The Anubis Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Azure Glyph
1x $1.35
XoooM
2x $0.34
Banana Leaf
3x $0.36
Picnic
3x $0.58
Coral Paisley
1x $1.16
↓
Possible Outputs
Black Nile
2.5% $49.75
Mummy's Rot
2.5% $45.74
Steel Delta
2.5% $34.44
Copper Coated
2.5% $24.45
Fraise Crane
22.5% $6.16
Sky Mandala
22.5% $3.47
Max Win
$49.75 (+450.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.05 (-21.9%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+122.6%
Cost
$9.03
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $9.03
Ask Price EV $7.05 (-21.9%)
Bid Price EV $6.94 (-23.2%)
Ask Profit $-1.98 (-21.9%)
Bid Profit $-2.09 (-23.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.11 (+1.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.98
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.09
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $49.75 (+450.9%)
Worst Case $2.27 (-74.8%)
Volatility +122.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$29.56
Avg Loss -$5.48
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.27 (-74.8%)
Std Dev $11.07
Avg Norm Float 0.0687
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 152h 23m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SSG 08 | Azure Glyph
—
Field-Tested
$1.35 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | XoooM
—
Factory New
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Factory New
$0.58 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Banana Leaf
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Coral Paisley
—
Factory New
$1.16 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Factory New
$1.18 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | XoooM
—
Factory New
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Picnic
—
Factory New
$1.64 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 10M 38S //TOTAL COST $9.03 //ASK PRICE EV $7.05 //BID PRICE EV $6.94 //ASK PROFIT $-1.98 (-21.9%) //BID PROFIT $-2.09 (-23.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $49.75 //VOLATILITY +122.6% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.5%
$49.75
+$40.72
+450.9%
$49.11
+$40.08
+443.9%
$0.64
1.3%
—
BIG WIN
2.5%
$45.74
+$36.71
+406.5%
$45.31
+$36.28
+401.8%
$0.43
0.9%
—
BIG WIN
2.5%
$34.44
+$25.41
+281.4%
$34.11
+$25.08
+277.7%
$0.33
1.0%
—
BIG WIN
2.5%
$24.45
+$15.42
+170.7%
$22.63
+$13.60
+150.6%
$1.82
7.4%
—
LOSS
22.5%
$6.16
-$2.87
-31.8%
$6.12
-$2.91
-32.2%
$0.04
0.6%
—
NUKE
22.5%
$3.47
-$5.56
-61.5%
$3.42
-$5.61
-62.1%
$0.05
1.5%
—
NUKE
22.5%
$2.28
-$6.75
-74.7%
$2.25
-$6.78
-75.1%
$0.03
1.3%
—
NUKE
22.5%
$2.27
-$6.76
-74.8%
$2.25
-$6.78
-75.1%
$0.02
1.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.044668000000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"realistic_value": 6.1579999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 6.13,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"conservative_value": 6.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:00.132495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.048104,
"output_skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"realistic_value": 3.4735,
"optimistic_value": 3.47,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:01.291189Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.048104,
"output_skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"realistic_value": 2.2805,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:02.323434Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.225,
"output_float": 0.045355200000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"realistic_value": 2.2739999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 2.26,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:01.525587Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.050165600000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-80cb7aad6895",
"realistic_value": 34.4415,
"optimistic_value": 34.41,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta",
"conservative_value": 34.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:50:05.954513Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80cb7aad6895.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.05154,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05f333baf59c",
"realistic_value": 49.7455,
"optimistic_value": 49.7,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Black Nile",
"conservative_value": 49.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Black Nile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:55:42.172673Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05f333baf59c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.06872,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7c46ff3046d0",
"realistic_value": 24.446,
"optimistic_value": 24.32,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated",
"conservative_value": 22.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:56:45.029162Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7c46ff3046d0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.025,
"output_float": 0.06872,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29609fc133b0",
"realistic_value": 45.739,
"optimistic_value": 45.69,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot",
"conservative_value": 45.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:06.558569Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29609fc133b0.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_2b8a619b8ce1ff9d1137fd25",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.35,
"skin_id": "skin-9a0273275e44",
"listing_id": "497228024527630997",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a0273275e44.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:30.451304Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"listing_id": "501731842661967053",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:18.112879Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "509613089305422567",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:29.025529Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "526501640650770053",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:29.025529Z"
},
{
"price": 0.58,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "496102237884292343",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:17.733265Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-25af68e7c19c",
"listing_id": "635711906863070477",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Banana Leaf",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25af68e7c19c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:29.025529Z"
},
{
"price": 1.16,
"skin_id": "skin-33edc6632c92",
"listing_id": "525374890949118943",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley (Factory New)",
"name": "MP7 | Coral Paisley",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33edc6632c92.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:53.682323Z"
},
{
"price": 1.18,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "496102237884286583",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:17.733265Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-674317d93e09",
"listing_id": "518620235867474188",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | XoooM",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-674317d93e09.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:18.112879Z"
},
{
"price": 1.64,
"skin_id": "skin-105633b3f165",
"listing_id": "496102237884282263",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Picnic",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-105633b3f165.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:03:17.733265Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:1+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Black Nile 2.5% $8.90 Steel Delta 2.5% $6.56 Fraise Crane 22.5% $2.93 Mummy's Rot 2.5% $2.60 Copper Coated 2.5% $2.54 Sky Mandala 22.5% $1.62 | $8.90 +470.8% | $2.02 +29.3% | 55.0% | +89.3% | $1.56 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 2.5% $49.75 Steel Delta 2.5% $34.44 Copper Coated 2.5% $7.66 Mummy's Rot 2.5% $7.58 Fraise Crane 22.5% $6.16 Sky Mandala 22.5% $3.47 | $49.75 +851.2% | $5.68 +8.6% | 32.5% | +160.6% | $5.23 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Harlequin Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Black Nile 5.0% $8.90 Steel Delta 5.0% $6.56 Fraise Crane 20.0% $2.93 Mummy's Rot 5.0% $2.60 Copper Coated 5.0% $2.54 Sky Mandala 20.0% $1.62 | $8.90 +352.0% | $2.37 +20.1% | 40.0% | +90.7% | $1.97 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×5+The Harlequin Collection ×5 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical  12.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands  12.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph 12.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec  12.5% $7.35 Calligrafaux  10.0% $2.90 Coral Paisley 10.0% $0.65 | $14.55 +195.2% | $5.74 +16.4% | 50.0% | +86.8% | $4.93 | — |