The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5

Mil-Spec Grade Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Resupply
MAG-7 | Resupply
3x $0.11
Mockingbird
XM1014 | Mockingbird
2x $0.15
Fragment
UMP-45 | Fragment
3x $0.31
RMX
PP-Bizon | RMX
1x $0.37
Fusion
Sawed-Off | Fusion
1x $0.41
Possible Outputs
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
10.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
10.0% $6.12
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
10.0% $3.26
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
10.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
10.0% $3.19
Serpent Strike
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike
10.0% $1.64
Max Win
$10.69 (+308.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.30 (+26.1%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+109.6%
Cost
$2.62
Age
Financials
Total Cost $2.62
Ask Price EV $3.30 (+26.1%)
Bid Price EV $2.81 (+7.3%)
Ask Profit $0.68 (+26.1%)
Bid Profit $0.19 (+7.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.49 (+18.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.68
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.19
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+308.1%)
Worst Case $1.18 (-54.8%)
Volatility +109.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$2.68
Avg Loss -$1.31
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.18 (-54.8%)
Std Dev $2.87
Avg Norm Float 0.3477
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 143h 1m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Resupply
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Well-Worn)
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Well-Worn)
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Mockingbird
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested)
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Mockingbird
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested)
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Resupply
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 13M 33S //TOTAL COST $2.62 //ASK PRICE EV $3.30 //BID PRICE EV $2.81 //ASK PROFIT $0.68 (+26.1%) //BID PROFIT $0.19 (+7.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +109.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
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Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
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Raw payload (JSON)
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
      "item_count": 5,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
      "item_count": 5,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.34771,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
      "realistic_value": 6.117,
      "optimistic_value": 6.11,
      "output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
      "conservative_value": 4.98,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.1981947,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
      "realistic_value": 1.6415,
      "optimistic_value": 1.61,
      "output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
      "conservative_value": 1.55,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:18:40.795294Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.27781855145,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
      "realistic_value": 1.19,
      "optimistic_value": 1.19,
      "output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
      "conservative_value": 1.01,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:07:54.434631Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.34771,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
      "realistic_value": 3.2635,
      "optimistic_value": 3.19,
      "output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
      "conservative_value": 2.91,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:45.477369Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.34771,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
      "realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 10.63,
      "output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
      "conservative_value": 9.15,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.34771,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "realistic_value": 3.222,
      "optimistic_value": 3.18,
      "output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "conservative_value": 2.61,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:27.275089Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.34771,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "realistic_value": 3.19,
      "optimistic_value": 3.19,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "conservative_value": 2.57,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:23.329965Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.34771,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
      "realistic_value": 1.359,
      "optimistic_value": 1.24,
      "output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
      "conservative_value": 1.17,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:50.262515Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.33051539279000003,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
      "realistic_value": 1.19,
      "optimistic_value": 1.19,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
      "conservative_value": 1.09,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:09:09.166994Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.243397,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
      "realistic_value": 1.1835,
      "optimistic_value": 1.18,
      "output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
      "conservative_value": 1.07,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:09:03.959568Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_2d6c66e0a94904cc3aec30ad",
  "input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.11,
      "skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
      "listing_id": "512990789045048423",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:12:54.087342Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.14,
      "skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
      "listing_id": "510738989040480922",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:12:54.087342Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-e0eec3353ea4",
      "listing_id": "507361289453327053",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e0eec3353ea4.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:18:56.354538Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.16,
      "skin_id": "skin-e0eec3353ea4",
      "listing_id": "505109489448500852",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "XM1014 | Mockingbird",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e0eec3353ea4.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:18:56.354538Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-78ea15f33e22",
      "listing_id": "526501535293091861",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | Resupply",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78ea15f33e22.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:05:52.549758Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
      "listing_id": "507361289452778197",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:28.066140Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.36,
      "skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
      "listing_id": "499479989896168933",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:28.066140Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.37,
      "skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
      "listing_id": "516368488725935870",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:27.925044Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.41,
      "skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
      "listing_id": "525375688037123755",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:37.712768Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.43,
      "skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
      "listing_id": "515242588554858085",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:28.482189Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Restricted",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-35:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Factory New ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
10.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
10.0% $31.66
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
10.0% $18.87
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
10.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
10.0% $13.79
Rising Sun
Nova | Rising Sun
10.0% $12.22
$51.27
+263.6%
$17.72
+25.7%
40.0%+83.2%$14.10
The Fever Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Minimal Wear ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
10.0% $16.94
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
10.0% $10.78
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
10.0% $6.42
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
10.0% $5.68
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
10.0% $4.80
Serpent Strike
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike
10.0% $4.41
$16.94
+234.0%
$5.97
+17.8%
40.0%+75.7%$5.07
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Fever Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
14.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
14.0% $6.12
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
14.0% $3.26
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
14.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
14.0% $3.19
Serpent Strike
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike
6.0% $1.64
$10.69
+243.8%
$4.10
+31.9%
70.0%+87.1%$3.11
The Fever Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
12.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
12.0% $6.12
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
12.0% $3.26
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
12.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
12.0% $3.19
Serpent Strike
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike
8.0% $1.64
$10.69
+279.2%
$3.70
+31.3%
60.0%+93.7%$2.82
The Fever Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
8.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
8.0% $6.12
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
8.0% $3.26
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
8.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
8.0% $3.19
Serpent Strike
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike
12.0% $1.64
$10.69
+362.9%
$2.91
+25.8%
40.0%+105.1%$2.31
The Fever Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Factory New ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
18.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
18.0% $31.66
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
18.0% $18.87
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
18.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
18.0% $13.79
Rising Sun
Nova | Rising Sun
2.0% $12.22
$51.27
+161.5%
$24.36
+24.2%
36.0%+69.5%$19.61
The Fever Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Factory New ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
16.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
16.0% $31.66
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
16.0% $18.87
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
16.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
16.0% $13.92
Rising Sun
Nova | Rising Sun
4.0% $12.22
$51.27
+180.2%
$22.72
+24.2%
48.0%+71.9%$18.30
The Fever Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Factory New ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
6.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
6.0% $31.66
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
6.0% $18.87
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
6.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
6.0% $13.79
Rising Sun
Nova | Rising Sun
14.0% $12.22
$51.27
+324.5%
$14.40
+19.2%
44.0%+83.3%$12.08
The Fever Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
4.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
4.0% $6.12
Serpent Strike
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike
16.0% $4.41
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
4.0% $3.26
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
4.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
4.0% $3.19
$10.69
+377.4%
$2.55
+14.0%
36.0%+86.6%$2.24
The Fever Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
2.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
2.0% $6.12
Serpent Strike
Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike
18.0% $4.41
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
2.0% $3.26
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
2.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
2.0% $3.19
$10.69
+416.6%
$2.21
+6.7%
28.0%+79.1%$2.07
FS

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