The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Recoil Collection ×7
Classified → Covert FN ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Shapewood
3x $20.21
Kiss♥Love
4x $13.41
Visions
2x $21.77
Ice Coaled
1x $83.55
↓
Possible Outputs
Royal Paladin
15.0% $696.64
Printstream
35.0% $359.08
Fade
15.0% $318.51
Chromatic Aberration
35.0% $81.08
Max Win
$696.64 (+65.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$306.33 (-27.3%)
Win %
15.0%
Volatility
+48.4%
Cost
$421.20
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $421.20
Ask Price EV $306.33 (-27.3%)
Bid Price EV $226.68 (-46.2%)
Ask Profit $-114.87 (-27.3%)
Bid Profit $-194.52 (-46.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $79.65 (+18.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$114.87
Bid Slippage Buffer -$194.52
Risk
Win Probability 15.0%
Loss Probability 85.0%
Best Case $696.64 (+65.4%)
Worst Case $81.08 (-80.7%)
Volatility +48.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 35.0%
Avg Win +$275.44
Avg Loss -$183.75
Bottom 5% Outcome $81.08 (-80.7%)
Std Dev $203.97
Avg Norm Float 0.0694
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 146h 16m
Oldest Output Price 147h 24m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Shapewood
—
Minimal Wear
$20.21 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Shapewood
—
Minimal Wear
$21.18 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Shapewood
—
Factory New
$77.69 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
—
Minimal Wear
$13.41 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
—
Minimal Wear
$20.70 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Visions
—
Factory New
$21.77 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Visions
—
Factory New
$24.07 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
—
Factory New
$54.98 Float: HIDDEN
AK-47 | Ice Coaled
—
Factory New
$83.55 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love
—
Factory New
$83.64 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 27M 03S //TOTAL COST $421.20 //ASK PRICE EV $306.33 //BID PRICE EV $226.68 //ASK PROFIT $-114.87 (-27.3%) //BID PROFIT $-194.52 (-46.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 15.0% //BEST CASE $696.64 //VOLATILITY +48.4% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
PAPER WIN THIN BID
15.0%
$696.64
+$275.44
+65.4%
$395.34
-$25.86
-6.1%
$301.30
43.3%
—
LOSS
35.0%
$359.08
-$62.12
-14.7%
$332.86
-$88.34
-21.0%
$26.22
7.3%
—
LOSS THIN BID
15.0%
$318.51
-$102.69
-24.4%
$177.41
-$243.79
-57.9%
$141.10
44.3%
—
NUKE
35.0%
$81.08
-$340.12
-80.7%
$69.32
-$351.88
-83.5%
$11.76
14.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-31|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.048559,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3a4cc2c7a86f",
"realistic_value": 81.0815,
"optimistic_value": 80,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Chromatic Aberration",
"conservative_value": 69.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:14:55.779825Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a4cc2c7a86f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.058964499999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-be37abed2b4d",
"realistic_value": 359.078,
"optimistic_value": 340.36,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Printstream",
"conservative_value": 332.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:36.935481Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-be37abed2b4d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.055496000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4c83a4940ef3",
"realistic_value": 696.6374999999999,
"optimistic_value": 557.31,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Royal Paladin",
"conservative_value": 395.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T03:35:59.515866Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c83a4940ef3.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.15,
"output_float": 0.027748000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3d5660b8b090",
"realistic_value": 318.5125,
"optimistic_value": 254.81,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Fade",
"conservative_value": 177.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:28:16.437303Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3d5660b8b090.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_352db46e4b1682450bdccbea",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 20.21,
"skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
"listing_id": "783200338039312163",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Shapewood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:02.632353Z"
},
{
"price": 21.18,
"skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
"listing_id": "636836442316788129",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Shapewood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:55:02.632353Z"
},
{
"price": 77.69,
"skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
"listing_id": "525375635592698155",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Shapewood",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:51:15.161360Z"
},
{
"price": 13.41,
"skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
"listing_id": "519746022667284272",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:59:55.017664Z"
},
{
"price": 20.7,
"skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
"listing_id": "657101372172342117",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:59:55.017664Z"
},
{
"price": 21.77,
"skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
"listing_id": "527627435179672496",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Visions",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:23.788638Z"
},
{
"price": 24.07,
"skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
"listing_id": "633460717433224381",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Visions",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:23.788638Z"
},
{
"price": 54.98,
"skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
"listing_id": "628953240713331547",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:25.549264Z"
},
{
"price": 83.55,
"skin_id": "skin-f10cd3871578",
"listing_id": "506234592347125968",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Factory New)",
"name": "AK-47 | Ice Coaled",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f10cd3871578.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:50.491623Z"
},
{
"price": 83.64,
"skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
"listing_id": "498354089952955363",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:25.549264Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:3+collection-set-community-31:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Recoil Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Fade 15.0% $318.51 Printstream 35.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 15.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 35.0% $51.36 | $318.51 +172.0% | $153.83 +31.4% | 65.0% | +76.4% | $117.10 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Recoil Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST | Fade 15.0% $318.51 Printstream 35.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 15.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 35.0% $51.36 | $318.51 +133.3% | $153.83 +12.7% | 65.0% | +65.5% | $136.54 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Recoil Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Fade 20.0% $318.51 Printstream 30.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 20.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 30.0% $51.36 | $318.51 +157.1% | $167.00 +34.8% | 70.0% | +75.1% | $123.87 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Recoil Collection ×8 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Fade 10.0% $318.51 Printstream 40.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 10.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 40.0% $51.36 | $318.51 +179.6% | $140.66 +23.5% | 60.0% | +73.4% | $113.92 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Recoil Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Fade 5.0% $318.51 Printstream 45.0% $177.28 Royal Paladin 5.0% $173.55 Chromatic Aberration 45.0% $51.36 | $318.51 +187.6% | $127.49 +15.1% | 55.0% | +67.9% | $110.76 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Recoil Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader  8.3% $20.64 Avalanche  8.3% $17.49 Retrobution  8.3% $9.43 Teclu Burner  8.3% $8.17 Fuel Rod  8.3% $6.48 Tiger Moth  8.3% $5.82 | $20.64 +243.9% | $6.66 +11.0% | 41.7% | +86.5% | $6.00 | — |