The Dust 2 Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Snake Camo
1x $0.07
VariCamo
1x $0.12
Naval Shred Camo
2x $0.13
Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.14
Robin's Egg
1x $0.15
Rose Nacre
1x $0.17
↓
Possible Outputs
Mint Fan
16.0% $3.28
VariCamo
6.7% $2.89
Royal Baroque
16.0% $2.64
Reef Grief
16.0% $2.09
Yeti Camo
16.0% $1.79
Cobalt Paisley
16.0% $1.14
Max Win
$3.28 (+102.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.04 (+25.8%)
Win %
70.7%
Volatility
+52.6%
Cost
$1.62
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.62
Ask Price EV $2.04 (+25.8%)
Bid Price EV $1.95 (+20.4%)
Ask Profit $0.42 (+25.8%)
Bid Profit $0.33 (+20.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.09 (+5.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.42
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.33
Risk
Win Probability 70.7%
Loss Probability 29.3%
Best Case $3.28 (+102.3%)
Worst Case $0.70 (-56.6%)
Volatility +52.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 29.3%
Avg Win +$0.87
Avg Loss -$0.67
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.70 (-56.6%)
Std Dev $0.85
Avg Norm Float 0.1164
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 4h 36m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Snake Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | VariCamo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Robin's Egg
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Sour Grapes
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Electric Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 14M 05S //TOTAL COST $1.62 //ASK PRICE EV $2.04 //BID PRICE EV $1.95 //ASK PROFIT $0.42 (+25.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.33 (+20.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.7% //BEST CASE $3.28 //VOLATILITY +52.6% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$3.28
+$1.66
+102.3%
$3.17
+$1.55
+95.7%
$0.11
3.3%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$2.89
+$1.27
+78.6%
$2.88
+$1.26
+77.8%
$0.01
0.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$2.64
+$1.02
+63.2%
$2.62
+$1.00
+61.7%
$0.02
0.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$2.09
+$0.47
+29.2%
$1.99
+$0.37
+22.8%
$0.10
4.9%
—
SMALL WIN
16.0%
$1.79
+$0.17
+10.4%
$1.62
+$0.00
+0.0%
$0.17
9.4%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.14
-$0.48
-29.6%
$1.04
-$0.58
-35.8%
$0.10
8.9%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$0.72
-$0.90
-55.7%
$0.65
-$0.97
-59.9%
$0.07
9.3%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$0.70
-$0.92
-56.6%
$0.66
-$0.96
-59.3%
$0.04
6.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 3.2775,
"optimistic_value": 3.26,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 3.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:50.421341Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.08148,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.789,
"optimistic_value": 1.74,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:14.550967Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.07566,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.141,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:53.037696Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 2.6435,
"optimistic_value": 2.64,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:16.632396Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 2.0925,
"optimistic_value": 2.04,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 1.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:23:05.326116Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.06984,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d90d1532701",
"realistic_value": 2.8935,
"optimistic_value": 2.89,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo",
"conservative_value": 2.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:50:18.988959Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d90d1532701.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.1164,
"output_skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"realistic_value": 0.7034999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.7,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:12:09.919691Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.1164,
"output_skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"realistic_value": 0.717,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"conservative_value": 0.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:32.594729Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_485783b003a6d4011e549f9d",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-bacf6f1cd605",
"listing_id": "502857742726302652",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Snake Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bacf6f1cd605.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:30:03.719639Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-f0efb98b360e",
"listing_id": "511864091800550745",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0efb98b360e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:34:56.048358Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "497228243054721557",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:53.703142Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "505109542379577332",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:16.376066Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-69fcaf121180",
"listing_id": "507361237008872437",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Robin's Egg",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69fcaf121180.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:30:34.464793Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "491597893797568694",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:53.703142Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "516368488724892626",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:30:06.298113Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "527627322006965552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:32:26.133327Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"listing_id": "648097416149955944",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:36.026710Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-55264b2a150c",
"listing_id": "654852743754232591",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Electric Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55264b2a150c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:32:26.133327Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-dust-2:2+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 14.0% $3.33 VariCamo 10.0% $2.89 Royal Baroque 14.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 14.0% $2.10 Yeti Camo 14.0% $1.78 Cobalt Paisley 14.0% $1.14 | $3.33 +109.5% | $1.97 +23.9% | 66.0% | +45.0% | $1.59 | — |
The Dust 2 Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 10.0% $3.33 VariCamo 16.7% $2.89 Royal Baroque 10.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 10.0% $2.20 Yeti Camo 10.0% $1.78 Cobalt Paisley 10.0% $1.14 | $3.33 +110.8% | $1.83 +15.7% | 56.7% | +46.7% | $1.58 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate  25.0% $18.08 Amber Fade  50.0% $5.78 Royal Guard  25.0% $5.44 | $18.08 +146.9% | $8.77 +19.8% | 25.0% | +73.4% | $7.32 | — |