The Graphic Design Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Spectrogram
1x $0.57
Tiger Tear
1x $0.16
Acid Dart
2x $0.16
Leafhopper
2x $0.16
Garter-9
2x $0.26
Polished Malachite
1x $0.31
↓
Possible Outputs
Crossfade
2.5% $11.22
Halftone Shift
2.5% $6.75
Berry Gel Coat
2.5% $4.72
Wintergreen
18.0% $4.61
Wild Berry
2.5% $4.32
Tropical Breeze
18.0% $3.67
Max Win
$11.22 (+333.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.77 (+7.0%)
Win %
46.0%
Volatility
+83.7%
Cost
$2.59
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.59
Ask Price EV $2.77 (+7.0%)
Bid Price EV $2.55 (-1.5%)
Ask Profit $0.18 (+7.0%)
Bid Profit $-0.04 (-1.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.22 (+8.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.18
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.04
Risk
Win Probability 46.0%
Loss Probability 54.0%
Best Case $11.22 (+333.4%)
Worst Case $0.42 (-83.6%)
Volatility +83.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 54.0%
Avg Win +$2.12
Avg Loss -$1.47
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.42 (-83.6%)
Std Dev $2.17
Avg Norm Float 0.1165
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 147h 3m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M249 | Spectrogram
—
Minimal Wear
$0.57 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 09M 44S //TOTAL COST $2.59 //ASK PRICE EV $2.77 //BID PRICE EV $2.55 //ASK PROFIT $0.18 (+7.0%) //BID PROFIT $-0.04 (-1.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 46.0% //BEST CASE $11.22 //VOLATILITY +83.7% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.5%
$11.22
+$8.63
+333.4%
$11.05
+$8.46
+326.6%
$0.17
1.6%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.5%
$6.75
+$4.16
+160.6%
$6.35
+$3.76
+145.2%
$0.40
5.9%
—
BIG WIN
2.5%
$4.72
+$2.13
+82.3%
$4.62
+$2.03
+78.4%
$0.10
2.1%
—
BIG WIN
18.0%
$4.61
+$2.02
+78.0%
$3.81
+$1.22
+47.1%
$0.80
17.4%
—
BIG WIN
2.5%
$4.32
+$1.73
+66.7%
$3.49
+$0.90
+34.7%
$0.83
19.1%
—
WIN
18.0%
$3.67
+$1.08
+41.7%
$3.64
+$1.05
+40.5%
$0.03
0.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$1.50
-$1.09
-41.9%
$1.49
-$1.10
-42.5%
$0.01
0.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$1.44
-$1.15
-44.6%
$1.28
-$1.31
-50.6%
$0.16
10.8%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.42
-$2.17
-83.6%
$0.41
-$2.18
-84.2%
$0.01
3.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-graphic-design|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.08737500000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.07922000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.4235,
"optimistic_value": 0.42,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:54:40.289014Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.0699,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 1.5035,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 1.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:48:54.718230Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06407500000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 3.671,
"optimistic_value": 3.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 3.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.367595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.0699,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 1.4355,
"optimistic_value": 1.32,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:29.605719Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.05825,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9527d46c449f",
"realistic_value": 11.2245,
"optimistic_value": 11.13,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crossfade",
"conservative_value": 11.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crossfade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:16.391792Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9527d46c449f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.075725,
"output_skin_id": "skin-643580f5e594",
"realistic_value": 4.3165,
"optimistic_value": 4.18,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Wild Berry",
"conservative_value": 3.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:08.087443Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-643580f5e594.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.0932,
"output_skin_id": "skin-67dfc7fef62f",
"realistic_value": 4.721500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 4.69,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat",
"conservative_value": 4.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:34:12.511859Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-67dfc7fef62f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.0699,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36f03d5a542f",
"realistic_value": 6.75,
"optimistic_value": 6.75,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Halftone Shift",
"conservative_value": 6.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T03:36:58.950206Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36f03d5a542f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_81a7d10735decfc85b9a070e",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.57,
"skin_id": "skin-4b8b1ad9100f",
"listing_id": "510738192169700794",
"collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Spectrogram (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Spectrogram",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4b8b1ad9100f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:59:15.281207Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "527627322006725396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:55:03.517354Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789044843799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:19.167139Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "503983423971210091",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:47:36.402728Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "523123091069934802",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:19.167139Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "521997988015820706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:47:36.402728Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "523123888071660394",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:05:11.517801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "511864888985873745",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:05:11.517801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"listing_id": "642467916640465877",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:57:44.977012Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "523123888072931734",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:52:01.932287Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-graphic-design:1+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Graphic Design Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 2.5% $5.38 Wintergreen 18.0% $4.61 Wild Berry 2.5% $4.32 Halftone Shift 2.5% $3.95 Berry Gel Coat 2.5% $2.50 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $1.82 | $5.38 +290.1% | $1.78 +29.3% | 46.0% | +103.8% | $1.38 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Graphic Design Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 5.0% $5.38 Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Wild Berry 5.0% $4.32 Halftone Shift 5.0% $3.95 Berry Gel Coat 5.0% $2.50 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 | $5.38 +228.3% | $2.04 +24.3% | 52.0% | +87.9% | $1.64 | — |
The Graphic Design Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 7.5% $5.38 Berry Gel Coat 7.5% $4.72 Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Wild Berry 7.5% $4.32 Halftone Shift 7.5% $3.95 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $1.82 | $5.38 +163.9% | $2.45 +20.2% | 44.0% | +72.2% | $2.04 | — |
The Graphic Design Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 10.0% $5.38 Wintergreen 12.0% $4.61 Wild Berry 10.0% $4.32 Halftone Shift 10.0% $3.95 Berry Gel Coat 10.0% $2.52 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $1.82 | $5.38 +138.2% | $2.54 +12.4% | 52.0% | +61.0% | $2.26 | — |