The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Recoil Collection ×7

Classified → Covert MW ST 10 items

Factory New -27.3%Field-Tested +31.4%Minimal Wear +12.7%

Contract

Classified → Covert Minimal Wear StatTrak™

Inputs

The Executioner

1x $14.11

Shapewood

2x $19.55

Visions

6x $10.04

Kiss♥Love

1x $13.41

↓

Possible Outputs

Fade

15.0% $318.51

Printstream

35.0% $177.28

Royal Paladin

15.0% $173.55

Chromatic Aberration

35.0% $51.36

Max Win

$318.51 (+133.3%)

EV (ROI %)

$153.83 (+12.7%)

Win %

65.0%

Volatility

+65.5%

Cost

$136.54

Age —

Financials

ASK-ONLY EDGE

Total Cost $136.54

Ask Price EV $153.83 (+12.7%)

Bid Price EV $117.39 (-14.0%)

Ask Profit $17.29 (+12.7%)

Bid Profit $-19.15 (-14.0%)

Liquidity Gap $36.44 (+26.7%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$17.29

Bid Slippage Buffer -$19.15

Risk

Win Probability 65.0%

Loss Probability 35.0%

Best Case $318.51 (+133.3%)

Worst Case $51.36 (-62.4%)

Volatility +65.5%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 35.0%

Avg Win +$72.47

Avg Loss -$85.18

Bottom 5% Outcome $51.36 (-62.4%)

Std Dev $89.41

Avg Norm Float 0.1499

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 12m

Oldest Output Price 147h 22m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Safe

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

G3SG1 | The Executioner

—

Field-Tested

$14.11 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$19.55 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$20.21 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$10.04 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$10.19 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$11.67 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$12.00 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$12.36 Float: HIDDEN

P250 | Visions

—

Minimal Wear

$13.00 Float: HIDDEN

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

—

Minimal Wear

$13.41 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 27M 01S //TOTAL COST $136.54 //ASK PRICE EV $153.83 //BID PRICE EV $117.39 //ASK PROFIT $17.29 (+12.7%) //BID PROFIT $-19.15 (-14.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 65.0% //BEST CASE $318.51 //VOLATILITY +65.5% //

Possible Outputs · 4

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 3,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-31|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 7,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.35,
      "output_float": 0.10493699999999999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-3a4cc2c7a86f",
      "realistic_value": 51.358000000000004,
      "optimistic_value": 50,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Chromatic Aberration",
      "conservative_value": 46.64,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:08.108451Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a4cc2c7a86f.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.35,
      "output_float": 0.1274235,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-be37abed2b4d",
      "realistic_value": 177.278,
      "optimistic_value": 174.73,
      "output_full_name": "USP-S | Printstream",
      "conservative_value": 150.73,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:35.342510Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-be37abed2b4d.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.11992799999999999,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-4c83a4940ef3",
      "realistic_value": 173.547,
      "optimistic_value": 165,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Royal Paladin",
      "conservative_value": 144.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T03:37:34.881770Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c83a4940ef3.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.059963999999999996,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-3d5660b8b090",
      "realistic_value": 318.5125,
      "optimistic_value": 254.81,
      "output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Fade",
      "conservative_value": 177.41,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:28:16.437303Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3d5660b8b090.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_352db46e4b1682450bdccbea",
  "input_rarity": "Classified",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 14.11,
      "skin_id": "skin-b0c24d905a01",
      "listing_id": "660480340358227224",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "G3SG1 | The Executioner",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b0c24d905a01.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:49.048227Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 19.55,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "528753335312491401",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:02.632353Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 20.21,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "783200338039312163",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:02.632353Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 10.04,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "512990789044424903",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:59:50.807754Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 10.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "511864888985362977",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:59:50.807754Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 11.67,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "502856892560546812",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:59:50.807754Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 12,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "751679596837140503",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:59:50.807754Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 12.36,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "662733504200639458",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:59:50.807754Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13,
      "skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
      "listing_id": "515241791650671001",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P250 | Visions",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:59:50.807754Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13.41,
      "skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
      "listing_id": "519746022667284272",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:59:55.017664Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Covert",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:3+collection-set-community-31:7"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Recoil Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 15.0% $318.51 Printstream 35.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 15.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 35.0% $51.36	$318.51 +172.0%	$153.83 +31.4%	65.0%	+76.4%	$117.10	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Recoil Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 20.0% $318.51 Printstream 30.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 20.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 30.0% $51.36	$318.51 +157.1%	$167.00 +34.8%	70.0%	+75.1%	$123.87	—
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Recoil Collection ×8 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 10.0% $318.51 Printstream 40.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 10.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 40.0% $51.36	$318.51 +179.6%	$140.66 +23.5%	60.0%	+73.4%	$113.92	—
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Recoil Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 5.0% $318.51 Printstream 45.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 5.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 45.0% $51.36	$318.51 +187.6%	$127.49 +15.1%	55.0%	+67.9%	$110.76	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Recoil Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST	Power Loader 8.3% $20.64 Avalanche 8.3% $17.49 Retrobution 8.3% $9.43 Teclu Burner 8.3% $8.17 Fuel Rod 8.3% $6.48 Tiger Moth 8.3% $5.82	$20.64 +243.9%	$6.66 +11.0%	41.7%	+86.5%	$6.00	—