The Sport & Field Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Cold Cell
1x $0.41
Banana Leaf
3x $0.16
Coral Paisley
4x $0.21
XoooM
1x $0.34
Picnic
1x $0.58
↓
Possible Outputs
Fraise Crane
22.5% $6.16
Alpine Camo
2.5% $5.15
Zeno
2.5% $3.65
Small Game
2.5% $3.64
Sky Mandala
22.5% $3.46
Earth Mandala
22.5% $2.28
Max Win
$6.16 (+108.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.54 (+20.0%)
Win %
52.5%
Volatility
+52.8%
Cost
$2.95
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.95
Ask Price EV $3.54 (+20.0%)
Bid Price EV $3.49 (+18.3%)
Ask Profit $0.59 (+20.0%)
Bid Profit $0.54 (+18.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.05 (+1.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.59
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.54
Risk
Win Probability 52.5%
Loss Probability 47.5%
Best Case $6.16 (+108.7%)
Worst Case $1.54 (-47.8%)
Volatility +52.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 2.5%
Avg Win +$1.77
Avg Loss -$0.71
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.27 (-22.9%)
Std Dev $1.56
Avg Norm Float 0.0994
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 5h 48m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | XoooM
—
Factory New
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Factory New
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 39M 04S //TOTAL COST $2.95 //ASK PRICE EV $3.54 //BID PRICE EV $3.49 //ASK PROFIT $0.59 (+20.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.54 (+18.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.5% //BEST CASE $6.16 //VOLATILITY +52.8% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
22.5%
$6.16
+$3.21
+108.7%
$6.12
+$3.17
+107.5%
$0.04
0.6%
—
BIG WIN
2.5%
$5.15
+$2.20
+74.6%
$5.08
+$2.13
+72.2%
$0.07
1.4%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.5%
$3.65
+$0.70
+23.7%
$3.31
+$0.36
+12.2%
$0.34
9.3%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.5%
$3.64
+$0.69
+23.4%
$3.28
+$0.33
+11.2%
$0.36
9.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
22.5%
$3.46
+$0.51
+17.4%
$3.42
+$0.47
+15.9%
$0.04
1.3%
—
LOSS
22.5%
$2.28
-$0.67
-22.6%
$2.25
-$0.70
-23.7%
$0.03
1.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
22.5%
$2.27
-$0.68
-22.9%
$2.25
-$0.70
-23.7%
$0.02
1.1%
—
NUKE
2.5%
$1.54
-$1.41
-47.8%
$1.52
-$1.43
-48.5%
$0.02
1.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.064623,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 6.1579999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 6.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:00.132495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.06959399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 3.464,
"optimistic_value": 3.45,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:04.663118Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.06959399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 2.2739999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 2.26,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:01.882571Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.0656172,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 2.284,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:00.615986Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.09942,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 1.54,
"optimistic_value": 1.54,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:52:57.884396Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.06959399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 3.64,
"optimistic_value": 3.64,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 3.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:33:56.555649Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.06959399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 3.6485,
"optimistic_value": 3.61,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 3.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:34:09.689862Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.0676056,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 5.1505,
"optimistic_value": 5.14,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 5.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:55:12.012714Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_77a9e41113cea1397f697735",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "524249787962335551",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:34:48.319324Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "515242641501270025",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:59.571426Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "507361237008908833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:59.571426Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "492724538183377989",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:49.224199Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "509613036861256419",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:49.224199Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "499479989895930289",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:49.224199Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "527627435180956868",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:49.224199Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"listing_id": "518620341242882920",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:21.351190Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "509613142167371127",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:18.214929Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "496102237884292343",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:12.473217Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-realism-camo:1+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×6+The Harlequin Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 10.0% $2.93 Sky Mandala 10.0% $1.60 Alpine Camo 15.0% $1.47 Zeno 15.0% $1.22 Small Game 15.0% $1.19 Warm Blooded 10.0% $1.13 | $2.93 +152.9% | $1.36 +17.4% | 65.0% | +44.6% | $1.16 | — |