The CS20 Collection ×3+The Revolution Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Popdog
1x $0.28
Classic Crate
2x $0.30
Fragments
4x $0.14
Re.built
1x $0.19
Cyberforce
2x $0.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Agent
6.0% $5.46
Buddy
6.0% $5.28
Emphorosaur-S
14.0% $4.12
Inferno
6.0% $3.76
Aztec
6.0% $3.57
Plastique
6.0% $3.21
Max Win
$5.46 (+95.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.09 (+10.3%)
Win %
58.0%
Volatility
+44.0%
Cost
$2.80
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.80
Ask Price EV $3.09 (+10.3%)
Bid Price EV $2.65 (-5.3%)
Ask Profit $0.29 (+10.3%)
Bid Profit $-0.15 (-5.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.44 (+15.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.29
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.15
Risk
Win Probability 58.0%
Loss Probability 42.0%
Best Case $5.46 (+95.0%)
Worst Case $1.36 (-51.3%)
Volatility +44.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 28.0%
Avg Win +$1.14
Avg Loss -$0.89
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.36 (-51.3%)
Std Dev $1.23
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 147h 5m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Popdog
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Classic Crate
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Classic Crate
—
Field-Tested
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 30M 11S //TOTAL COST $2.80 //ASK PRICE EV $3.09 //BID PRICE EV $2.65 //ASK PROFIT $0.29 (+10.3%) //BID PROFIT $-0.15 (-5.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 58.0% //BEST CASE $5.46 //VOLATILITY +44.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$5.46
+$2.66
+95.0%
$4.57
+$1.77
+63.2%
$0.89
16.3%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$5.28
+$2.48
+88.7%
$4.14
+$1.34
+47.9%
$1.14
21.6%
—
WIN
14.0%
$4.12
+$1.32
+47.1%
$3.56
+$0.76
+27.1%
$0.56
13.5%
—
WIN
6.0%
$3.76
+$0.96
+34.3%
$3.65
+$0.85
+30.4%
$0.11
2.9%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
6.0%
$3.57
+$0.77
+27.5%
$2.42
-$0.38
-13.6%
$1.15
32.2%
—
SMALL WIN
6.0%
$3.21
+$0.41
+14.8%
$2.89
+$0.09
+3.2%
$0.32
10.1%
—
PAPER WIN
14.0%
$3.08
+$0.28
+10.0%
$2.72
-$0.08
-2.9%
$0.36
11.7%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.65
-$0.15
-5.2%
$2.41
-$0.39
-13.9%
$0.24
9.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$1.73
-$1.07
-38.3%
$1.46
-$1.34
-47.9%
$0.27
15.5%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.36
-$1.44
-51.3%
$1.21
-$1.59
-56.8%
$0.15
11.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.112425,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11992000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.29694200000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.08994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.3645,
"optimistic_value": 1.34,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:56.355007Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.7269999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.72,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:08:48.684206Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.082445,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31de22ad9746",
"realistic_value": 5.2835,
"optimistic_value": 5.21,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Buddy",
"conservative_value": 4.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:45.339680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31de22ad9746.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.112425,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ca39d6a9fe2",
"realistic_value": 3.5700000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 3.5,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Aztec",
"conservative_value": 2.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:06.807138Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ca39d6a9fe2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4ef86547d990",
"realistic_value": 5.4605,
"optimistic_value": 5.17,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Agent",
"conservative_value": 4.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:01.809192Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4ef86547d990.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.10193200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bcef416d83b",
"realistic_value": 3.7595,
"optimistic_value": 3.7,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Inferno",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:23.836740Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bcef416d83b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.11992000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"realistic_value": 3.214,
"optimistic_value": 3.06,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"conservative_value": 2.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:01:25.568581Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_78fc2bb3baea5dd2a5155cfb",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-25cbd4e0e058",
"listing_id": "514116523133848254",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Popdog",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25cbd4e0e058.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:03:38.716830Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-d136bb4f23cb",
"listing_id": "517494388633386382",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Classic Crate",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d136bb4f23cb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:13:35.524497Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-d136bb4f23cb",
"listing_id": "506234592364798152",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Classic Crate",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d136bb4f23cb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:13:35.524497Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "503983589620342531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:35.474931Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976338031886434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:15.724099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "515242588555261033",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "508487189340982466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:24.271956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "499479989896449373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "658230515398900238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746188259578292",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:24.271956Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:3+collection-set-community-32:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Revolution Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Buddy 6.0% $5.28 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 Inferno 6.0% $3.76 Aztec 6.0% $3.57 Plastique 6.0% $3.21 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $3.08 | $5.28 +120.1% | $2.80 +16.7% | 72.0% | +35.5% | $2.40 | — |