The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Slag
2x $0.19
Light Box
3x $0.21
Hideout
1x $0.34
Motorized
1x $0.35
Dark Sigil
1x $0.36
Hypnosis
2x $0.43
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
4.0% $14.22
Turbine
4.0% $12.89
Saibā Oni
4.0% $8.54
Hydro Strike
4.0% $6.39
Randy Rush
4.0% $4.44
Block-18
16.0% $4.19
Max Win
$14.22 (+341.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.70 (+15.0%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+104.8%
Cost
$3.22
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.22
Ask Price EV $3.70 (+15.0%)
Bid Price EV $3.33 (+3.4%)
Ask Profit $0.48 (+15.0%)
Bid Profit $0.11 (+3.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.37 (+11.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.48
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.11
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $14.22 (+341.7%)
Worst Case $1.48 (-54.1%)
Volatility +104.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 64.0%
Avg Win +$3.81
Avg Loss -$1.39
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.48 (-54.1%)
Std Dev $3.38
Avg Norm Float 0.1760
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 147h 25m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 54S //TOTAL COST $3.22 //ASK PRICE EV $3.70 //BID PRICE EV $3.33 //ASK PROFIT $0.48 (+15.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.11 (+3.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $14.22 //VOLATILITY +104.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$14.22
+$11.00
+341.7%
$12.20
+$8.98
+278.9%
$2.02
14.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$12.89
+$9.67
+300.4%
$11.24
+$8.02
+249.1%
$1.65
12.8%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$8.54
+$5.32
+165.2%
$7.91
+$4.69
+145.7%
$0.63
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$6.39
+$3.17
+98.3%
$5.78
+$2.56
+79.5%
$0.60
9.5%
—
WIN
4.0%
$4.44
+$1.21
+37.7%
$3.60
+$0.38
+11.8%
$0.83
18.8%
—
WIN
16.0%
$4.19
+$0.97
+30.1%
$3.88
+$0.66
+20.5%
$0.31
7.4%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.27
-$0.95
-29.5%
$2.08
-$1.14
-35.4%
$0.19
8.4%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.02
-$1.20
-37.3%
$1.85
-$1.37
-42.5%
$0.17
8.3%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.56
-$1.66
-51.6%
$1.43
-$1.79
-55.6%
$0.13
8.3%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.48
-$1.74
-54.1%
$1.39
-$1.83
-56.8%
$0.09
5.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.4769999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:07:06.690828Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.11825,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.271,
"optimistic_value": 2.25,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:31.279324Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.10891935999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 2.0185,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:35.007632Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.141049568,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 6.385,
"optimistic_value": 6.14,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 5.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:00.005902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14959999999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 12.8915,
"optimistic_value": 12.65,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 11.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.603657Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.11616,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 8.539000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 7.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:51.999651Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 4.435,
"optimistic_value": 3.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 3.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:13:42.397785Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 14.224,
"optimistic_value": 14,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 12.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.297824Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_586b05186244449d15b8a3b7",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:52.036881Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116523130036718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:38.013133Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:38.013133Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:38.013133Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872088106698692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:09:30.258624Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:00.907125Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:04:14.372932Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:23:06.772802Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "510738989041246858",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:19:58.104820Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "510738989039869354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:19:58.104820Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:8+collection-set-community-34:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 | $14.22 +277.3% | $4.52 +19.9% | 52.0% | +71.9% | $3.77 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $36.14 Turbine 4.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 4.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 4.0% $16.76 Etch Lord 16.0% $13.06 Randy Rush 4.0% $9.60 | $36.14 +211.8% | $11.63 +0.4% | 32.0% | +61.8% | $11.59 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +240.3% | $5.10 +22.0% | 52.0% | +85.4% | $4.18 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +289.7% | $4.40 +20.6% | 44.0% | +92.4% | $3.65 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Randy Rush 10.0% $3.93 | $14.22 +197.6% | $5.75 +20.2% | 40.0% | +77.4% | $4.78 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Randy Rush 12.0% $3.93 | $14.22 +162.4% | $6.43 +18.7% | 48.0% | +69.0% | $5.42 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 2.0% $14.22 Turbine 2.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 2.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 2.0% $6.39 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +324.6% | $3.91 +16.7% | 46.0% | +62.3% | $3.35 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $14.22 Turbine 14.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 14.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 14.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 14.0% $4.44 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 | $14.22 +125.1% | $7.20 +13.9% | 56.0% | +57.9% | $6.32 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×1+The Gallery Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 18.0% $36.14 Turbine 18.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 18.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 18.0% $16.76 Randy Rush 18.0% $9.60 Block-18 2.0% $8.90 | $36.14 +86.1% | $21.55 +11.0% | 36.0% | +54.2% | $19.42 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | The Outsiders  3.3% $30.72 Black Lotus  30.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Neo-Noir  3.3% $13.26 Epicenter  3.3% $12.47 Olympus  30.0% $8.56 | $30.72 +119.1% | $15.97 +13.9% | 63.3% | +46.1% | $14.02 | — |