The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Ensnared
2x $0.32
Scrawl
1x $0.41
Necro Jr.
1x $0.52
Spirit Board
1x $1.32
Lifted Spirits
2x $1.43
Trail Blazer
1x $0.82
↓
Possible Outputs
Rapid Transit
6.0% $36.14
Turbine
6.0% $36.07
Saibā Oni
6.0% $18.57
Hydro Strike
6.0% $16.76
Ticket to Hell
14.0% $10.13
Randy Rush
6.0% $9.47
Max Win
$36.14 (+200.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$11.16 (-7.2%)
Win %
24.0%
Volatility
+85.5%
Cost
$12.02
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $12.02
Ask Price EV $11.16 (-7.2%)
Bid Price EV $9.53 (-20.7%)
Ask Profit $-0.86 (-7.2%)
Bid Profit $-2.49 (-20.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.62 (+13.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.86
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.49
Risk
Win Probability 24.0%
Loss Probability 76.0%
Best Case $36.14 (+200.7%)
Worst Case $2.29 (-81.0%)
Volatility +85.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 56.0%
Avg Win +$14.87
Avg Loss -$5.83
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.29 (-81.0%)
Std Dev $10.27
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 143h 18m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Scrawl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
—
Factory New
$1.32 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Factory New
$1.43 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Factory New
$1.72 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Factory New
$1.89 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.82 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | 27
—
Minimal Wear
$1.68 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | 27
—
Minimal Wear
$1.91 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 52M 34S //TOTAL COST $12.02 //ASK PRICE EV $11.16 //BID PRICE EV $9.53 //ASK PROFIT $-0.86 (-7.2%) //BID PROFIT $-2.49 (-20.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 24.0% //BEST CASE $36.14 //VOLATILITY +85.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID
6.0%
$36.14
+$24.12
+200.7%
$27.00
+$14.98
+124.6%
$9.14
25.3%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$36.07
+$24.05
+200.1%
$32.04
+$20.02
+166.6%
$4.03
11.2%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$18.57
+$6.55
+54.5%
$15.73
+$3.71
+30.9%
$2.84
15.3%
—
WIN
6.0%
$16.76
+$4.74
+39.4%
$14.28
+$2.26
+18.8%
$2.48
14.8%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$10.13
-$1.89
-15.8%
$8.42
-$3.60
-30.0%
$1.71
16.8%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$9.47
-$2.55
-21.2%
$8.92
-$3.10
-25.8%
$0.55
5.8%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$8.21
-$3.81
-31.7%
$7.88
-$4.14
-34.4%
$0.33
4.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$5.94
-$6.08
-50.6%
$5.08
-$6.94
-57.7%
$0.86
14.5%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$2.99
-$9.04
-75.2%
$2.62
-$9.40
-78.2%
$0.36
12.2%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$2.29
-$9.73
-81.0%
$2.11
-$9.91
-82.4%
$0.18
7.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 5.939,
"optimistic_value": 5.89,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 5.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:21.774990Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.048902,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 8.2135,
"optimistic_value": 8.07,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 7.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:04.842408Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.046806200000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 2.985,
"optimistic_value": 2.95,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T20:23:52.712289Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.053093600000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 10.125,
"optimistic_value": 10.09,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 8.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:05:44.991761Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.03493,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 2.2875,
"optimistic_value": 2.2,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 2.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:11.374537Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.05598706148,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 16.759,
"optimistic_value": 16.29,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 14.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.350675Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.059381,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 36.0705,
"optimistic_value": 35.57,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 32.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T08:34:09.254161Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.046107600000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 18.573,
"optimistic_value": 18.09,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 15.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:01:48.491520Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.052395000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 9.472999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 9.2,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 8.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:25.713128Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.052395000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 36.1385,
"optimistic_value": 35.61,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:52.036973Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_40528ae3d51dfa58bda1e4b6",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "514116523130036466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:56:22.961979Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-ee6dee51b1f5",
"listing_id": "507361289452933933",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Scrawl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ee6dee51b1f5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:40.760546Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "501730992860193137",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:14.232391Z"
},
{
"price": 1.32,
"skin_id": "skin-3da25779ee2d",
"listing_id": "506234592362006352",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3da25779ee2d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:35.028578Z"
},
{
"price": 1.43,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "506235337024831560",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:13:37.414569Z"
},
{
"price": 1.72,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "506235389469297444",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:13:37.414569Z"
},
{
"price": 1.89,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "624453518130657294",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:00.164087Z"
},
{
"price": 0.82,
"skin_id": "skin-03f6e200c8b6",
"listing_id": "511864888983896805",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-03f6e200c8b6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:56:19.417968Z"
},
{
"price": 1.68,
"skin_id": "skin-5b2502fc6ca2",
"listing_id": "521997988015903758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | 27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5b2502fc6ca2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:01.209361Z"
},
{
"price": 1.91,
"skin_id": "skin-5b2502fc6ca2",
"listing_id": "518619491422681144",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | 27",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5b2502fc6ca2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:01.209361Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-30:7+collection-set-community-34:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +309.9% | $4.39 +26.5% | 58.0% | +97.4% | $3.47 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Gallery Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 6.0% $14.22 Turbine 6.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 6.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 6.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 6.0% $4.44 Night Terror 14.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +251.2% | $4.46 +10.2% | 44.0% | +82.7% | $4.05 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 8.0% $14.22 Turbine 8.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 8.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 8.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 8.0% $4.44 Night Terror 12.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +256.5% | $5.09 +27.6% | 52.0% | +89.6% | $3.99 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Gallery Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 4.0% $14.22 Turbine 4.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 4.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 4.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 4.0% $4.44 Night Terror 16.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +378.9% | $3.70 +24.5% | 52.0% | +101.5% | $2.97 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Gallery Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 10.0% $14.22 Turbine 10.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 10.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 10.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 10.0% $4.44 Night Terror 10.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +204.6% | $5.79 +24.0% | 40.0% | +78.4% | $4.67 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Gallery Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 12.0% $14.22 Turbine 12.0% $12.89 Saibā Oni 12.0% $8.54 Hydro Strike 12.0% $6.39 Randy Rush 12.0% $4.44 Night Terror 8.0% $4.12 | $14.22 +167.9% | $6.49 +22.2% | 48.0% | +69.3% | $5.31 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9+The Gallery Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Rapid Transit 2.0% $14.22 Saibā Oni 2.0% $8.54 Turbine 2.0% $5.05 Randy Rush 2.0% $4.44 Night Terror 18.0% $4.12 Ticket to Hell 18.0% $3.94 | $14.22 +510.5% | $2.76 +18.5% | 46.0% | +86.3% | $2.33 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Gallery Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Rapid Transit 14.0% $36.14 Turbine 14.0% $36.07 Saibā Oni 14.0% $18.57 Hydro Strike 14.0% $16.76 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $10.13 Randy Rush 14.0% $9.47 | $36.14 +136.4% | $17.89 +17.0% | 56.0% | +67.5% | $15.29 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Gallery Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Vaporwave  20.0% $288.29 Starlight Protector  30.0% $95.25 Nightwish  30.0% $92.29 Gold Toof  20.0% $69.84 | $288.29 +181.6% | $127.89 +24.9% | 20.0% | +78.9% | $102.37 | — |