The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Light Box
3x $0.20
Dark Sigil
2x $0.32
Hideout
1x $0.34
Motorized
1x $0.35
Dezastre
1x $0.38
Hypnosis
1x $0.54
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
4.0% $14.22
Turbine
4.0% $12.89
Saibā Oni
4.0% $8.54
Hydro Strike
4.0% $6.39
Etch Lord
16.0% $4.45
Randy Rush
4.0% $4.44
Max Win
$14.22 (+283.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.52 (+21.7%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+81.7%
Cost
$3.71
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.71
Ask Price EV $4.52 (+21.7%)
Bid Price EV $4.04 (+8.8%)
Ask Profit $0.81 (+21.7%)
Bid Profit $0.33 (+8.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.48 (+12.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.81
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.33
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $14.22 (+283.4%)
Worst Case $2.02 (-45.6%)
Volatility +81.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$2.52
Avg Loss -$1.05
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.02 (-45.6%)
Std Dev $3.03
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 146h 23m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.75 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 41M 38S //TOTAL COST $3.71 //ASK PRICE EV $4.52 //BID PRICE EV $4.04 //ASK PROFIT $0.81 (+21.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.33 (+8.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $14.22 //VOLATILITY +81.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$14.22
+$10.51
+283.4%
$12.20
+$8.49
+228.8%
$2.02
14.2%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$12.89
+$9.18
+247.5%
$11.24
+$7.53
+203.0%
$1.65
12.8%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$8.54
+$4.83
+130.2%
$7.91
+$4.20
+113.2%
$0.63
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$6.39
+$2.68
+72.1%
$5.78
+$2.07
+55.8%
$0.60
9.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$4.45
+$0.74
+19.9%
$3.86
+$0.15
+4.0%
$0.59
13.2%
—
PAPER WIN
4.0%
$4.44
+$0.72
+19.5%
$3.65
-$0.06
-1.6%
$0.78
17.7%
—
SMALL WIN
16.0%
$4.19
+$0.48
+13.0%
$3.88
+$0.17
+4.6%
$0.31
7.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$3.32
-$0.39
-10.6%
$2.85
-$0.86
-23.2%
$0.47
14.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$2.63
-$1.08
-29.1%
$2.60
-$1.11
-29.9%
$0.03
1.2%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$2.02
-$1.69
-45.6%
$1.85
-$1.86
-50.1%
$0.17
8.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.6305,
"optimistic_value": 2.62,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:24.016179Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1007140625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4475,
"optimistic_value": 4.43,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:47.747830Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1499,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.3175,
"optimistic_value": 3.3,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:09:57.780400Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.092767114,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 2.0185,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:12.630618Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1201325582,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 6.385,
"optimistic_value": 6.14,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 5.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:00.005902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.127415,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 12.8915,
"optimistic_value": 12.65,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 11.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.603657Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.09893400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 8.539000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 7.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:51.999651Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.112425,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 4.435,
"optimistic_value": 3.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:04:56.282428Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.112425,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 14.224,
"optimistic_value": 14,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 12.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.297824Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_586b05186244449d15b8a3b7",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "515242588555339081",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:56.286676Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:56.286676Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:56.286676Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "525375522204066055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:33.516445Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872088106698692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:24.189535Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:12.090797Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:33.516445Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "494976390477239502",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:11.976800Z"
},
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "506234592361574640",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:09:41.957907Z"
},
{
"price": 0.75,
"skin_id": "skin-03f6e200c8b6",
"listing_id": "521997988014704562",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-03f6e200c8b6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:29.967787Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:8+collection-set-community-34:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +347.3% | $3.70 +16.4% | 36.0% | +94.8% | $3.18 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $36.14 Turbine 4.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 4.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 4.0% $16.76 Etch Lord 16.0% $13.06 Just Smile 16.0% $9.49 | $36.14 +211.0% | $11.63 +0.1% | 32.0% | +62.0% | $11.62 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +292.9% | $4.41 +21.8% | 44.0% | +93.1% | $3.62 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 2.0% $14.22 Turbine 2.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 2.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 2.0% $6.39 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Randy Rush 2.0% $4.44 | $14.22 +340.4% | $3.92 +21.3% | 64.0% | +64.5% | $3.23 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +233.9% | $5.11 +19.9% | 40.0% | +83.7% | $4.26 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 10.0% $4.44 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +190.3% | $5.80 +18.3% | 40.0% | +74.6% | $4.90 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 12.0% $4.44 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +151.8% | $6.50 +15.0% | 48.0% | +65.0% | $5.65 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $36.14 Turbine 14.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 14.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 14.0% $16.76 Randy Rush 14.0% $9.47 Block-18 6.0% $8.90 | $36.14 +133.5% | $17.78 +14.9% | 56.0% | +67.3% | $15.48 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Gallery Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 18.0% $36.14 Turbine 18.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 18.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 18.0% $16.76 Randy Rush 18.0% $9.47 Block-18 2.0% $8.90 | $36.14 +82.9% | $21.53 +9.0% | 36.0% | +53.4% | $19.76 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | The Outsiders  3.3% $30.72 Black Lotus  30.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Neo-Noir  3.3% $13.26 Epicenter  3.3% $12.47 Olympus  30.0% $8.82 | $30.72 +116.8% | $16.05 +13.3% | 63.3% | +45.0% | $14.17 | — |