The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Lifted Spirits
1x $0.17
Scrawl
2x $0.21
Foresight
3x $0.28
Ensnared
1x $0.32
Hypnosis
3x $0.43
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
6.0% $14.22
Turbine
6.0% $12.89
Saibā Oni
6.0% $8.54
Hydro Strike
6.0% $6.39
Randy Rush
6.0% $4.44
Night Terror
14.0% $4.12
Max Win
$14.22 (+311.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.39 (+26.8%)
Win %
58.0%
Volatility
+115.4%
Cost
$3.46
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.46
Ask Price EV $4.39 (+26.8%)
Bid Price EV $3.83 (+10.7%)
Ask Profit $0.93 (+26.8%)
Bid Profit $0.37 (+10.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.56 (+16.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.93
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.37
Risk
Win Probability 58.0%
Loss Probability 42.0%
Best Case $14.22 (+311.1%)
Worst Case $0.92 (-73.3%)
Volatility +115.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 42.0%
Avg Win +$3.29
Avg Loss -$2.34
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.92 (-73.3%)
Std Dev $3.99
Avg Norm Float 0.1763
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 142h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Hypnosis
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 01M 54S //TOTAL COST $3.46 //ASK PRICE EV $4.39 //BID PRICE EV $3.83 //ASK PROFIT $0.93 (+26.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.37 (+10.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 58.0% //BEST CASE $14.22 //VOLATILITY +115.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
6.0%
$14.22
+$10.76
+311.1%
$12.20
+$8.74
+252.6%
$2.02
14.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$12.89
+$9.43
+272.6%
$11.24
+$7.78
+224.9%
$1.65
12.8%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$8.54
+$5.08
+146.8%
$7.91
+$4.45
+128.6%
$0.63
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$6.39
+$2.93
+84.5%
$5.78
+$2.32
+67.1%
$0.60
9.5%
—
WIN
6.0%
$4.44
+$0.97
+28.2%
$3.65
+$0.19
+5.5%
$0.78
17.7%
—
WIN
14.0%
$4.12
+$0.66
+19.2%
$3.46
+$0.00
+0.0%
$0.66
16.1%
—
PAPER WIN
14.0%
$3.94
+$0.48
+13.9%
$3.26
-$0.20
-5.8%
$0.68
17.3%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.22
-$2.24
-64.7%
$1.19
-$2.27
-65.6%
$0.03
2.5%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.21
-$2.25
-65.0%
$1.17
-$2.29
-66.2%
$0.04
3.3%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$0.92
-$2.54
-73.3%
$0.81
-$2.65
-76.6%
$0.11
12.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.17629,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.9235,
"optimistic_value": 0.92,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:37.414137Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.123403,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 4.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:15.418096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1181143,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.221,
"optimistic_value": 1.2,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:01.043093Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1339804,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 3.94,
"optimistic_value": 3.94,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 3.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:45.994094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.088145,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.21,
"optimistic_value": 1.21,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 1.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:05:46.927058Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14128197922,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 6.385,
"optimistic_value": 6.14,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 5.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:00.005902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1498465,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 12.8915,
"optimistic_value": 12.65,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 11.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.603657Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.11635140000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 8.539000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.21,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 7.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:51.999651Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1322175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 4.435,
"optimistic_value": 3.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:20:53.966089Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.1322175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 14.224,
"optimistic_value": 14,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 12.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.297824Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_40528ae3d51dfa58bda1e4b6",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "529879235107763064",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:02.574406Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "514116688948507758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:30.318194Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "517494388632928534",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:01.867290Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292238590183",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:01.867290Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "509612292231168711",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:01.867290Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "514116523130036466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:09:01.973760Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289452933933",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:59.017249Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "499479989895678073",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:40.796814Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "510738989039869354",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:40.796814Z"
},
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-c7c133807ad6",
"listing_id": "506234592361574640",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Hypnosis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c7c133807ad6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:40.796814Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:7+collection-set-community-34:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $36.14 Turbine 6.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 6.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 6.0% $16.76 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $10.13 Randy Rush 6.0% $9.47 | $36.14 +287.8% | $10.59 +13.6% | 44.0% | +98.5% | $9.32 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 10.0% $4.44 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +217.5% | $5.79 +29.2% | 40.0% | +81.7% | $4.48 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Night Terror 12.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +261.0% | $5.09 +29.1% | 52.0% | +90.7% | $3.94 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +378.9% | $3.69 +24.1% | 52.0% | +101.7% | $2.97 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 12.0% $4.44 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +167.9% | $6.49 +22.2% | 48.0% | +69.3% | $5.31 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $36.14 Turbine 14.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 14.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 14.0% $16.76 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $10.13 Randy Rush 14.0% $9.47 | $36.14 +132.0% | $17.88 +14.8% | 56.0% | +66.3% | $15.58 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 2.0% $14.22 Turbine 2.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 2.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 2.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 2.0% $4.44 Night Terror 18.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +442.9% | $2.98 +13.9% | 46.0% | +90.4% | $2.62 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Vaporwave  20.0% $288.29 Starlight Protector  30.0% $95.25 Nightwish  30.0% $92.29 Gold Toof  20.0% $69.84 | $288.29 +182.2% | $127.89 +25.2% | 20.0% | +79.0% | $102.17 | — |