The Graphic Design Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Astrolabe
1x $0.96
Picnic
2x $0.16
Banana Leaf
4x $0.17
Coral Paisley
3x $0.21
↓
Possible Outputs
Crossfade
2.5% $11.22
Wild Berry
2.5% $7.43
Halftone Shift
2.5% $6.59
Fraise Crane
22.5% $6.16
Berry Gel Coat
2.5% $4.72
Sky Mandala
22.5% $3.48
Max Win
$11.22 (+225.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.94 (+14.3%)
Win %
55.0%
Volatility
+59.5%
Cost
$3.45
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.45
Ask Price EV $3.94 (+14.3%)
Bid Price EV $3.86 (+11.8%)
Ask Profit $0.49 (+14.3%)
Bid Profit $0.41 (+11.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.09 (+2.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.49
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.41
Risk
Win Probability 55.0%
Loss Probability 45.0%
Best Case $11.22 (+225.3%)
Worst Case $2.28 (-33.9%)
Volatility +59.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 45.0%
Avg Win +$1.86
Avg Loss -$1.17
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.28 (-33.9%)
Std Dev $2.05
Avg Norm Float 0.0995
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 151h 24m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP7 | Astrolabe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Minimal Wear
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Factory New
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 19M 58S //TOTAL COST $3.45 //ASK PRICE EV $3.94 //BID PRICE EV $3.86 //ASK PROFIT $0.49 (+14.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.41 (+11.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 55.0% //BEST CASE $11.22 //VOLATILITY +59.5% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.5%
$11.22
+$7.77
+225.3%
$11.05
+$7.60
+220.3%
$0.17
1.6%
—
BIG WIN
2.5%
$7.43
+$3.98
+115.5%
$6.24
+$2.79
+80.9%
$1.19
16.1%
—
BIG WIN
2.5%
$6.59
+$3.14
+91.0%
$6.07
+$2.62
+75.9%
$0.52
7.9%
—
BIG WIN
22.5%
$6.16
+$2.71
+78.5%
$6.12
+$2.67
+77.4%
$0.04
0.6%
—
WIN
2.5%
$4.72
+$1.27
+36.9%
$4.62
+$1.17
+33.9%
$0.10
2.1%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
22.5%
$3.48
+$0.03
+0.9%
$3.42
-$0.03
-0.9%
$0.06
1.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
22.5%
$2.28
-$1.17
-33.9%
$2.25
-$1.20
-34.8%
$0.03
1.3%
—
LOSS
22.5%
$2.28
-$1.17
-33.9%
$2.25
-$1.20
-34.8%
$0.03
1.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-graphic-design|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.064662,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 6.1579999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 6.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:00.132495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.06963599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 3.4805,
"optimistic_value": 3.47,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:18.692949Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.06963599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 2.2805,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:25.924921Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.0656568,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 2.2805,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:25.636998Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.04974,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9527d46c449f",
"realistic_value": 11.2245,
"optimistic_value": 11.13,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crossfade",
"conservative_value": 11.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crossfade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:16.391792Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9527d46c449f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.064662,
"output_skin_id": "skin-643580f5e594",
"realistic_value": 7.4334999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 7.43,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Wild Berry",
"conservative_value": 6.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T17:08:13.225577Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-643580f5e594.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.079584,
"output_skin_id": "skin-67dfc7fef62f",
"realistic_value": 4.721500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 4.69,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat",
"conservative_value": 4.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:21:53.175278Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-67dfc7fef62f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.059688,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36f03d5a542f",
"realistic_value": 6.591,
"optimistic_value": 6.5,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Halftone Shift",
"conservative_value": 6.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:24:34.775750Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36f03d5a542f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3c058699a3889591b4b5929b",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-59233f3c3dcf",
"listing_id": "511864941881562585",
"collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Astrolabe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Astrolabe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59233f3c3dcf.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:19.654337Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "494976443342449158",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:19:47.527557Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "507361237008908833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:41:41.644908Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "492724538183377989",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:53.911242Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "509613036861256419",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:53.911242Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "499479989895930289",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:53.911242Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "511864941882113313",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:47.779263Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "509613089305422567",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:47.779263Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "526501640650770053",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:47.779263Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "523123940969352778",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:42.671042Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-graphic-design:1+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Graphic Design Collection ×2+The Harlequin Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 5.0% $5.38 Wild Berry 5.0% $4.32 Halftone Shift 5.0% $3.95 Fraise Crane 20.0% $2.93 Berry Gel Coat 5.0% $2.50 Sky Mandala 20.0% $1.62 | $5.38 +224.3% | $2.15 +29.4% | 40.0% | +63.4% | $1.66 | — |
The Graphic Design Collection ×3+The Harlequin Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 7.5% $5.38 Wild Berry 7.5% $4.32 Halftone Shift 7.5% $3.95 Fraise Crane 17.5% $2.93 Berry Gel Coat 7.5% $2.50 Sky Mandala 17.5% $1.62 | $5.38 +174.7% | $2.38 +21.6% | 47.5% | +58.0% | $1.96 | — |
The Graphic Design Collection ×4+The Harlequin Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 10.0% $5.38 Wild Berry 10.0% $4.32 Halftone Shift 10.0% $3.95 Fraise Crane 15.0% $2.93 Berry Gel Coat 10.0% $2.50 Sky Mandala 15.0% $1.64 | $5.38 +136.1% | $2.62 +14.9% | 55.0% | +51.7% | $2.28 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Graphic Design Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Polysoup  3.3% $69.14 Slalom  3.3% $40.49 Attack Vector  3.3% $37.76 Exothermic  45.0% $26.72 Sleeping Potion  45.0% $22.67 | $69.14 +171.4% | $27.14 +6.5% | 55.0% | +34.6% | $25.48 | — |