The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6

Classified → Covert MW ST 10 items

Factory New +3.2%Minimal Wear +34.4%

Contract

Classified → Covert Minimal Wear StatTrak™

Inputs

Shapewood

3x $11.65

The Executioner

1x $14.11

Wicked Sick

5x $9.22

Wild Child

1x $10.00

↓

Possible Outputs

Fade

20.0% $318.51

Royal Paladin

20.0% $173.55

Temukau

30.0% $126.64

Head Shot

30.0% $70.95

Max Win

$318.51 (+171.6%)

EV (ROI %)

$157.69 (+34.4%)

Win %

70.0%

Volatility

+75.2%

Cost

$117.29

Age —

Financials

ASK-ONLY EDGE

Total Cost $117.29

Ask Price EV $157.69 (+34.4%)

Bid Price EV $116.59 (-0.6%)

Ask Profit $40.40 (+34.4%)

Bid Profit $-0.70 (-0.6%)

Liquidity Gap $41.10 (+35.0%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$40.40

Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.70

Risk

Win Probability 70.0%

Loss Probability 30.0%

Best Case $318.51 (+171.6%)

Worst Case $70.95 (-39.5%)

Volatility +75.2%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%

Avg Win +$77.57

Avg Loss -$46.34

Bottom 5% Outcome $70.95 (-39.5%)

Std Dev $88.14

Avg Norm Float 0.1473

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 20m

Oldest Output Price 141h 18m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Tight

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

P90 | Shapewood

—

Field-Tested

$11.65 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Field-Tested

$12.51 Float: HIDDEN

G3SG1 | The Executioner

—

Field-Tested

$14.11 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$18.37 Float: HIDDEN

P2000 | Wicked Sick

—

Minimal Wear

$9.22 Float: HIDDEN

P2000 | Wicked Sick

—

Minimal Wear

$9.44 Float: HIDDEN

P2000 | Wicked Sick

—

Minimal Wear

$9.50 Float: HIDDEN

UMP-45 | Wild Child

—

Minimal Wear

$10.00 Float: HIDDEN

P2000 | Wicked Sick

—

Minimal Wear

$10.71 Float: HIDDEN

P2000 | Wicked Sick

—

Minimal Wear

$11.78 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 27M 35S //TOTAL COST $117.29 //ASK PRICE EV $157.69 //BID PRICE EV $116.59 //ASK PROFIT $40.40 (+34.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.70 (-0.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $318.51 //VOLATILITY +75.2% //

Possible Outputs · 4

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14734,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
      "realistic_value": 70.9495,
      "optimistic_value": 69,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
      "conservative_value": 62,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:44.327515Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.117872,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
      "realistic_value": 126.6415,
      "optimistic_value": 125,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
      "conservative_value": 111.91,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:23.801392Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.117872,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-4c83a4940ef3",
      "realistic_value": 173.547,
      "optimistic_value": 165,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Royal Paladin",
      "conservative_value": 144.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T03:37:34.881770Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c83a4940ef3.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2,
      "output_float": 0.058936,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-3d5660b8b090",
      "realistic_value": 318.5125,
      "optimistic_value": 254.81,
      "output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Fade",
      "conservative_value": 177.41,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:28:16.437303Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3d5660b8b090.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_59e64ee9d7ebca329255f7d3",
  "input_rarity": "Classified",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 11.65,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "529879235108153736",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:22.905405Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 12.51,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "523123835626698250",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:22.905405Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 14.11,
      "skin_id": "skin-b0c24d905a01",
      "listing_id": "660480340358227224",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "G3SG1 | The Executioner",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b0c24d905a01.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:55.376789Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 18.37,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "500605724251709363",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:35:20.610215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 9.22,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "529879287550698588",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:44:59.426811Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 9.44,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "499479937454906653",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:44:59.426811Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 9.5,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "497228137696424345",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:44:59.426811Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 10,
      "skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
      "listing_id": "505109437007053532",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:27.977577Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 10.71,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "508486392210955070",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:44:59.426811Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 11.78,
      "skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "listing_id": "523123091065567750",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:44:59.426811Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Covert",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:4+collection-set-community-32:6"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Factory New ST	Royal Paladin 20.0% $696.64 Fade 20.0% $318.51 Temukau 30.0% $288.76 Head Shot 30.0% $191.11	$696.64 +107.2%	$346.99 +3.2%	20.0%	+54.0%	$336.16	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Revolution Collection ×8 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 10.0% $318.51 Royal Paladin 10.0% $173.55 Temukau 40.0% $126.64 Head Shot 40.0% $46.53	$318.51 +258.2%	$118.48 +33.2%	60.0%	+90.0%	$88.93	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Revolution Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST	Power Loader 5.0% $20.64 Avalanche 5.0% $17.49 Retrobution 5.0% $9.43 Teclu Burner 5.0% $8.17 Fuel Rod 5.0% $6.33 Tiger Moth 5.0% $5.80	$20.64 +396.0%	$5.20 +25.1%	30.0%	+109.8%	$4.16	—