",
"listing_id": "518620341244391716",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Marsh Grass",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80643791f393.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:44:10.581601Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-80643791f393",
"listing_id": "496102290327921803",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Marsh Grass",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80643791f393.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:44:10.581601Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-d33e14057f12",
"listing_id": "500605942756580003",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d33e14057f12.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:46.127953Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:5+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 12.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands 12.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph 12.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec 12.5% $7.35 Steel Work 8.3% $0.65 O-Ranger 8.3% $0.49 | $14.55 +210.3% | $5.48 +16.8% | 50.0% | +95.9% | $4.69 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×6+The Radiant Collection ×4 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 15.0% $14.55 Echoing Sands 15.0% $10.42 Azure Glyph 15.0% $9.87 Mud-Spec 15.0% $7.35 Steel Work 6.7% $0.65 O-Ranger 6.7% $0.49 | $14.55 +159.9% | $6.49 +15.9% | 60.0% | +76.9% | $5.60 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 10.0% $14.55 Echoing Sands 10.0% $10.42 Azure Glyph 10.0% $9.87 Mud-Spec 10.0% $7.35 Steel Work 10.0% $0.65 O-Ranger 10.0% $0.49 | $14.55 +268.4% | $4.46 +13.0% | 40.0% | +114.7% | $3.95 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Black Nile  5.0% $8.90 Steel Delta  5.0% $6.56 Copper Coated  5.0% $2.54 Mummy's Rot  5.0% $2.47 Coral Bloom  13.3% $1.24 Red Tide  13.3% $1.05 | $8.90 +474.5% | $1.80 +16.1% | 20.0% | +126.1% | $1.55 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Waters of Nephthys  5.0% $549.87 Apep's Curse  5.0% $388.60 Nouveau Rouge  90.0% $178.22 | $549.87 +177.6% | $207.32 +4.7% | 10.0% | +45.9% | $198.07 | — |