The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Revolution Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Lifted Spirits
2x $0.17
Ensnared
1x $0.21
Scrawl
2x $0.21
Fragments
3x $0.16
Re.built
2x $0.18
↓
Possible Outputs
Night Terror
10.0% $4.12
Emphorosaur-S
10.0% $4.12
Ticket to Hell
10.0% $3.94
Umbral Rabbit
10.0% $3.08
Sakkaku
10.0% $2.65
Neoqueen
10.0% $1.41
Max Win
$4.12 (+107.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.35 (+18.1%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+66.1%
Cost
$1.99
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.99
Ask Price EV $2.35 (+18.1%)
Bid Price EV $2.04 (+2.3%)
Ask Profit $0.36 (+18.1%)
Bid Profit $0.05 (+2.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.31 (+15.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.36
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.05
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $4.12 (+107.2%)
Worst Case $0.79 (-60.1%)
Volatility +66.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$1.59
Avg Loss -$0.87
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.79 (-60.1%)
Std Dev $1.32
Avg Norm Float 0.1865
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 153h 22m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 33M 51S //TOTAL COST $1.99 //ASK PRICE EV $2.35 //BID PRICE EV $2.04 //ASK PROFIT $0.36 (+18.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.05 (+2.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $4.12 //VOLATILITY +66.1% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$4.12
+$2.13
+107.2%
$3.46
+$1.47
+73.9%
$0.66
16.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$4.12
+$2.13
+106.9%
$3.56
+$1.57
+78.9%
$0.56
13.5%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$3.94
+$1.95
+98.0%
$3.26
+$1.27
+63.8%
$0.68
17.3%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$3.08
+$1.09
+54.8%
$2.72
+$0.73
+36.7%
$0.36
11.7%
—
WIN
10.0%
$2.65
+$0.66
+33.3%
$2.41
+$0.42
+21.1%
$0.24
9.2%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.41
-$0.58
-29.1%
$1.20
-$0.79
-39.7%
$0.21
14.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.31
-$0.68
-34.0%
$1.19
-$0.80
-40.2%
$0.12
9.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.17
-$0.82
-41.2%
$1.00
-$0.99
-49.7%
$0.17
14.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.89
-$1.10
-55.4%
$0.80
-$1.19
-59.8%
$0.09
10.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.79
-$1.20
-60.1%
$0.75
-$1.24
-62.3%
$0.04
5.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.18652,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.8885,
"optimistic_value": 0.85,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:31:19.523046Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13989,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.149216,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13056399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 4.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:15.418096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.3181816,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.111912,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:31.405584Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.12496840000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.314,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:00.712880Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.18652,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.7945,
"optimistic_value": 0.77,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:37.758004Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1417552,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09326,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.1709999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.15,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:12.113494Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6ff514fe87a00b85aa84dff4",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "511864941882448797",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:29.382210Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "527627435180826512",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:29.382210Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "499479989895349105",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:31:33.084639Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "514116688948507758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:33:13.357856Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289451954337",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:33:13.357856Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "641342016843444895",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:50.570054Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "527627322003117584",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:50.570054Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:21.279458Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "494976443342376186",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:21.279458Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "503983642532410795",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:57.955490Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:5+collection-set-community-32:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Revolution Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $11.80 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $10.13 Night Terror 10.0% $8.14 Umbral Rabbit 10.0% $7.09 Neoqueen 10.0% $3.35 Space Cat 10.0% $2.99 | $11.80 +158.9% | $5.16 +13.2% | 40.0% | +65.6% | $4.56 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 12.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 12.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 12.0% $1.41 | $4.12 +114.8% | $2.37 +23.4% | 52.0% | +51.8% | $1.92 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 12.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 8.0% $1.36 | $4.12 +108.3% | $2.33 +17.8% | 48.0% | +52.5% | $1.98 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Revolution Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Ticket to Hell 14.0% $10.13 Night Terror 14.0% $8.14 Umbral Rabbit 6.0% $7.09 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Neoqueen 6.0% $3.35 Space Cat 14.0% $2.99 | $10.13 +153.8% | $4.65 +16.5% | 40.0% | +65.2% | $3.99 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Revolution Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 4.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 4.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 4.0% $1.41 | $4.12 +105.2% | $2.33 +15.9% | 44.0% | +52.6% | $2.01 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2+The Revolution Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Night Terror 4.0% $4.12 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $3.94 Umbral Rabbit 16.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 16.0% $2.65 Neoqueen 16.0% $1.41 | $4.12 +99.2% | $2.39 +15.7% | 56.0% | +46.6% | $2.07 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Temukau  30.0% $126.64 Starlight Protector  20.0% $98.54 Nightwish  20.0% $92.29 Head Shot  30.0% $46.53 | $126.64 +61.0% | $90.12 +14.6% | 70.0% | +39.9% | $78.67 | — |