The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
5x $0.26
Desert Strike
1x $0.27
Scrawl
1x $0.21
Foresight
2x $0.30
Ensnared
1x $0.32
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
12.0% $8.04
Acid Etched
12.0% $5.54
Apocalypto
12.0% $4.36
Night Terror
8.0% $4.12
Ticket to Hell
8.0% $3.94
Darkwing
12.0% $3.82
Max Win
$8.04 (+141.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.96 (+18.8%)
Win %
64.0%
Volatility
+60.7%
Cost
$3.33
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.33
Ask Price EV $3.96 (+18.8%)
Bid Price EV $3.36 (+0.8%)
Ask Profit $0.63 (+18.8%)
Bid Profit $0.03 (+0.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.60 (+18.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.63
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.03
Risk
Win Probability 64.0%
Loss Probability 36.0%
Best Case $8.04 (+141.4%)
Worst Case $1.15 (-65.4%)
Volatility +60.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 24.0%
Avg Win +$1.76
Avg Loss -$1.38
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.15 (-65.4%)
Std Dev $2.02
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 152h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 14M 46S //TOTAL COST $3.33 //ASK PRICE EV $3.96 //BID PRICE EV $3.36 //ASK PROFIT $0.63 (+18.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.03 (+0.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 64.0% //BEST CASE $8.04 //VOLATILITY +60.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.0%
$8.04
+$4.71
+141.4%
$7.38
+$4.05
+121.6%
$0.66
8.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$5.54
+$2.21
+66.4%
$4.68
+$1.35
+40.5%
$0.86
15.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$4.36
+$1.03
+30.8%
$3.34
+$0.01
+0.3%
$1.02
23.3%
—
WIN
8.0%
$4.12
+$0.79
+23.8%
$3.46
+$0.13
+3.9%
$0.66
16.1%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$3.94
+$0.61
+18.3%
$3.26
-$0.07
-2.1%
$0.68
17.3%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$3.82
+$0.49
+14.7%
$3.19
-$0.14
-4.2%
$0.63
16.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$3.25
-$0.08
-2.4%
$2.62
-$0.71
-21.3%
$0.63
19.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$1.43
-$1.90
-56.9%
$1.22
-$2.11
-63.4%
$0.21
14.9%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.31
-$2.02
-60.5%
$1.19
-$2.14
-64.3%
$0.12
9.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.15
-$2.18
-65.4%
$1.00
-$2.33
-70.0%
$0.15
13.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 5.541,
"optimistic_value": 5.45,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 4.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T20:21:10.414344Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 3.2505,
"optimistic_value": 3.24,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:20.126787Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 3.818,
"optimistic_value": 3.79,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 3.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:24:33.889591Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.10791360000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 4.357,
"optimistic_value": 3.79,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 3.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T19:14:02.736841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 1.434,
"optimistic_value": 1.42,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 1.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:28:02.033907Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.10491600000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 4.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:15.418096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.10041960000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.314,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:10.028419Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1139088,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.07494,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.1515,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:34:49.061010Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5ed061bc373836ecdebbbae4",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "516368541588637910",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:08.782502Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "520872088107230916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:22:41.863530Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "523123091047708294",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:08.782502Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "501730992868715561",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:08.782502Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:05.048419Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:05.048419Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "514116688948507758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:17:01.334505Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292238590183",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:35:15.877098Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292231168711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:35:15.877098Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "521997191218606146",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:37:40.620955Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:6+collection-set-community-30:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 12.0% $17.96 Darkwing 12.0% $13.75 Apocalypto 12.0% $11.36 Enforcer 12.0% $11.21 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $10.13 | $18.94 +87.9% | $11.15 +10.7% | 68.0% | +36.7% | $10.08 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 Acid Etched 12.0% $1.98 Apocalypto 12.0% $1.66 Darkwing 12.0% $1.65 | $8.04 +210.3% | $2.69 +3.9% | 28.0% | +77.6% | $2.59 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $3.94 Darkwing 10.0% $3.82 | $8.04 +156.0% | $3.70 +17.7% | 70.0% | +48.2% | $3.14 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 8.0% $18.94 Night Terror 12.0% $7.95 Acid Etched 8.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 8.0% $4.36 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $3.94 Darkwing 8.0% $3.78 | $18.94 +329.4% | $5.11 +15.9% | 28.0% | +92.5% | $4.41 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 16.0% $4.36 Night Terror 4.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $3.94 Darkwing 16.0% $3.82 | $8.04 +107.7% | $4.48 +15.7% | 56.0% | +39.1% | $3.87 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $18.94 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $10.13 Night Terror 16.0% $8.12 Acid Etched 4.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 4.0% $4.36 Darkwing 4.0% $3.82 | $18.94 +295.3% | $5.45 +13.9% | 40.0% | +72.5% | $4.79 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $18.94 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $10.13 Night Terror 14.0% $8.12 Acid Etched 6.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 6.0% $4.36 Darkwing 6.0% $3.82 | $18.94 +278.0% | $5.67 +13.2% | 40.0% | +76.0% | $5.01 | — |