The Graphic Design Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Coral Halftone
1x $1.88
Leafhopper
1x $0.16
Acid Dart
2x $0.17
Garter-9
2x $0.26
Mustard Gas
2x $0.35
Marsh
2x $1.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crossfade
2.5% $11.22
Wintergreen
18.0% $10.66
Berry Gel Coat
2.5% $9.63
Wild Berry
2.5% $7.43
Halftone Shift
2.5% $6.75
Tropical Breeze
18.0% $3.67
Max Win
$11.22 (+67.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.26 (-36.3%)
Win %
28.0%
Volatility
+55.8%
Cost
$6.69
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.69
Ask Price EV $4.26 (-36.3%)
Bid Price EV $4.01 (-40.1%)
Ask Profit $-2.43 (-36.3%)
Bid Profit $-2.68 (-40.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.25 (+3.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.43
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.68
Risk
Win Probability 28.0%
Loss Probability 72.0%
Best Case $11.22 (+67.8%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-78.5%)
Volatility +55.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 72.0%
Avg Win +$3.29
Avg Loss -$4.65
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-78.5%)
Std Dev $3.73
Avg Norm Float 0.0696
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 147h 2m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Coral Halftone
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 09M 32S //TOTAL COST $6.69 //ASK PRICE EV $4.26 //BID PRICE EV $4.01 //ASK PROFIT $-2.43 (-36.3%) //BID PROFIT $-2.68 (-40.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 28.0% //BEST CASE $11.22 //VOLATILITY +55.8% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.5%
$11.22
+$4.53
+67.8%
$11.05
+$4.36
+65.2%
$0.17
1.6%
—
BIG WIN
18.0%
$10.66
+$3.97
+59.3%
$9.81
+$3.12
+46.6%
$0.85
8.0%
—
WIN
2.5%
$9.63
+$2.94
+44.0%
$8.86
+$2.17
+32.4%
$0.77
8.0%
—
PAPER WIN
2.5%
$7.43
+$0.74
+11.1%
$6.24
-$0.45
-6.7%
$1.19
16.1%
—
PAPER WIN
2.5%
$6.75
+$0.06
+0.9%
$6.35
-$0.34
-5.1%
$0.40
5.9%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$3.67
-$3.02
-45.1%
$3.64
-$3.05
-45.6%
$0.03
0.8%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.53
-$5.16
-77.1%
$1.52
-$5.17
-77.3%
$0.01
0.9%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.50
-$5.19
-77.5%
$1.49
-$5.20
-77.7%
$0.01
0.9%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.44
-$5.25
-78.5%
$1.28
-$5.41
-80.9%
$0.16
10.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-graphic-design|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.052169999999999994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 10.66,
"optimistic_value": 10.66,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 9.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:10.267254Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.047300800000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 1.5335,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:44:08.144804Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.041735999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 1.5035,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 1.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:48:54.718230Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.038258,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 3.671,
"optimistic_value": 3.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 3.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.367595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.041735999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 1.4355,
"optimistic_value": 1.32,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:51:29.605719Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.03478,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9527d46c449f",
"realistic_value": 11.2245,
"optimistic_value": 11.13,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crossfade",
"conservative_value": 11.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crossfade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:16.391792Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9527d46c449f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.045214,
"output_skin_id": "skin-643580f5e594",
"realistic_value": 7.4334999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 7.43,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Wild Berry",
"conservative_value": 6.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T17:08:13.225577Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-643580f5e594.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.055648,
"output_skin_id": "skin-67dfc7fef62f",
"realistic_value": 9.631,
"optimistic_value": 9.33,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat",
"conservative_value": 8.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:51.236642Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-67dfc7fef62f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.041735999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36f03d5a542f",
"realistic_value": 6.75,
"optimistic_value": 6.75,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Halftone Shift",
"conservative_value": 6.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T03:36:58.950206Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36f03d5a542f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_81a7d10735decfc85b9a070e",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-91f502dd8899",
"listing_id": "505109323869045368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Coral Halftone (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Coral Halftone",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-91f502dd8899.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:35.374660Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "503983423971210091",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:47:36.402728Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "523123091069934802",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:19.167139Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "523123888071660394",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:05:11.517801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "511864888985873745",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:05:11.517801Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "523123888072931734",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:52:01.932287Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "652601015910513612",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Factory New)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:56:47.481364Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "502857689861815552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:52:01.932287Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625091045239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:59:15.454914Z"
},
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625090884103",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:59:15.454914Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-graphic-design:1+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Graphic Design Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 2.5% $5.38 Wintergreen 18.0% $4.61 Wild Berry 2.5% $4.32 Halftone Shift 2.5% $3.95 Berry Gel Coat 2.5% $2.50 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $1.82 | $5.38 +290.1% | $1.78 +29.3% | 46.0% | +103.8% | $1.38 | — |
The Graphic Design Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Crossfade 2.5% $11.22 Halftone Shift 2.5% $6.75 Berry Gel Coat 2.5% $4.72 Wintergreen 18.0% $4.61 Wild Berry 2.5% $4.32 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $3.67 | $11.22 +333.4% | $2.77 +7.0% | 46.0% | +67.9% | $2.59 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Graphic Design Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 5.0% $5.38 Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Wild Berry 5.0% $4.32 Halftone Shift 5.0% $3.95 Berry Gel Coat 5.0% $2.50 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 | $5.38 +228.3% | $2.04 +24.3% | 52.0% | +87.9% | $1.64 | — |
The Graphic Design Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 7.5% $5.38 Berry Gel Coat 7.5% $4.72 Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Wild Berry 7.5% $4.32 Halftone Shift 7.5% $3.95 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $1.82 | $5.38 +163.9% | $2.45 +20.2% | 44.0% | +72.2% | $2.04 | — |
The Graphic Design Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 10.0% $5.38 Wintergreen 12.0% $4.61 Wild Berry 10.0% $4.32 Halftone Shift 10.0% $3.95 Berry Gel Coat 10.0% $2.52 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $1.82 | $5.38 +138.2% | $2.54 +12.4% | 52.0% | +61.0% | $2.26 | — |