The Anubis Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New
Inputs
Submerged
3x $0.40
Sunbaked
1x $0.49
Inlay
1x $1.17
Lime Hex
1x $0.12
Blue Tac
2x $0.28
Storm Camo
1x $0.35
↓
Possible Outputs
Desert Tactical
12.5% $14.55
Echoing Sands
12.5% $10.42
Azure Glyph
12.5% $9.87
Mud-Spec
12.5% $7.35
Sour Grapes
5.6% $0.93
Ocean Topo
5.6% $0.81
Max Win
$14.55 (+217.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.58 (+21.7%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+115.7%
Cost
$4.58
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.58
Ask Price EV $5.58 (+21.7%)
Bid Price EV $5.46 (+19.2%)
Ask Profit $1.00 (+21.7%)
Bid Profit $0.88 (+19.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.11 (+2.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.00
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.88
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $14.55 (+217.8%)
Worst Case $0.36 (-92.1%)
Volatility +115.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$5.97
Avg Loss -$3.98
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.36 (-92.1%)
Std Dev $5.30
Avg Norm Float 0.0611
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 37h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M249 | Submerged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Submerged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Sunbaked
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Submerged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Inlay
—
Factory New
$1.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Lime Hex
—
Factory New
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Blue Tac
—
Factory New
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Storm Camo
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Grey Smoke
—
Factory New
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Blue Tac
—
Factory New
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 52M 17S //TOTAL COST $4.58 //ASK PRICE EV $5.58 //BID PRICE EV $5.46 //ASK PROFIT $1.00 (+21.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.88 (+19.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $14.55 //VOLATILITY +115.7% //
Possible Outputs · 13
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.5%
$14.55
+$9.97
+217.8%
$14.27
+$9.69
+211.6%
$0.28
1.9%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$10.42
+$5.84
+127.5%
$10.26
+$5.68
+124.0%
$0.16
1.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$9.87
+$5.29
+115.5%
$9.69
+$5.11
+111.6%
$0.18
1.8%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$7.35
+$2.77
+60.5%
$7.25
+$2.67
+58.3%
$0.10
1.4%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.93
-$3.65
-79.7%
$0.80
-$3.78
-82.5%
$0.13
14.0%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.81
-$3.77
-82.4%
$0.77
-$3.81
-83.2%
$0.04
4.7%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.79
-$3.79
-82.8%
$0.72
-$3.86
-84.3%
$0.07
8.5%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.73
-$3.85
-84.1%
$0.66
-$3.92
-85.6%
$0.07
9.3%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.52
-$4.06
-88.6%
$0.48
-$4.10
-89.5%
$0.04
7.7%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.48
-$4.10
-89.4%
$0.43
-$4.15
-90.6%
$0.05
11.1%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.43
-$4.15
-90.6%
$0.42
-$4.16
-90.8%
$0.01
2.3%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.37
-$4.21
-91.9%
$0.36
-$4.22
-92.1%
$0.01
2.7%
—
NUKE
5.6%
$0.36
-$4.22
-92.1%
$0.35
-$4.23
-92.4%
$0.01
2.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.0445884,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41f71f1a5f50",
"realistic_value": 7.3525,
"optimistic_value": 7.3,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec",
"conservative_value": 7.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:20:49.158025Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41f71f1a5f50.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.0676424,
"output_skin_id": "skin-eba9dcbab8fc",
"realistic_value": 10.421000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.4,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands",
"conservative_value": 10.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:20:32.702432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eba9dcbab8fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.0698584,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9a0273275e44",
"realistic_value": 9.871,
"optimistic_value": 9.85,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph",
"conservative_value": 9.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:20:37.423441Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a0273275e44.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.06108,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808bfc3a4f41",
"realistic_value": 14.553,
"optimistic_value": 14.42,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical",
"conservative_value": 14.27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:20:33.122416Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808bfc3a4f41.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.042756,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"realistic_value": 0.43,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"conservative_value": 0.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:12.726962Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.036648,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7b6d780443fc",
"realistic_value": 0.52,
"optimistic_value": 0.52,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.48,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Sky Blue (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:12.837447Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b6d780443fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.036648,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"realistic_value": 0.4835,
"optimistic_value": 0.48,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"conservative_value": 0.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:40:00.572641Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.036648,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad93599cbfb9",
"realistic_value": 0.808,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo",
"conservative_value": 0.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Ocean Topo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:58:08.915287Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad93599cbfb9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.036648,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"realistic_value": 0.728,
"optimistic_value": 0.7,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:01.449802Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.048864000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"realistic_value": 0.9305,
"optimistic_value": 0.92,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"conservative_value": 0.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:54.283947Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.04143856548,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"realistic_value": 0.37,
"optimistic_value": 0.37,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"conservative_value": 0.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:48.302049Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.036648,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"realistic_value": 0.36,
"optimistic_value": 0.36,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"conservative_value": 0.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:49.686892Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05555555555555555,
"output_float": 0.045810000000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"realistic_value": 0.787,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:05.622869Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6bc7a5d551d4085b8544e61e",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-eed9c3fe4b9d",
"listing_id": "529879287550089972",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Submerged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Submerged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eed9c3fe4b9d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:28.220866Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-eed9c3fe4b9d",
"listing_id": "516367691480206238",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Submerged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Submerged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eed9c3fe4b9d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:28.220866Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-7749a115c5c1",
"listing_id": "516368488726657922",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Sunbaked (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Sunbaked",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7749a115c5c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:05.015403Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-eed9c3fe4b9d",
"listing_id": "519746135813745992",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Submerged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Submerged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eed9c3fe4b9d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:28.220866Z"
},
{
"price": 1.17,
"skin_id": "skin-e8e1c44874c0",
"listing_id": "494976390477067026",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay (Factory New)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Inlay",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8e1c44874c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:22.923991Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-e6401ef3f5b7",
"listing_id": "528753440604659745",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Lime Hex (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Lime Hex",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e6401ef3f5b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:29.632065Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-23a748f6b597",
"listing_id": "509612923502750487",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Blue Tac",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a748f6b597.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:35.849137Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-9973f96c93b5",
"listing_id": "631208845697502242",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Storm Camo (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Storm Camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9973f96c93b5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:24:09.679750Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-080ca3f34d18",
"listing_id": "503983589618123095",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Grey Smoke",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-080ca3f34d18.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:24:03.610064Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-23a748f6b597",
"listing_id": "501731789729155409",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Blue Tac",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a748f6b597.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:35.849137Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:5+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 10.0% $14.55 Echoing Sands 10.0% $10.42 Azure Glyph 10.0% $9.87 Mud-Spec 10.0% $7.35 Sour Grapes 6.7% $0.93 Ocean Topo 6.7% $0.81 | $14.55 +309.9% | $4.58 +29.0% | 40.0% | +122.0% | $3.55 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 15.0% $14.55 Echoing Sands 15.0% $10.42 Azure Glyph 15.0% $9.87 Mud-Spec 15.0% $7.35 Sour Grapes 4.4% $0.93 Ocean Topo 4.4% $0.81 | $14.55 +156.2% | $6.57 +15.7% | 60.0% | +71.3% | $5.68 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 17.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands 17.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph 17.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec 17.5% $7.35 Sour Grapes 3.3% $0.93 Ocean Topo 3.3% $0.81 | $14.55 +117.9% | $7.57 +13.3% | 70.0% | +55.8% | $6.68 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile  2.5% $49.75 Steel Delta  2.5% $34.44 Copper Coated  2.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot  2.5% $7.58 Yeti Camo  18.0% $4.46 Mint Fan  18.0% $3.33 | $49.75 +1035.7% | $5.22 +19.2% | 28.0% | +193.7% | $4.38 | — |