The Anubis Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Inlay
4x $0.11
Submerged
1x $0.13
Blue Tac
1x $0.03
Grey Smoke
1x $0.04
Storm Camo
1x $0.04
Blue Blast
2x $0.04
↓
Possible Outputs
Azure Glyph
12.5% $2.39
Desert Tactical
12.5% $2.30
Echoing Sands
12.5% $1.99
Mud-Spec
12.5% $1.74
Ocean Topo
5.6% $0.28
Electric Blue
5.6% $0.20
Max Win
$2.39 (+85.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.13 (-12.3%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+76.8%
Cost
$1.29
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.29
Ask Price EV $1.13 (-12.3%)
Bid Price EV $1.10 (-14.9%)
Ask Profit $-0.16 (-12.3%)
Bid Profit $-0.19 (-14.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.03 (+2.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.16
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.19
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $2.39 (+85.3%)
Worst Case $0.11 (-91.2%)
Volatility +76.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$0.81
Avg Loss -$1.13
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.11 (-91.2%)
Std Dev $0.99
Avg Norm Float 0.1392
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 38h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Inlay
—
Field-Tested
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Submerged
—
Field-Tested
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Inlay
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Inlay
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Inlay
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Blue Tac
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Grey Smoke
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Storm Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Blue Blast
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Blue Blast
—
Minimal Wear
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 59M 55S //TOTAL COST $1.29 //ASK PRICE EV $1.13 //BID PRICE EV $1.10 //ASK PROFIT $-0.16 (-12.3%) //BID PROFIT $-0.19 (-14.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $2.39 //VOLATILITY +76.8% //
Possible Outputs · 13
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.5%
$2.39
+$1.10
+85.3%
$2.34
+$1.05
+81.4%
$0.05
2.1%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$2.30
+$1.01
+78.6%
$2.27
+$0.98
+76.0%
$0.03
1.5%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$1.99
+$0.70
+54.0%
$1.97
+$0.68
+52.7%
$0.02
0.9%
—
WIN
12.5%
$1.74
+$0.45
+34.6%
$1.65
+$0.36
+27.9%
$0.09
5.0%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.28
-$1.01
-78.3%
$0.23
-$1.06
-82.2%
$0.05
17.9%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.20
-$1.09
-84.5%
$0.17
-$1.12
-86.8%
$0.03
15.0%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.17
-$1.12
-86.6%
$0.16
-$1.13
-87.6%
$0.01
7.8%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.16
-$1.13
-87.8%
$0.13
-$1.16
-89.9%
$0.03
17.2%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.14
-$1.15
-89.1%
$0.13
-$1.16
-89.9%
$0.01
7.1%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.13
-$1.16
-89.9%
$0.12
-$1.17
-90.7%
$0.01
7.7%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.11
-$1.18
-91.2%
$0.10
-$1.19
-92.2%
$0.01
11.9%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.11
-$1.18
-91.2%
$0.10
-$1.19
-92.2%
$0.01
11.9%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.11
-$1.18
-91.2%
$0.10
-$1.19
-92.2%
$0.01
11.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.1016306,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41f71f1a5f50",
"realistic_value": 1.736,
"optimistic_value": 1.68,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec",
"conservative_value": 1.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:20:49.000908Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41f71f1a5f50.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.1285916,
"output_skin_id": "skin-eba9dcbab8fc",
"realistic_value": 1.9869999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands",
"conservative_value": 1.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:27.921281Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eba9dcbab8fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.14643560000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9a0273275e44",
"realistic_value": 2.39,
"optimistic_value": 2.39,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph",
"conservative_value": 2.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:46.987735Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a0273275e44.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.13922,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808bfc3a4f41",
"realistic_value": 2.3035,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical",
"conservative_value": 2.27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:21:37.547326Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808bfc3a4f41.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.097454,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"realistic_value": 0.1135,
"optimistic_value": 0.11,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:18:39.440680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.08353200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7b6d780443fc",
"realistic_value": 0.14,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:11.913990Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b6d780443fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.08353200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"realistic_value": 0.1135,
"optimistic_value": 0.11,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:18:36.511997Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.08353200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad93599cbfb9",
"realistic_value": 0.28,
"optimistic_value": 0.28,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo",
"conservative_value": 0.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:07.593397Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad93599cbfb9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.08353200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"realistic_value": 0.13,
"optimistic_value": 0.13,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:18:00.756882Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.11137600000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"realistic_value": 0.17350000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.17,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"conservative_value": 0.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:20:14.922777Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.09445116382,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"realistic_value": 0.157,
"optimistic_value": 0.15,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"conservative_value": 0.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:40.376416Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.08353200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"realistic_value": 0.1135,
"optimistic_value": 0.11,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:38.793688Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.10441500000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"realistic_value": 0.2,
"optimistic_value": 0.2,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:20:40.150983Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6bc7a5d551d4085b8544e61e",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-e8e1c44874c0",
"listing_id": "498354089953454251",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8e1c44874c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:53.582167Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-eed9c3fe4b9d",
"listing_id": "521997988015799610",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Submerged",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eed9c3fe4b9d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:35:56.826668Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-e8e1c44874c0",
"listing_id": "507361289453611777",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8e1c44874c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:43.143526Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-e8e1c44874c0",
"listing_id": "500605889840775767",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8e1c44874c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:43.143526Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-e8e1c44874c0",
"listing_id": "516368436281684690",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8e1c44874c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:43.143526Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-23a748f6b597",
"listing_id": "507361289453587801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Blue Tac (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Blue Tac",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a748f6b597.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:36:07.990554Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-6d3d5d849392",
"listing_id": "517494222852987790",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6d3d5d849392.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:18:16.693486Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-9973f96c93b5",
"listing_id": "492724538183080161",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Storm Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9973f96c93b5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:46.663889Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-6c86170a7e6d",
"listing_id": "509613089305714203",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Blue Blast",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6c86170a7e6d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:15:29.864505Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-6c86170a7e6d",
"listing_id": "503983589620313515",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Blue Blast (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Blue Blast",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6c86170a7e6d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:15:29.864505Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:5+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 12.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands 12.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph 12.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec 12.5% $7.35 Sour Grapes 5.6% $0.93 Ocean Topo 5.6% $0.81 | $14.55 +217.8% | $5.58 +21.7% | 50.0% | +93.1% | $4.58 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 15.0% $14.55 Echoing Sands 15.0% $10.42 Azure Glyph 15.0% $9.87 Mud-Spec 15.0% $7.35 Sour Grapes 4.4% $0.93 Ocean Topo 4.4% $0.81 | $14.55 +159.4% | $6.57 +17.2% | 60.0% | +72.2% | $5.61 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 10.0% $14.55 Echoing Sands 10.0% $10.42 Azure Glyph 10.0% $9.87 Mud-Spec 10.0% $7.35 Sour Grapes 6.7% $0.93 Ocean Topo 6.7% $0.81 | $14.55 +266.6% | $4.59 +15.5% | 40.0% | +109.0% | $3.97 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 17.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands 17.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph 17.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec 17.5% $7.35 Sour Grapes 3.3% $0.93 Ocean Topo 3.3% $0.81 | $14.55 +119.2% | $7.57 +14.0% | 70.0% | +56.1% | $6.64 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile  2.5% $49.75 Steel Delta  2.5% $34.44 Copper Coated  2.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot  2.5% $7.58 Yeti Camo  18.0% $4.46 Mint Fan  18.0% $3.23 | $49.75 +1025.5% | $5.20 +17.5% | 28.0% | +192.1% | $4.42 | — |