The Anubis Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New
Inputs
Inlay
2x $0.30
Submerged
2x $0.39
Sunbaked
1x $0.49
Pink Pearl
1x $0.21
Multi-Terrain
1x $0.25
Autumn Thicket
1x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Desert Tactical
12.5% $14.55
Echoing Sands
12.5% $10.42
Azure Glyph
12.5% $9.87
Mud-Spec
12.5% $7.35
Steel Work
8.3% $0.65
O-Ranger
8.3% $0.49
Max Win
$14.55 (+218.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.48 (+19.8%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+118.0%
Cost
$4.57
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.57
Ask Price EV $5.48 (+19.8%)
Bid Price EV $5.38 (+17.7%)
Ask Profit $0.91 (+19.8%)
Bid Profit $0.81 (+17.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.10 (+2.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.91
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.81
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $14.55 (+218.4%)
Worst Case $0.29 (-93.7%)
Volatility +118.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$5.98
Avg Loss -$4.17
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.29 (-93.7%)
Std Dev $5.39
Avg Norm Float 0.0611
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 43h 20m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Inlay
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Submerged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Sunbaked
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Submerged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Inlay
—
Factory New
$1.09 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl
—
Factory New
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Multi-Terrain
—
Factory New
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Autumn Thicket
—
Factory New
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Bronzer
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Bronzer
—
Factory New
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 53S //TOTAL COST $4.57 //ASK PRICE EV $5.48 //BID PRICE EV $5.38 //ASK PROFIT $0.91 (+19.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.81 (+17.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $14.55 //VOLATILITY +118.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.5%
$14.55
+$9.98
+218.4%
$14.27
+$9.70
+212.3%
$0.28
1.9%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$10.42
+$5.85
+128.0%
$10.26
+$5.69
+124.5%
$0.16
1.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$9.87
+$5.30
+116.0%
$9.69
+$5.12
+112.0%
$0.18
1.8%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$7.35
+$2.78
+60.9%
$7.25
+$2.68
+58.6%
$0.10
1.4%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.65
-$3.92
-85.8%
$0.64
-$3.93
-86.0%
$0.01
1.5%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.49
-$4.08
-89.3%
$0.48
-$4.09
-89.5%
$0.01
2.0%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.35
-$4.22
-92.3%
$0.32
-$4.25
-93.0%
$0.03
8.6%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.32
-$4.25
-93.0%
$0.31
-$4.26
-93.2%
$0.01
3.1%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.32
-$4.25
-93.0%
$0.31
-$4.26
-93.2%
$0.01
3.1%
—
NUKE
8.3%
$0.29
-$4.28
-93.7%
$0.28
-$4.29
-93.9%
$0.01
3.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.0446176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41f71f1a5f50",
"realistic_value": 7.3525,
"optimistic_value": 7.3,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec",
"conservative_value": 7.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:20:49.158025Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41f71f1a5f50.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.0676736,
"output_skin_id": "skin-eba9dcbab8fc",
"realistic_value": 10.421000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.4,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands",
"conservative_value": 10.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:20:32.702432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eba9dcbab8fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.0698976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9a0273275e44",
"realistic_value": 9.871,
"optimistic_value": 9.85,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph",
"conservative_value": 9.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:20:37.423441Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a0273275e44.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.06112,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808bfc3a4f41",
"realistic_value": 14.553,
"optimistic_value": 14.42,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical",
"conservative_value": 14.27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:20:33.122416Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808bfc3a4f41.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.038951042559999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a08f20b0116",
"realistic_value": 0.32,
"optimistic_value": 0.32,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost",
"conservative_value": 0.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:49.191828Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a08f20b0116.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.04584,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41452c191f44",
"realistic_value": 0.49,
"optimistic_value": 0.49,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger",
"conservative_value": 0.48,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T22:27:08.252704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41452c191f44.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.042783999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-07d3aad223e4",
"realistic_value": 0.65,
"optimistic_value": 0.65,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:51:00.355757Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07d3aad223e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.041561600000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7efe4d3e7779",
"realistic_value": 0.35,
"optimistic_value": 0.35,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Sedimentary",
"conservative_value": 0.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Sedimentary (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:11.124892Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7efe4d3e7779.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.036671999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cee47ac22903",
"realistic_value": 0.29,
"optimistic_value": 0.29,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone",
"conservative_value": 0.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:18:27.943071Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cee47ac22903.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.036671999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-91e671371a10",
"realistic_value": 0.32,
"optimistic_value": 0.32,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Citric Acid",
"conservative_value": 0.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Citric Acid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:26:32.951564Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-91e671371a10.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_848d76e519f04f02047fe842",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-e8e1c44874c0",
"listing_id": "516368436281684690",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8e1c44874c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:39.811805Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-eed9c3fe4b9d",
"listing_id": "503983642533441763",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Submerged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Submerged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eed9c3fe4b9d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:02.890691Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-7749a115c5c1",
"listing_id": "497228243056017521",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Sunbaked (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Sunbaked",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7749a115c5c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:32.020645Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-eed9c3fe4b9d",
"listing_id": "519746135813745992",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Submerged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Submerged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eed9c3fe4b9d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:02.890691Z"
},
{
"price": 1.09,
"skin_id": "skin-e8e1c44874c0",
"listing_id": "526501640651724953",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay (Factory New)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8e1c44874c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:30:55.384925Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-35313981918b",
"listing_id": "509612923502749695",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl (Factory New)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-35313981918b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:16.270694Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-8d8dc6609ae2",
"listing_id": "509612292233345379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Multi-Terrain",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d8dc6609ae2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:18:17.146673Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-f0c6c7583a15",
"listing_id": "501730992868727945",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Autumn Thicket (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Autumn Thicket",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0c6c7583a15.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:18:00.506132Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-d33e14057f12",
"listing_id": "521997935570287674",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d33e14057f12.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:38.918355Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-d33e14057f12",
"listing_id": "511864888984155825",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d33e14057f12.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:38.918355Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:5+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×6+The Radiant Collection ×4 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 15.0% $14.55 Echoing Sands 15.0% $10.42 Azure Glyph 15.0% $9.87 Mud-Spec 15.0% $7.35 Steel Work 6.7% $0.65 O-Ranger 6.7% $0.49 | $14.55 +164.6% | $6.49 +18.0% | 60.0% | +78.3% | $5.50 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 10.0% $14.55 Echoing Sands 10.0% $10.42 Azure Glyph 10.0% $9.87 Mud-Spec 10.0% $7.35 Steel Work 10.0% $0.65 O-Ranger 10.0% $0.49 | $14.55 +284.0% | $4.46 +17.7% | 40.0% | +119.5% | $3.79 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile  2.5% $49.75 Steel Delta  2.5% $34.44 Copper Coated  2.5% $7.66 Mummy's Rot  2.5% $7.58 Coral Bloom  15.0% $4.76 Red Tide  15.0% $3.33 | $49.75 +1131.3% | $4.92 +21.8% | 25.0% | +211.2% | $4.04 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Waters of Nephthys  5.0% $549.87 Apep's Curse  5.0% $388.60 Nouveau Rouge  90.0% $178.22 | $549.87 +176.5% | $207.32 +4.2% | 10.0% | +45.7% | $198.89 | — |