The Fever Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Sure Grip
1x $0.27
Mockingbird
1x $0.28
Memorial
1x $0.34
Blush Pour
2x $0.36
Shredded
3x $0.39
Rose Hex
2x $0.40
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
23.3% $15.94
Glitched Paint
23.3% $6.58
Bleeding Edge
23.3% $5.49
Serpent Strike
6.0% $1.52
Tosai
6.0% $1.30
Rising Sun
6.0% $0.79
Max Win
$15.94 (+202.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.84 (+29.9%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+103.8%
Cost
$5.27
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.27
Ask Price EV $6.84 (+29.9%)
Bid Price EV $6.32 (+19.9%)
Ask Profit $1.57 (+29.9%)
Bid Profit $1.05 (+19.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.53 (+10.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.57
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.05
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $15.94 (+202.5%)
Worst Case $0.74 (-85.9%)
Volatility +103.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$4.07
Avg Loss -$4.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.74 (-85.9%)
Std Dev $5.47
Avg Norm Float 0.1998
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 11m
Oldest Output Price 148h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Mockingbird
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Memorial
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Minimal Wear
$0.81 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Minimal Wear
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Minimal Wear
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 48M 15S //TOTAL COST $5.27 //ASK PRICE EV $6.84 //BID PRICE EV $6.32 //ASK PROFIT $1.57 (+29.9%) //BID PROFIT $1.05 (+19.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $15.94 //VOLATILITY +103.8% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$15.94
+$10.67
+202.5%
$14.54
+$9.27
+175.9%
$1.40
8.8%
—
WIN
23.3%
$6.58
+$1.31
+24.8%
$6.18
+$0.91
+17.3%
$0.40
6.1%
—
PAPER WIN
23.3%
$5.49
+$0.22
+4.2%
$5.17
-$0.10
-1.9%
$0.32
5.9%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.52
-$3.75
-71.1%
$1.33
-$3.94
-74.8%
$0.19
12.7%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.30
-$3.97
-75.4%
$1.19
-$4.08
-77.4%
$0.11
8.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.79
-$4.48
-85.0%
$0.72
-$4.55
-86.3%
$0.07
8.9%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.77
-$4.50
-85.4%
$0.66
-$4.61
-87.5%
$0.11
14.3%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$0.74
-$4.53
-85.9%
$0.70
-$4.57
-86.7%
$0.04
5.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.149865,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 15.9415,
"optimistic_value": 15.91,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:07.329445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.1338794,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 6.577999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 6.55,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:29.404353Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.119892,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 5.4915,
"optimistic_value": 5.46,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 5.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:58:12.019096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.11389739999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 1.524,
"optimistic_value": 1.51,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 1.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:40.829677Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1596551809,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 0.77,
"optimistic_value": 0.77,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T06:54:02.871108Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.19982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 0.7905,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T16:22:23.659961Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.18993870118,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 0.744,
"optimistic_value": 0.73,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:55.643497Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.139874,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 1.298,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:09:31.800015Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_65abfcdb096876811d4879e0",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "520872141037675200",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:16.017627Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-e0eec3353ea4",
"listing_id": "499480042827513289",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e0eec3353ea4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:11.131628Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-a8cc985f8710",
"listing_id": "491598690700100102",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Memorial (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Memorial",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a8cc985f8710.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:13:00.845641Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "526501535293737377",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:21.167420Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "494976390475987854",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:14.647948Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "525375688036290175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:31.041047Z"
},
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "526501535293744649",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:21.167420Z"
},
{
"price": 0.81,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "509613089305640619",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:09.639073Z"
},
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "494976390476814342",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:09.639073Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "517494388633767838",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:08.846230Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-35:3+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 23.3% $33.42 Bleeding Edge 23.3% $16.98 Glitched Paint 23.3% $16.84 Tosai 6.0% $4.31 Serpent Strike 6.0% $4.28 Rising Sun 6.0% $1.80 | $33.42 +139.2% | $16.51 +18.2% | 70.0% | +70.7% | $13.97 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 20.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 20.0% $6.58 Bleeding Edge 20.0% $5.44 Serpent Strike 8.0% $1.51 Tosai 8.0% $1.30 Rising Sun 8.0% $0.79 | $15.94 +254.3% | $6.00 +33.4% | 60.0% | +112.1% | $4.50 | — |
The Fever Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Glitched Paint 26.7% $6.58 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.44 Serpent Strike 4.0% $1.51 Tosai 4.0% $1.30 Rising Sun 4.0% $0.79 | $15.94 +165.2% | $7.66 +27.5% | 53.3% | +83.1% | $6.01 | — |
The Fever Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $6.58 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.49 Serpent Strike 2.0% $1.51 Tosai 2.0% $1.30 Rising Sun 2.0% $0.79 | $15.94 +133.7% | $8.51 +24.7% | 30.0% | +71.3% | $6.82 | — |