The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Slag
2x $0.38
Dezastre
3x $0.48
Dark Sigil
1x $0.85
Hideout
1x $1.51
Bock Blocks
2x $0.78
Fusion
1x $2.46
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
6.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
6.0% $31.66
Amberline
6.0% $18.87
Galigator
6.0% $14.51
Etch Lord
14.0% $13.06
Urban Sovereign
6.0% $12.98
Max Win
$51.27 (+324.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$13.84 (+14.6%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+94.0%
Cost
$12.08
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $12.08
Ask Price EV $13.84 (+14.6%)
Bid Price EV $12.09 (+0.0%)
Ask Profit $1.76 (+14.6%)
Bid Profit $0.01 (+0.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.76 (+14.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.76
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.01
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+324.5%)
Worst Case $4.14 (-65.7%)
Volatility +94.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 42.0%
Avg Win +$9.70
Avg Loss -$4.48
Bottom 5% Outcome $4.14 (-65.7%)
Std Dev $11.36
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 26m
Oldest Output Price 17h 28m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.48 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Factory New
$1.51 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Factory New
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.36 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.46 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 41M 37S //TOTAL COST $12.08 //ASK PRICE EV $13.84 //BID PRICE EV $12.09 //ASK PROFIT $1.76 (+14.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.01 (+0.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +94.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$51.27
+$39.19
+324.5%
$43.51
+$31.43
+260.2%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$31.66
+$19.58
+162.1%
$29.45
+$17.37
+143.8%
$2.21
7.0%
—
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$18.87
+$6.79
+56.2%
$12.97
+$0.89
+7.4%
$5.90
31.3%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$14.51
+$2.43
+20.1%
$13.05
+$0.97
+8.0%
$1.46
10.1%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$13.06
+$0.98
+8.1%
$12.03
-$0.05
-0.4%
$1.03
7.9%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$12.98
+$0.90
+7.4%
$11.82
-$0.26
-2.2%
$1.16
8.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$9.49
-$2.59
-21.5%
$7.85
-$4.23
-35.0%
$1.64
17.3%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$8.90
-$3.18
-26.3%
$7.77
-$4.31
-35.7%
$1.13
12.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$7.89
-$4.19
-34.7%
$7.43
-$4.65
-38.5%
$0.46
5.8%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$4.14
-$7.94
-65.7%
$3.76
-$8.32
-68.9%
$0.38
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 7.8895,
"optimistic_value": 7.83,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 7.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:56.987645Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.04702453125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 8.897,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 7.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.653469Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 13.056999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.35,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 12.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.589744Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 9.4875,
"optimistic_value": 9.47,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 7.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:45.506580Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0433140114,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 4.1395,
"optimistic_value": 4.08,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 3.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:10:29.082370Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 12.975999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.5,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:27.817952Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_59eddcf6bbfd8b4b1d49086e",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:37.595099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.48,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "636838417157749708",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:02.016840Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "493850324808131632",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:37.595099Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "515241791654317225",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:02.016840Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "514115891832272466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:50:22.659991Z"
},
{
"price": 1.51,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "519746022669746780",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:30.840701Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "528753335311947405",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:50.758041Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375740885184271",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:02:54.132156Z"
},
{
"price": 2.36,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "497228243055300185",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:30.847506Z"
},
{
"price": 2.46,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235389470490196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:51:03.897755Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:7+collection-set-community-37:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.17 Galigator 6.0% $5.51 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $5.00 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +344.5% | $4.98 +30.7% | 58.0% | +86.0% | $3.81 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 6.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 6.0% $6.12 Galigator 6.0% $3.48 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $2.91 Amberline 6.0% $2.88 Etch Lord 14.0% $2.34 | $10.69 +355.0% | $2.79 +18.7% | 30.0% | +90.0% | $2.35 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 Etch Lord 2.0% $13.06 | $51.27 +179.0% | $24.29 +32.2% | 54.0% | +74.1% | $18.38 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Etch Lord 6.0% $13.06 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $12.98 | $51.27 +226.6% | $20.71 +31.9% | 42.0% | +81.9% | $15.70 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Etch Lord 4.0% $13.06 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $12.98 | $51.27 +197.2% | $22.42 +30.0% | 48.0% | +77.0% | $17.25 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.17 Galigator 8.0% $5.51 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $5.00 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +295.7% | $5.54 +29.4% | 52.0% | +83.5% | $4.28 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Amberline 10.0% $6.17 Galigator 10.0% $5.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $5.00 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +258.1% | $6.09 +28.8% | 50.0% | +80.1% | $4.73 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Etch Lord 8.0% $13.06 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $12.98 | $51.27 +243.7% | $18.99 +27.3% | 36.0% | +83.1% | $14.92 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Amberline 4.0% $6.17 Galigator 4.0% $5.81 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $4.97 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +382.5% | $4.44 +26.5% | 52.0% | +80.9% | $3.51 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 2.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 2.0% $10.78 Amberline 2.0% $6.17 Galigator 2.0% $5.81 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $4.97 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 | $16.94 +446.3% | $3.87 +24.9% | 64.0% | +69.4% | $3.10 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Jawbreaker  3.3% $77.01 Black Lotus  3.3% $62.28 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.59 Olympus  3.3% $28.62 | $290.04 +195.9% | $128.32 +30.9% | 30.0% | +108.2% | $98.01 | — |