The Graphic Design Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Halftone Whorl
1x $1.50
Picnic
2x $0.18
XoooM
2x $0.34
Banana Leaf
4x $0.35
Coral Paisley
1x $1.16
↓
Possible Outputs
Crossfade
2.5% $11.22
Berry Gel Coat
2.5% $9.63
Wild Berry
2.5% $7.43
Halftone Shift
2.5% $6.59
Fraise Crane
22.5% $6.16
Sky Mandala
22.5% $3.47
Max Win
$11.22 (+62.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.06 (-41.0%)
Win %
7.5%
Volatility
+32.5%
Cost
$6.89
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.89
Ask Price EV $4.06 (-41.0%)
Bid Price EV $3.96 (-42.5%)
Ask Profit $-2.83 (-41.0%)
Bid Profit $-2.93 (-42.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.10 (+1.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.83
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.93
Risk
Win Probability 7.5%
Loss Probability 92.5%
Best Case $11.22 (+62.9%)
Worst Case $2.27 (-67.0%)
Volatility +32.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 67.5%
Avg Win +$2.54
Avg Loss -$3.26
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.27 (-67.0%)
Std Dev $2.24
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 26m
Oldest Output Price 152h 24m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SSG 08 | Halftone Whorl
—
Factory New
$1.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Minimal Wear
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | XoooM
—
Factory New
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Factory New
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Factory New
$1.16 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | XoooM
—
Factory New
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 08M 47S //TOTAL COST $6.89 //ASK PRICE EV $4.06 //BID PRICE EV $3.96 //ASK PROFIT $-2.83 (-41.0%) //BID PROFIT $-2.93 (-42.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 7.5% //BEST CASE $11.22 //VOLATILITY +32.5% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.5%
$11.22
+$4.33
+62.9%
$11.05
+$4.16
+60.4%
$0.17
1.6%
—
WIN
2.5%
$9.63
+$2.74
+39.8%
$8.86
+$1.97
+28.6%
$0.77
8.0%
—
PAPER WIN
2.5%
$7.43
+$0.54
+7.9%
$6.24
-$0.65
-9.4%
$1.19
16.1%
—
LOSS
2.5%
$6.59
-$0.30
-4.3%
$6.07
-$0.82
-11.9%
$0.52
7.9%
—
LOSS
22.5%
$6.16
-$0.73
-10.6%
$6.12
-$0.77
-11.2%
$0.04
0.6%
—
NUKE
22.5%
$3.47
-$3.42
-49.6%
$3.42
-$3.47
-50.4%
$0.05
1.5%
—
NUKE
22.5%
$2.28
-$4.61
-66.9%
$2.25
-$4.64
-67.3%
$0.03
1.3%
—
NUKE
22.5%
$2.27
-$4.62
-67.0%
$2.25
-$4.64
-67.3%
$0.02
1.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-graphic-design|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.045415500000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 6.1579999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 6.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:00.132495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.048909,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 3.4735,
"optimistic_value": 3.47,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:01.291189Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.048909,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 2.2805,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:02.323434Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.0461142,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 2.2739999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 2.26,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:01.525587Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.034935,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9527d46c449f",
"realistic_value": 11.2245,
"optimistic_value": 11.13,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crossfade",
"conservative_value": 11.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crossfade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:16.391792Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9527d46c449f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.045415500000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-643580f5e594",
"realistic_value": 7.4334999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 7.43,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Wild Berry",
"conservative_value": 6.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T17:08:13.225577Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-643580f5e594.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.055896,
"output_skin_id": "skin-67dfc7fef62f",
"realistic_value": 9.631,
"optimistic_value": 9.33,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat",
"conservative_value": 8.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:51.236642Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-67dfc7fef62f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.041922,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36f03d5a542f",
"realistic_value": 6.591,
"optimistic_value": 6.5,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Halftone Shift",
"conservative_value": 6.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Graphic Design Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:25.588090Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36f03d5a542f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_3c058699a3889591b4b5929b",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.5,
"skin_id": "skin-41e01b452fce",
"listing_id": "529879287552084840",
"collection_id": "collection-set-graphic-design",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Halftone Whorl (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Halftone Whorl",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41e01b452fce.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:16:49.205942Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "506235442368222864",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:11:14.166155Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"listing_id": "527627540538309476",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:18.112879Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "511864941882113313",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:29.025529Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "509613089305422567",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:29.025529Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "526501640650770053",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:29.025529Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "496102237884292343",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:17.733265Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "635711906863070477",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:29.025529Z"
},
{
"price": 1.16,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "525374890949118943",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Factory New)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:53.682323Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"listing_id": "518620235867474188",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:18.112879Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-graphic-design:1+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Graphic Design Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Crossfade 2.5% $11.22 Wild Berry 2.5% $7.43 Halftone Shift 2.5% $6.59 Fraise Crane 22.5% $6.16 Berry Gel Coat 2.5% $4.72 Sky Mandala 22.5% $3.47 | $11.22 +209.2% | $3.94 +8.6% | 32.5% | +47.5% | $3.63 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Graphic Design Collection ×2+The Harlequin Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 5.0% $5.38 Wild Berry 5.0% $4.32 Halftone Shift 5.0% $3.95 Fraise Crane 20.0% $2.93 Berry Gel Coat 5.0% $2.58 Sky Mandala 20.0% $1.63 | $5.38 +234.4% | $2.15 +33.3% | 60.0% | +65.4% | $1.61 | — |
The Graphic Design Collection ×3+The Harlequin Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 7.5% $5.38 Wild Berry 7.5% $4.32 Halftone Shift 7.5% $3.95 Fraise Crane 17.5% $2.93 Berry Gel Coat 7.5% $2.50 Sky Mandala 17.5% $1.62 | $5.38 +174.7% | $2.38 +21.6% | 47.5% | +58.0% | $1.96 | — |
The Graphic Design Collection ×4+The Harlequin Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Crossfade 10.0% $5.38 Wild Berry 10.0% $4.32 Halftone Shift 10.0% $3.95 Fraise Crane 15.0% $2.93 Berry Gel Coat 10.0% $2.50 Sky Mandala 15.0% $1.62 | $5.38 +134.1% | $2.62 +13.8% | 55.0% | +51.4% | $2.30 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Graphic Design Collection ×2+The Harlequin Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Polysoup  6.7% $19.92 Attack Vector  6.7% $15.97 Slalom  6.7% $15.53 Exothermic  40.0% $9.85 Sleeping Potion  40.0% $2.12 | $19.92 +147.8% | $8.22 +2.2% | 60.0% | +71.1% | $8.04 | — |