The Gamma Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Iron Clad
1x $0.42
Hideout
2x $0.16
Motorized
3x $0.18
Light Box
2x $0.23
Dark Sigil
2x $0.30
↓
Possible Outputs
Phobos
2.0% $9.84
Aristocrat
2.0% $6.48
Chopper
2.0% $4.89
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Reboot
2.0% $3.51
Limelight
2.0% $2.61
Max Win
$9.84 (+260.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.61 (-4.4%)
Win %
26.0%
Volatility
+57.3%
Cost
$2.73
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.73
Ask Price EV $2.61 (-4.4%)
Bid Price EV $2.37 (-13.3%)
Ask Profit $-0.12 (-4.4%)
Bid Profit $-0.36 (-13.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.24 (+8.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.12
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.36
Risk
Win Probability 26.0%
Loss Probability 74.0%
Best Case $9.84 (+260.3%)
Worst Case $1.47 (-46.2%)
Volatility +57.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 54.0%
Avg Win +$2.07
Avg Loss -$0.89
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.47 (-46.2%)
Std Dev $1.56
Avg Norm Float 0.1993
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 153h 29m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Iron Clad
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 16M 22S //TOTAL COST $2.73 //ASK PRICE EV $2.61 //BID PRICE EV $2.37 //ASK PROFIT $-0.12 (-4.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.36 (-13.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.0% //BEST CASE $9.84 //VOLATILITY +57.3% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.0%
$9.84
+$7.11
+260.3%
$8.14
+$5.41
+198.2%
$1.70
17.3%
—
BIG WIN
2.0%
$6.48
+$3.75
+137.5%
$5.17
+$2.44
+89.4%
$1.31
20.3%
—
BIG WIN
2.0%
$4.89
+$2.16
+79.1%
$4.00
+$1.27
+46.5%
$0.89
18.2%
—
BIG WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.46
+53.5%
$3.88
+$1.15
+42.1%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN
2.0%
$3.51
+$0.78
+28.6%
$2.95
+$0.22
+8.1%
$0.56
16.0%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$2.61
-$0.12
-4.4%
$2.47
-$0.26
-9.5%
$0.14
5.4%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.34
-$0.39
-14.2%
$2.08
-$0.65
-23.8%
$0.26
11.2%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.90
-$0.83
-30.2%
$1.85
-$0.88
-32.2%
$0.05
2.9%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.56
-$1.17
-42.9%
$1.43
-$1.30
-47.6%
$0.13
8.3%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.47
-$1.26
-46.2%
$1.39
-$1.34
-49.1%
$0.08
5.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-13|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.19929,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:04.785973Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.13389796874999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.19929,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.3435,
"optimistic_value": 2.34,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:02.469385Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.19929,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.12333260939999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9044999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:32.054019Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.1315314,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d88fbf7ef8e1",
"realistic_value": 6.483,
"optimistic_value": 6.35,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Aristocrat",
"conservative_value": 5.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:12:40.020455Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d88fbf7ef8e1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.07971600000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-78882aeeb9a7",
"realistic_value": 9.8375,
"optimistic_value": 9.75,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Phobos",
"conservative_value": 8.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:05.700822Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78882aeeb9a7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.11957399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31a18fdabe59",
"realistic_value": 4.889,
"optimistic_value": 4.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Chopper",
"conservative_value": 4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T20:17:32.133949Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31a18fdabe59.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.19929,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1b8d8987488f",
"realistic_value": 3.51,
"optimistic_value": 3.51,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Reboot",
"conservative_value": 2.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Reboot (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:24.518819Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1b8d8987488f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.19929,
"output_skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
"realistic_value": 2.6109999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
"conservative_value": 2.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:31:15.289609Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5d86fdbf286f5fecd6d18fae",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-6736df07aec5",
"listing_id": "519746241189177512",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Iron Clad",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6736df07aec5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:47.149799Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "503983642533474127",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:59.620511Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "527627540537571656",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:59.620511Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "512990841908688587",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:22.970937Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:53.878953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:53.878953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505109489449485524",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:47.550108Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "494976443342801634",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:24:50.901899Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:24:50.901899Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:47.550108Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-13:1+collection-set-community-33:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 2.0% $13.56 Reboot 2.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 2.0% $6.48 Chopper 2.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.46 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +315.8% | $3.73 +14.3% | 64.0% | +50.2% | $3.26 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 4.0% $13.56 Reboot 4.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 4.0% $6.48 Chopper 4.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.46 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +284.0% | $4.15 +17.4% | 52.0% | +60.2% | $3.53 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 6.0% $13.56 Reboot 6.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 6.0% $6.48 Chopper 6.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +247.6% | $4.57 +17.2% | 58.0% | +62.6% | $3.90 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 8.0% $13.56 Reboot 8.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 8.0% $6.48 Chopper 8.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +217.5% | $4.98 +16.7% | 44.0% | +62.4% | $4.27 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 10.0% $13.56 Reboot 10.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 10.0% $6.48 Chopper 10.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +184.8% | $5.40 +13.5% | 40.0% | +59.1% | $4.76 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Desolate Space  13.3% $71.39 Bloodsport  13.3% $53.46 Black Lotus  20.0% $37.06 Imperial Dragon  13.3% $27.67 Jawbreaker  20.0% $26.33 Olympus  20.0% $14.33 | $71.39 +126.5% | $35.88 +13.8% | 46.7% | +57.6% | $31.52 | — |