The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
4x $0.51
Tom Cat
1x $1.10
Bone Forged
1x $1.67
Necro Jr.
1x $0.41
Foresight
1x $0.81
Ensnared
2x $1.65
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
12.0% $18.94
Acid Etched
12.0% $17.96
Darkwing
12.0% $13.75
Enforcer
12.0% $11.37
Apocalypto
12.0% $11.36
Ticket to Hell
8.0% $10.13
Max Win
$18.94 (+89.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$11.18 (+12.0%)
Win %
68.0%
Volatility
+53.0%
Cost
$9.98
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $9.98
Ask Price EV $11.18 (+12.0%)
Bid Price EV $9.11 (-8.7%)
Ask Profit $1.20 (+12.0%)
Bid Profit $-0.87 (-8.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.07 (+20.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.20
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.87
Risk
Win Probability 68.0%
Loss Probability 32.0%
Best Case $18.94 (+89.7%)
Worst Case $2.45 (-75.5%)
Volatility +53.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 24.0%
Avg Win +$4.16
Avg Loss -$5.10
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.45 (-75.5%)
Std Dev $5.29
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 153h 36m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$1.10 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Factory New
$1.67 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Factory New
$0.81 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Factory New
$1.65 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Factory New
$2.13 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 20M 08S //TOTAL COST $9.98 //ASK PRICE EV $11.18 //BID PRICE EV $9.11 //ASK PROFIT $1.20 (+12.0%) //BID PROFIT $-0.87 (-8.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 68.0% //BEST CASE $18.94 //VOLATILITY +53.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.0%
$18.94
+$8.96
+89.7%
$15.04
+$5.06
+50.7%
$3.90
20.6%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$17.96
+$7.98
+79.9%
$14.21
+$4.23
+42.4%
$3.75
20.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$13.75
+$3.77
+37.7%
$11.40
+$1.42
+14.2%
$2.35
17.1%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$11.37
+$1.39
+14.0%
$8.97
-$1.01
-10.1%
$2.40
21.1%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$11.36
+$1.38
+13.8%
$8.88
-$1.10
-11.0%
$2.48
21.8%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$10.13
+$0.14
+1.5%
$8.42
-$1.56
-15.6%
$1.71
16.8%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$8.14
-$1.84
-18.5%
$7.88
-$2.10
-21.0%
$0.26
3.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$5.94
-$4.04
-40.5%
$5.08
-$4.90
-49.1%
$0.86
14.5%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$2.99
-$7.00
-70.1%
$2.62
-$7.36
-73.7%
$0.36
12.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$2.45
-$7.53
-75.5%
$2.11
-$7.87
-78.9%
$0.34
13.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 17.957,
"optimistic_value": 17.04,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 14.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:44.737410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 11.373,
"optimistic_value": 11.17,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 8.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:21:20.051836Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 13.746,
"optimistic_value": 13.34,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 11.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T12:00:17.131456Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.050392799999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 18.937,
"optimistic_value": 18.44,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 15.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:39.589633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 11.3575,
"optimistic_value": 10.5,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 8.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:17:58.762876Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 5.939,
"optimistic_value": 5.89,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 5.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:39:44.544996Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.048992999999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 8.1365,
"optimistic_value": 8,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 7.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:47.293122Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.0468933,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 2.985,
"optimistic_value": 2.95,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T20:23:52.712289Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.0531924,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 10.125,
"optimistic_value": 10.09,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 8.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:05:44.991761Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.034995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 2.45,
"optimistic_value": 2.45,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 2.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:31:07.939313Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5ed061bc373836ecdebbbae4",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 0.55,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "507360492284530429",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "510738192173824270",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 1.1,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "648097416170940020",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:33:59.493426Z"
},
{
"price": 1.67,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "499480042828445113",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:17.900129Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "497228190142503425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:26:17.271774Z"
},
{
"price": 0.81,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "503983642532457235",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Factory New)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:26:02.170705Z"
},
{
"price": 1.65,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "506235442368299580",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:26:34.126807Z"
},
{
"price": 2.13,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "497228024528391677",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:26:34.126807Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:6+collection-set-community-30:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 12.0% $4.36 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 Darkwing 12.0% $3.79 | $8.04 +141.4% | $3.96 +18.9% | 64.0% | +45.8% | $3.33 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $3.94 Acid Etched 12.0% $1.98 Apocalypto 12.0% $1.66 Darkwing 12.0% $1.63 | $8.04 +212.7% | $2.70 +5.0% | 28.0% | +78.2% | $2.57 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $3.94 Darkwing 10.0% $3.79 | $8.04 +156.0% | $3.70 +17.8% | 70.0% | +48.2% | $3.14 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 8.0% $18.94 Night Terror 12.0% $8.12 Acid Etched 8.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 8.0% $4.36 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $3.94 Darkwing 8.0% $3.79 | $18.94 +329.4% | $5.14 +16.6% | 28.0% | +92.6% | $4.41 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 16.0% $4.36 Night Terror 4.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 4.0% $3.94 Darkwing 16.0% $3.82 | $8.04 +107.7% | $4.48 +15.8% | 56.0% | +39.1% | $3.87 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $18.94 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $10.13 Night Terror 16.0% $8.14 Acid Etched 4.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 4.0% $4.36 Darkwing 4.0% $3.79 | $18.94 +295.3% | $5.46 +13.9% | 40.0% | +72.5% | $4.79 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $18.94 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $10.13 Night Terror 14.0% $8.12 Acid Etched 6.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 6.0% $4.36 Darkwing 6.0% $3.79 | $18.94 +278.0% | $5.67 +13.2% | 40.0% | +76.0% | $5.01 | — |