The CS20 Collection ×3+The Revolution Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Classic Crate
2x $0.72
Assault
1x $2.00
Fragments
2x $0.34
Cyberforce
3x $0.34
Liquidation
1x $0.49
Rebel
1x $1.88
↓
Possible Outputs
Agent
6.0% $29.05
Emphorosaur-S
14.0% $11.80
Buddy
6.0% $9.69
Plastique
6.0% $9.47
Inferno
6.0% $9.33
Banana Cannon
14.0% $8.11
Max Win
$29.05 (+211.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.49 (-9.1%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+64.3%
Cost
$9.34
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $9.34
Ask Price EV $8.49 (-9.1%)
Bid Price EV $7.23 (-22.6%)
Ask Profit $-0.85 (-9.1%)
Bid Profit $-2.11 (-22.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.26 (+13.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.85
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.11
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $29.05 (+211.0%)
Worst Case $2.65 (-71.6%)
Volatility +64.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 42.0%
Avg Win +$4.86
Avg Loss -$3.54
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.65 (-71.6%)
Std Dev $6.00
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 147h 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Classic Crate
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Classic Crate
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Assault
—
Factory New
$2.00 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Liquidation
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$1.76 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 30M 04S //TOTAL COST $9.34 //ASK PRICE EV $8.49 //BID PRICE EV $7.23 //ASK PROFIT $-0.85 (-9.1%) //BID PROFIT $-2.11 (-22.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $29.05 //VOLATILITY +64.3% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$29.05
+$19.71
+211.0%
$24.09
+$14.75
+157.9%
$4.96
17.1%
—
WIN
14.0%
$11.80
+$2.46
+26.4%
$10.16
+$0.82
+8.8%
$1.64
13.9%
—
PAPER WIN
6.0%
$9.69
+$0.35
+3.8%
$7.59
-$1.75
-18.7%
$2.10
21.7%
—
PAPER WIN
6.0%
$9.47
+$0.13
+1.4%
$8.37
-$0.97
-10.4%
$1.10
11.6%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$9.33
-$0.01
-0.1%
$8.48
-$0.86
-9.2%
$0.85
9.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$8.11
-$1.23
-13.2%
$6.70
-$2.64
-28.3%
$1.41
17.3%
—
LOSS THIN BID
6.0%
$7.33
-$2.01
-21.5%
$5.38
-$3.96
-42.4%
$1.95
26.6%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$6.95
-$2.39
-25.6%
$6.21
-$3.13
-33.5%
$0.74
10.6%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$3.33
-$6.01
-64.3%
$3.08
-$6.26
-67.0%
$0.25
7.5%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$2.65
-$6.69
-71.6%
$2.41
-$6.93
-74.2%
$0.24
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0523875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 6.945,
"optimistic_value": 6.7,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:22:47.851934Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.05588,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.250513,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.041909999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.331,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:08:47.151798Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 8.105,
"optimistic_value": 8,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 6.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:53:54.534429Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.0384175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31de22ad9746",
"realistic_value": 9.694500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 9.46,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Buddy",
"conservative_value": 7.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T17:41:03.882537Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31de22ad9746.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.0523875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ca39d6a9fe2",
"realistic_value": 7.3294999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 7.27,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Aztec",
"conservative_value": 5.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:17:35.443094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ca39d6a9fe2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4ef86547d990",
"realistic_value": 29.0475,
"optimistic_value": 28.54,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Agent",
"conservative_value": 24.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:46.088683Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4ef86547d990.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.047498,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bcef416d83b",
"realistic_value": 9.3305,
"optimistic_value": 9.25,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Inferno",
"conservative_value": 8.48,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:28:42.890128Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bcef416d83b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.05588,
"output_skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"realistic_value": 9.468499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 9.36,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"conservative_value": 8.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:38:48.942466Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_78fc2bb3baea5dd2a5155cfb",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-d136bb4f23cb",
"listing_id": "625579418044172770",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Classic Crate",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d136bb4f23cb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:05.237854Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-d136bb4f23cb",
"listing_id": "515241791632534381",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Classic Crate",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d136bb4f23cb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:05.237854Z"
},
{
"price": 2,
"skin_id": "skin-df8e665e3faa",
"listing_id": "518619491402839852",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Assault",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-df8e665e3faa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:09.444730Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "516368488725172886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:08.864397Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746188259578292",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:24.271956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "502857689861700028",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:24.271956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-d87f89df4191",
"listing_id": "502857637416920044",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Liquidation (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Liquidation",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d87f89df4191.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:09:05.903745Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "524249787961735143",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:24.271956Z"
},
{
"price": 1.76,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "515241791644842529",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:06:23.598194Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "496102237882665215",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:22:57.420423Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:3+collection-set-community-32:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Revolution Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Buddy 6.0% $5.28 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 Inferno 6.0% $3.76 Aztec 6.0% $3.57 Plastique 6.0% $3.21 Umbral Rabbit 14.0% $3.08 | $5.28 +120.1% | $2.80 +16.7% | 72.0% | +35.5% | $2.40 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Revolution Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 6.0% $5.46 Buddy 6.0% $5.28 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 Inferno 6.0% $3.76 Aztec 6.0% $3.57 Plastique 6.0% $3.21 | $5.46 +95.0% | $3.09 +10.3% | 58.0% | +32.3% | $2.80 | — |