The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Dark Sigil
2x $0.15
Slag
2x $0.17
Hideout
2x $0.19
Motorized
1x $0.19
RMX
2x $0.34
Fusion
1x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
6.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
6.0% $6.12
Galigator
6.0% $3.48
Urban Sovereign
6.0% $2.91
Amberline
6.0% $2.88
Etch Lord
14.0% $2.34
Max Win
$10.69 (+355.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.79 (+18.7%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+97.9%
Cost
$2.35
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.35
Ask Price EV $2.79 (+18.7%)
Bid Price EV $2.45 (+4.3%)
Ask Profit $0.44 (+18.7%)
Bid Profit $0.10 (+4.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.34 (+14.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.44
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.10
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+355.0%)
Worst Case $1.37 (-41.8%)
Volatility +97.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 42.0%
Avg Win +$2.87
Avg Loss -$0.60
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.37 (-41.8%)
Std Dev $2.30
Avg Norm Float 0.2902
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 27m
Oldest Output Price 17h 28m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 41M 48S //TOTAL COST $2.35 //ASK PRICE EV $2.79 //BID PRICE EV $2.45 //ASK PROFIT $0.44 (+18.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.10 (+4.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +97.9% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
6.0%
$10.69
+$8.34
+355.0%
$9.15
+$6.80
+289.4%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$6.12
+$3.77
+160.3%
$4.98
+$2.63
+111.9%
$1.14
18.6%
—
WIN
6.0%
$3.48
+$1.13
+48.0%
$2.67
+$0.32
+13.6%
$0.81
23.2%
—
WIN
6.0%
$2.91
+$0.56
+23.7%
$2.61
+$0.26
+11.1%
$0.30
10.2%
—
WIN
6.0%
$2.88
+$0.53
+22.7%
$2.61
+$0.26
+11.1%
$0.27
9.5%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.34
-$0.01
-0.4%
$2.08
-$0.27
-11.5%
$0.26
11.1%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.01
-$0.34
-14.6%
$1.93
-$0.42
-17.9%
$0.08
3.8%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.56
-$0.79
-33.6%
$1.43
-$0.92
-39.1%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.48
-$0.87
-37.1%
$1.39
-$0.96
-40.9%
$0.09
5.9%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.37
-$0.98
-41.8%
$1.24
-$1.11
-47.2%
$0.13
9.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.29021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.4769999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:55.336898Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.19498484375000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 2.007,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 1.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:46:05.315017Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.29021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.34,
"optimistic_value": 2.34,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:53:10.105342Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.29021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1795993606,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.3675,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:34.567927Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.29021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.29021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.478,
"optimistic_value": 3.45,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:11:19.143553Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.29021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.29021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.8835,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:18.553887Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.29021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.908,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:55.625089Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_59eddcf6bbfd8b4b1d49086e",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "526501640651018813",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:50:28.570304Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "493850543432369884",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:50:28.570304Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "500605942755366047",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:31.808197Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "507360492276906205",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:46:46.606158Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "506235389470544232",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:51:21.297704Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:31.808197Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:46:46.606158Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "510739041953589082",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:50:50.697696Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "526501587737943665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:50:50.697696Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "497228243055673649",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:53:09.597411Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:7+collection-set-community-37:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.17 Galigator 6.0% $5.51 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $5.00 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +344.5% | $4.98 +30.7% | 58.0% | +86.0% | $3.81 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 6.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 6.0% $31.66 Amberline 6.0% $18.87 Galigator 6.0% $14.51 Etch Lord 14.0% $13.06 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $12.98 | $51.27 +324.5% | $13.84 +14.6% | 44.0% | +84.7% | $12.08 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 Etch Lord 2.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +179.0% | $24.29 +32.2% | 54.0% | +74.1% | $18.38 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Etch Lord 6.0% $13.06 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $12.98 | $51.27 +226.6% | $20.71 +31.9% | 42.0% | +81.9% | $15.70 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Etch Lord 4.0% $13.06 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $12.98 | $51.27 +197.2% | $22.42 +30.0% | 48.0% | +77.0% | $17.25 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.17 Galigator 8.0% $5.51 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $5.00 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +295.7% | $5.54 +29.4% | 52.0% | +83.5% | $4.28 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Amberline 10.0% $6.17 Galigator 10.0% $5.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $5.00 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +258.1% | $6.09 +28.8% | 50.0% | +80.1% | $4.73 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Etch Lord 8.0% $13.06 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $12.98 | $51.27 +243.7% | $18.99 +27.3% | 36.0% | +83.1% | $14.92 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Amberline 4.0% $6.17 Galigator 4.0% $5.81 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $4.97 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +382.5% | $4.44 +26.5% | 52.0% | +80.9% | $3.51 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 2.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 2.0% $10.78 Amberline 2.0% $6.17 Galigator 2.0% $5.81 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $4.97 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +446.3% | $3.87 +24.9% | 64.0% | +69.4% | $3.10 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Jawbreaker  3.3% $77.01 Black Lotus  3.3% $62.28 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.59 Olympus  3.3% $28.62 | $290.04 +195.9% | $128.32 +30.9% | 30.0% | +108.2% | $98.01 | — |