The Sport & Field Collection ×6+The Harlequin Collection ×4
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Wildwood
4x $0.09
Cold Cell
1x $0.13
Tiger Stencil
1x $0.14
XoooM
1x $0.05
Banana Leaf
1x $0.07
Picnic
1x $0.07
↓
Possible Outputs
Fraise Crane
10.0% $2.93
Sky Mandala
10.0% $1.63
Alpine Camo
15.0% $1.49
Zeno
15.0% $1.18
Small Game
15.0% $1.12
Earth Mandala
10.0% $1.07
Max Win
$2.93 (+171.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.34 (+24.1%)
Win %
65.0%
Volatility
+55.3%
Cost
$1.08
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.08
Ask Price EV $1.34 (+24.1%)
Bid Price EV $1.26 (+16.7%)
Ask Profit $0.26 (+24.1%)
Bid Profit $0.18 (+16.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.08 (+7.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.26
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.18
Risk
Win Probability 65.0%
Loss Probability 35.0%
Best Case $2.93 (+171.7%)
Worst Case $0.69 (-36.1%)
Volatility +55.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 15.0%
Avg Win +$0.50
Avg Loss -$0.18
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.69 (-36.1%)
Std Dev $0.60
Avg Norm Float 0.2142
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 9h 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Field-Tested
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | XoooM
—
Field-Tested
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Calligrafaux
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 30M 33S //TOTAL COST $1.08 //ASK PRICE EV $1.34 //BID PRICE EV $1.26 //ASK PROFIT $0.26 (+24.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.18 (+16.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 65.0% //BEST CASE $2.93 //VOLATILITY +55.3% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$2.93
+$1.85
+171.7%
$2.39
+$1.31
+121.3%
$0.54
18.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.63
+$0.55
+51.0%
$1.57
+$0.49
+45.4%
$0.06
3.7%
—
WIN
15.0%
$1.49
+$0.41
+38.0%
$1.46
+$0.38
+35.2%
$0.03
2.0%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$1.18
+$0.10
+9.6%
$1.17
+$0.09
+8.3%
$0.01
1.1%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
15.0%
$1.12
+$0.04
+3.7%
$1.11
+$0.03
+2.8%
$0.01
0.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.07
-$0.01
-0.9%
$1.03
-$0.05
-4.6%
$0.04
3.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.05
-$0.03
-3.1%
$1.01
-$0.07
-6.5%
$0.04
3.5%
—
LOSS
15.0%
$0.69
-$0.39
-36.1%
$0.66
-$0.42
-38.9%
$0.03
4.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.21425,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 0.69,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:30.373236Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.149975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 1.12,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:37:49.161564Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.149975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 1.1835,
"optimistic_value": 1.18,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 1.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:24:44.320156Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.14569000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 1.49,
"optimistic_value": 1.49,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:15:48.282229Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1392625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 2.9339999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 2.92,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 2.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:56.777445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.149975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 1.6305,
"optimistic_value": 1.62,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 1.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:17.513352Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.149975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 1.047,
"optimistic_value": 1.04,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:13.146572Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.141405,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 1.0705,
"optimistic_value": 1.06,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 1.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:37:26.584799Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_69fb016e452f27d23875d5f0",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "494976443341611546",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:19:34.352006Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "759553194072536155",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:19:34.352006Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "491598743580769886",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:04.720900Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-f4f7b9b303a2",
"listing_id": "528753440605470861",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f4f7b9b303a2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:17:25.004676Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "500605889842045379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:23:23.507858Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "502857742726308376",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:23:23.507858Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"listing_id": "503983642533318139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:14:57.425314Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "510739041953668210",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:01.631804Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "496102343225599787",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:19:53.672447Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-2efacc35df16",
"listing_id": "500605942756076759",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Calligrafaux",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2efacc35df16.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:35:27.622080Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-realism-camo:6+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×6+The Harlequin Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Fraise Crane 10.0% $6.16 Alpine Camo 15.0% $5.11 Small Game 15.0% $3.61 Zeno 15.0% $3.54 Sky Mandala 10.0% $3.47 Warm Blooded 10.0% $2.28 | $6.16 +104.6% | $3.49 +16.1% | 65.0% | +37.2% | $3.01 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×5+The Harlequin Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Fraise Crane 12.5% $2.93 Sky Mandala 12.5% $1.63 Alpine Camo 12.5% $1.49 Zeno 12.5% $1.18 Small Game 12.5% $1.12 Earth Mandala 12.5% $1.07 | $2.93 +171.7% | $1.40 +29.2% | 62.5% | +53.4% | $1.08 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Sport & Field Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Exothermic  45.0% $9.85 Arctic Tri-Tone  3.3% $6.57 Heat Treated  3.3% $6.17 Crimson Foil  3.3% $6.17 Sleeping Potion  45.0% $2.00 | $9.85 +109.6% | $5.96 +26.9% | 55.0% | +79.3% | $4.70 | — |