The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Fragments
3x $0.14
Re.built
2x $0.17
RMX
2x $0.34
Fragment
1x $0.41
Fusion
2x $0.42
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
10.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
10.0% $6.12
Galigator
10.0% $3.50
Urban Sovereign
10.0% $2.94
Amberline
10.0% $2.84
Sakkaku
10.0% $2.65
Max Win
$10.69 (+284.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.36 (+20.9%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+102.6%
Cost
$2.78
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.78
Ask Price EV $3.36 (+20.9%)
Bid Price EV $2.88 (+3.5%)
Ask Profit $0.58 (+20.9%)
Bid Profit $0.10 (+3.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.48 (+17.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.58
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.10
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+284.6%)
Worst Case $0.83 (-70.1%)
Volatility +102.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$2.44
Avg Loss -$1.27
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.83 (-70.1%)
Std Dev $2.85
Avg Norm Float 0.2800
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 148h 58m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 05M 10S //TOTAL COST $2.78 //ASK PRICE EV $3.36 //BID PRICE EV $2.88 //ASK PROFIT $0.58 (+20.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.10 (+3.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +102.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$10.69
+$7.91
+284.6%
$9.15
+$6.37
+229.1%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$6.12
+$3.34
+120.0%
$4.98
+$2.20
+79.1%
$1.14
18.6%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$3.50
+$0.72
+25.7%
$2.64
-$0.14
-5.0%
$0.86
24.5%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$2.94
+$0.16
+5.6%
$2.59
-$0.19
-6.8%
$0.35
11.8%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$2.84
+$0.06
+2.1%
$2.61
-$0.17
-6.1%
$0.23
8.0%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.65
-$0.13
-4.6%
$2.41
-$0.37
-13.3%
$0.24
9.2%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.82
-$0.96
-34.5%
$1.79
-$0.99
-35.6%
$0.03
1.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.38
-$1.40
-50.4%
$1.11
-$1.67
-60.1%
$0.27
19.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.85
-$1.93
-69.5%
$0.76
-$2.02
-72.7%
$0.09
10.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.83
-$1.95
-70.1%
$0.74
-$2.04
-73.4%
$0.09
10.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.27998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.27998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.4955000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 3.45,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:10.319272Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.209985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 1.38,
"optimistic_value": 1.38,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:57.002230Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.27998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.22398400000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 1.8210000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 1.8,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 1.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:56.308257Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.3723884,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.27998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.838,
"optimistic_value": 2.81,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:51.664963Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.27998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.935,
"optimistic_value": 2.9,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:52:36.203003Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.167988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 0.83,
"optimistic_value": 0.83,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 0.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:12:19.779576Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.27998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.8474999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.83,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:07:22.326702Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_28f3159cbd49ed526c6225a8",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "512990841907975355",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:15:02.320604Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "514116741796781610",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:15:02.320604Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "518620288314374104",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:15:02.320604Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "642467916647706593",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:50.216398Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:50.216398Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "494976443341633434",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:19.202168Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "526501587737943665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:19.202168Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "492724590627304485",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:46.525341Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "508487242221830666",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:06:46.070831Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "493850543431774300",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:06:46.070831Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:5+collection-set-community-37:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Amberline 10.0% $6.25 Galigator 10.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $5.01 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +271.4% | $5.76 +26.4% | 50.0% | +85.9% | $4.56 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.72 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +297.8% | $16.27 +26.2% | 50.0% | +95.0% | $12.89 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.72 Emphorosaur-S 4.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +210.4% | $22.11 +33.8% | 48.0% | +80.6% | $16.52 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.72 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +257.3% | $18.22 +27.0% | 48.0% | +88.2% | $14.35 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.72 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $11.80 | $51.27 +220.7% | $20.16 +26.1% | 42.0% | +81.2% | $15.99 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.29 Galigator 8.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $5.01 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +311.1% | $5.13 +24.6% | 40.0% | +90.6% | $4.12 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.25 Galigator 6.0% $5.67 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $5.01 Emphorosaur-S 14.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +361.5% | $4.50 +22.5% | 44.0% | +94.2% | $3.67 | — |